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Jonava vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 92-85
26-17 22-15 25-26 19-27
Position#6
Record7-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game77.6
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#11
Record1-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game84.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Jonava v Gargzdai
11 May 2027
JON v GAR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
JON v GAR
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
JON95
GAR90
03 Jan 2026
JON75
GAR82
04 Dec 2025
JON97
GAR82
28 Dec 2023
JON105
GAR73
18 Apr 2023
JON67
GAR65
28 Nov 2022
JON92
GAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 68
A15/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 68
H22/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
93-77
93
77
+16
89avg 68
A31/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
90avg 68
A06/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 68
H19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-10
16-26
17-12
31-23
24-23
15-17
18-14
25-26
19-22
21-23
26-22
16-17
25-14
18-15
24-22
14-19
21-18
35-21
13-16
24-22
11-25
23-21
25-17
20-20
28-18
20-17
30-21
11-29
15-18
27-19
21-24
17-24
27-20
23-21
9-20
29-30
20-16
17-25
20-20
23-15
163.4Avg total
83.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.777.6161.2+6.178%
Season at home (4)80.275.2155.5+5.050%
Season away (5)86.479.4165.8+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.280.2163.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)83.284.0167.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.786.2163.8-8.550%
vs Similar (16)78.179.4157.6-1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.380.7167.0+5.686%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 76
A27/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
71-91
71
91
-20
69avg 76
H02/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 76
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
62avg 76
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 76
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
67avg 76
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
95-68
95
68
+27
100avg 76
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
77avg 76
H19/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
19-25
21-25
34-27
25-19
9-24
15-23
22-25
18-14
16-23
19-19
23-22
13-14
19-23
19-23
17-13
18-20
14-26
22-21
20-19
16-20
18-27
17-18
18-29
23-28
19-18
18-12
11-15
24-20
22-15
27-19
22-14
20-23
12-25
31-27
18-24
161.8Avg total
77.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.484.3161.8-6.911%
Season at home (5)73.482.8156.2-9.40%
Season away (4)82.586.2168.8-3.825%
Last 10 (9)77.484.3161.8-6.911%
Last 5 (5)78.084.0162.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.984.9157.7-12.00%
vs Similar (2)93.582.5176.0+11.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
JonavaGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H22/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A31/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A06/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
80.8Avg total
41.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.780.2-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.681.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.941.978.8-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.980.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.082.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.842.279.0-5.317%-
vs Similar (16)41.140.781.8+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.940.078.9-1.143%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A27/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H02/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H19/11
LKL
78.6Avg total
35.9Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)35.942.778.6-6.811%-
Last 30 at home (5)34.842.277.0-7.40%-
Last 30 away (4)37.243.280.5-6.025%-
Last 10 (9)35.942.778.6-6.811%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.481.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.343.477.7-9.10%-
vs Similar (2)41.540.081.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.222.0
59.1%
54.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.5
30.6%
35.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.3%
74.2%13.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.9 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.4
49.6%
54.9%38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.3
36.6%
35.0%25.0
🏀 Free throws19.412.7
65.1%
74.2%12.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLLWLWWLWW
Gargzdai
LWLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#11
+5.0
Net rating
-9.7
109.1
Offensive rating
104.2
104.0
Defensive rating
113.9
53.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
21.7%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
36.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.6%
3-point %
36.6%
61.7%
Assist %
77.2%
60%
Form (last 10/9)
11%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 104.2Defence104.0 · 113.9Shooting53.9% · 51.5%3-point %30.6% · 36.6%Ball care18.4% · 21.7%Off. rebounds29.1% · 36.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/9)60% · 11%
■ Jonava   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jonava wins
0
Gargzdai wins
No previous meetings.
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes80-76
19/11/22HLietkabelis88-91
16/11/22ANevezis80-85
06/11/22ASiauliai89-85
03/11/22ASiauliai79-83
31/10/22ANeptunas93-77
26/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes81-70
22/10/22HJuventus82-84
19/10/22HNevezis82-80
15/10/22ARytas78-71
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HRytas81-99
06/11/22APrienai95-68
29/10/22HNevezis71-73
24/10/22ANeptunas69-94
16/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-86
09/10/22HBC Wolves68-73
07/10/22HSiauliai76-78
02/10/22HLietkabelis71-91
27/09/22APieno Zvaigzdes92-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%50%100%
Points / game83.780.286.4
Allowed / game77.675.279.4
Point differential+6.1+5.0+7.0
Avg total161.2155.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 8 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game77.473.482.5
Allowed / game84.382.886.2
Point differential-6.9-9.4-3.8
Avg total161.8156.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas98189%89.470.7+18.8
2 Lietkabelis108280%83.977.2+6.7
3 Jonava97278%83.777.6+6.1
4 Rytas107370%86.580.5+6.0
5 BC Wolves96367%80.477.8+2.7
6 Juventus106460%84.886.2-1.4
7 Neptunas104640%82.084.0-2.0
8 Siauliai104640%82.084.3-2.3
9 Nevezis104640%77.981.3-3.4
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes103730%82.590.0-7.5
11 Gargzdai91811%77.484.3-6.9
12 Prienai100100%78.893.5-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2622251992
Gargzdai1715262785
← all games of the day
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