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BC Wolves vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 96-82
24-26 30-18 21-16 21-22
Position#3
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#11
Record1-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game85.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · BC Wolves v Gargzdai
23 Sep 2023
WOL104
GAR68
12 Dec 2022
WOL96
GAR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Prienai
#11
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 76
H29/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
80-100
80
100
-20
75avg 76
A05/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
H17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
69avg 76
H21/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 76
A28/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
96-92
96
92
+4
92avg 76
A03/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-13
20-19
19-23
23-15
18-26
15-27
24-17
32-21
28-17
30-24
20-26
22-18
17-18
21-30
19-22
23-30
19-23
24-22
13-20
28-25
20-23
25-11
18-19
16-17
20-28
29-24
22-17
23-10
15-21
24-23
29-24
17-22
20-22
21-16
17-13
18-17
20-19
13-26
30-20
33-27
171.3Avg total
87.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.380.2162.5+2.164%
Season at home (5)85.675.2160.8+10.480%
Season away (6)79.584.3163.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)87.883.5171.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)86.079.8165.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.388.3171.7-5.00%
vs Similar (3)94.385.0179.3+9.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.577.5159.0+4.075%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
71-91
71
91
-20
69avg 75
H02/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 75
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
62avg 75
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 75
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
67avg 75
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
95-68
95
68
+27
100avg 75
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
77avg 75
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
85-92
85
92
-7
85avg 75
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 75
H04/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
9-24
15-23
22-25
18-14
16-23
19-19
23-22
13-14
19-23
19-23
17-13
18-20
14-26
22-21
20-19
16-20
18-27
17-18
18-29
23-28
19-18
18-12
11-15
24-20
22-15
27-19
22-14
20-23
12-25
31-27
18-24
17-26
15-22
26-25
27-19
18-23
23-14
18-25
9-23
159.7Avg total
75.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.385.1162.4-7.89%
Season at home (6)72.583.2155.7-10.70%
Season away (5)83.087.4170.4-4.420%
Last 10 (10)75.883.9159.7-8.110%
Last 5 (5)80.083.4163.4-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.785.7159.3-12.00%
vs Similar (2)93.582.5176.0+11.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
BC WolvesGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#11
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A05/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H21/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/12
LKL
86.4Avg total
43.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)41.941.283.1+0.742%-
Last 30 at home (9)45.338.183.4+7.267%-
Last 30 away (10)38.843.982.7-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.286.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.684.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.346.789.0-4.30%-
vs Similar (3)46.748.795.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.437.778.1+2.858%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H02/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/12
LKL
78.3Avg total
35.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)36.042.678.6-6.618%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.841.377.2-5.517%-
Last 30 away (5)36.244.280.4-8.020%-
Last 10 (10)35.942.478.3-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.881.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.843.278.0-8.411%-
vs Similar (2)41.540.081.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.9
55.3%
54.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.1
34.2%
35.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
74.2%12.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.8
52.9%
54.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
35.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.812.8
64.6%
74.2%12.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WWLWWLLWLW
Gargzdai
LLLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#11
+2.4
Net rating
-10.8
110.1
Offensive rating
103.2
107.7
Defensive rating
114.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
51.3%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
22.6%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.2%
3-point %
32.5%
65.0%
Assist %
78.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 103.2Defence107.7 · 114.0Shooting53.6% · 51.3%3-point %34.2% · 32.5%Ball care16.6% · 22.6%Off. rebounds30.1% · 36.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BC Wolves wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Gargzdai v BC Wolves68-73
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22ALietkabelis96-92
30/11/22APrienai76-68
28/11/22AZalgiris Kaunas85-90
24/11/22AJuventus94-79
21/11/22HPrienai79-70
17/11/22HNeptunas84-90
05/11/22ANeptunas80-100
02/11/22HJuventus100-85
29/10/22HRytas89-91
26/10/22HPrienai95-70
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22HJuventus68-85
28/11/22AJonava85-92
19/11/22HRytas81-99
06/11/22APrienai95-68
29/10/22HNevezis71-73
24/10/22ANeptunas69-94
16/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-86
09/10/22HBC Wolves68-73
07/10/22HSiauliai76-78
02/10/22HLietkabelis71-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW64%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game82.385.679.5
Allowed / game80.275.284.3
Point differential+2.1+10.4-4.8
Avg total162.5160.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%0%20%
Points / game77.372.583.0
Allowed / game85.183.287.4
Point differential-7.8-10.7-4.4
Avg total162.4155.7170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1211192%88.271.4+16.8
2 Rytas118373%88.582.6+5.9
3 Lietkabelis128467%86.281.4+4.8
4 Jonava128467%83.279.2+3.9
5 Juventus128467%85.184.0+1.1
6 BC Wolves117464%82.380.2+2.1
7 Siauliai126650%80.280.5-0.3
8 Nevezis115645%78.981.3-2.4
9 Neptunas114736%80.081.9-1.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes113827%80.589.5-8.9
11 Gargzdai111109%77.385.1-7.8
12 Prienai120120%77.792.1-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves2430212196
Gargzdai2618162282
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