PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 100-80
18-17 30-21 22-19 30-23
Position#7
Record2-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game75.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Wolves
15 Apr 2025
NEP85
WOL97
15 Feb 2025
NEP87
WOL83
12 Oct 2024
NEP89
WOL74
15 May 2024
NEP95
WOL76
01 May 2024
NEP85
WOL86
08 Oct 2023
NEP66
WOL98
07 May 2023
NEP75
WOL104
05 Nov 2022
NEP100
WOL80
20 Oct 2022
NEP85
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 74
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
60avg 74
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 74
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 74
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
16-25
19-19
18-15
17-18
10-22
13-26
27-27
15-16
18-19
26-17
19-26
20-33
13-23
27-21
17-18
19-22
21-16
18-20
22-22
25-18
26-27
16-18
18-18
20-16
27-18
18-17
29-18
16-19
26-26
23-26
21-24
18-21
21-35
16-13
22-24
19-17
28-24
29-22
34-26
173.5Avg total
85.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.387.6169.9-5.329%
Season at home (4)83.283.2166.5+0.025%
Season away (3)81.093.3174.3-12.333%
Last 10 (10)85.787.8173.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)90.485.4175.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.582.8155.3-10.427%
vs Similar (10)77.481.1158.5-3.740%
vs Weaker (9)91.280.4171.7+10.878%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#35
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
H28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#5
W
95-68
95
68
+27
97avg 74
H03/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 74
A07/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-68
73
68
+5
59avg 74
A09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
67avg 74
H16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 74
H24/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 74
H29/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
19-18
13-27
26-25
29-14
21-14
28-21
17-19
16-17
14-26
18-16
14-21
14-13
23-19
23-19
13-17
19-18
23-11
17-17
17-23
18-25
27-26
18-16
18-18
23-16
24-26
22-25
20-11
33-13
20-19
19-23
23-15
18-26
15-27
24-17
32-21
28-17
30-24
20-26
22-18
162.1Avg total
83.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.775.7156.4+5.071%
Season at home (4)87.276.5163.8+10.875%
Season away (3)72.074.7146.7-2.767%
Last 10 (10)83.678.5162.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)90.881.8172.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Similar (2)94.588.0182.5+6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.975.0155.9+5.975%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
NeptunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
82.8Avg total
39.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.080.2+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.481.6+2.750%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.778.6-2.836%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.582.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.240.977.1-4.718%-
vs Similar (10)40.342.182.4-1.840%-
vs Weaker (9)44.936.781.6+8.278%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#35
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#5
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H03/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A07/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H24/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
82.2Avg total
43.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)42.339.782.0+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (7)45.737.783.4+8.071%-
Last 30 away (5)37.642.480.0-4.820%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.082.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)47.243.891.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.051.096.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (2)45.547.092.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.035.976.9+5.162%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.6
52.7%
54.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.3
34.2%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.315.3
68.6%
74.2%15.3
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.0
55.1%
54.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.1%
35.0%26.6
🏀 Free throws16.311.6
71.1%
74.2%11.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLWWWLLLL
BC Wolves
WLWWLWWLWL
#7
League position
#3
-11.3
Net rating
+7.3
105.3
Offensive rating
110.3
116.6
Defensive rating
103.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
22.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.2%
3-point %
34.1%
66.0%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 110.3Defence116.6 · 103.0Shooting52.1% · 53.5%3-point %34.2% · 34.1%Ball care22.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds34.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
0
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
20/10/22Neptunas v BC Wolves85-81
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/22HPrienai110-89
31/10/22HJonava77-93
27/10/22AJuventus86-95
24/10/22HGargzdai94-69
20/10/22HBC Wolves85-81
17/10/22APrienai99-92 OT
08/10/22AJuventus77-95
03/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-92 OT
29/09/22ARytas67-93
26/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-79
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/22HJuventus100-85
29/10/22HRytas89-91
26/10/22HPrienai95-70
24/10/22HSiauliai89-78
20/10/22ANeptunas81-85
16/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes76-69
09/10/22AGargzdai73-68
07/10/22AJonava62-80
03/10/22HJuventus95-68
28/09/22HRilski Sportist76-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game82.383.281.0
Allowed / game87.683.293.3
Point differential-5.3+0.0-12.3
Avg total169.9166.5174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %29%25%33%
BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game80.787.272.0
Allowed / game75.776.574.7
Point differential+5.0+10.8-2.7
Avg total156.4163.8146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%89.769.7+20.0
2 Jonava76186%82.374.6+7.7
3 Lietkabelis86275%83.576.4+7.1
4 BC Wolves75271%80.775.7+5.0
5 Rytas74357%84.679.9+4.7
6 Siauliai74357%81.683.4-1.9
7 Juventus84450%83.687.8-4.1
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes83538%85.289.4-4.1
9 Nevezis83538%77.482.2-4.9
10 Neptunas72529%82.387.6-5.3
11 Gargzdai7070%74.484.6-10.1
12 Prienai7070%82.095.3-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas18302230100
BC Wolves1721192380
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.