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BC Wolves vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-90
19-23 24-22 13-20 28-25
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game88.3
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2022-23
Meetings · BC Wolves v Neptunas
11 May 2025
WOL96
NEP84
07 Dec 2024
WOL102
NEP86
18 May 2024
WOL91
NEP80
13 May 2024
WOL91
NEP84
27 Jan 2024
WOL92
NEP73
15 Feb 2023
WOL79
NEP63
17 Nov 2022
WOL84
NEP90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
95-68
95
68
+27
97avg 74
H03/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 74
A07/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-68
73
68
+5
59avg 74
A09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
67avg 74
H16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 74
H24/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 74
H29/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
80-100
80
100
-20
75avg 74
A05/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
21-14
28-21
17-19
16-17
14-26
18-16
14-21
14-13
23-19
23-19
13-17
19-18
23-11
17-17
17-23
18-25
27-26
18-16
18-18
23-16
24-26
22-25
20-11
33-13
20-19
19-23
23-15
18-26
15-27
24-17
32-21
28-17
30-24
20-26
22-18
17-18
21-30
19-22
23-30
163.4Avg total
84.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.080.0172.0+12.067%
Season at home (2)97.577.5175.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)84.079.4163.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)90.684.8175.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Similar (2)94.588.0182.5+6.550%
vs Weaker (9)80.877.8158.6+3.067%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
60avg 74
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 74
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 74
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 74
H05/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
10-22
13-26
27-27
15-16
18-19
26-17
19-26
20-33
13-23
27-21
17-18
19-22
21-16
18-20
22-22
25-18
26-27
16-18
18-18
20-16
27-18
18-17
29-18
16-19
26-26
23-26
21-24
18-21
21-35
16-13
22-24
19-17
28-24
29-22
34-26
18-17
30-21
22-19
30-23
176.5Avg total
88.6Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.788.3182.0+5.367%
Season at home (2)97.585.0182.5+12.5100%
Season away (1)86.095.0181.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)88.687.9176.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)93.485.2178.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.882.6157.3-7.833%
vs Similar (9)78.981.7160.6-2.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.280.4171.7+10.878%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
BC WolvesNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H03/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A07/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H24/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A05/11
LKL
83.2Avg total
43.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)42.040.382.3+1.746%-
Last 30 at home (7)45.737.783.4+8.071%-
Last 30 away (6)37.743.381.0-5.717%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.983.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.289.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)45.051.096.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (2)45.547.092.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (9)40.737.277.9+3.456%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/11
LKL
83.5Avg total
40.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.080.8+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.539.481.8+3.153%-
Last 30 away (13)38.540.879.4-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.883.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.887.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.240.777.8-3.525%-
vs Similar (9)41.442.483.9-1.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.936.781.6+8.278%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.5
55.4%
55.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.7%
34.5%26.2
🏀 Free throws17.112.6
73.7%
75.0%12.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.2
53.2%
55.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.1
33.3%
34.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.316.1
69.1%
75.0%16.1
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LWLWWLWWLW
Neptunas
WWLLWWWLLL
#6
League position
#4
+2.6
Net rating
-7.4
109.2
Offensive rating
106.5
106.6
Defensive rating
113.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
21.3%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.7%
3-point %
33.3%
65.8%
Assist %
66.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 106.5Defence106.6 · 113.9Shooting52.7% · 51.9%3-point %32.7% · 33.3%Ball care16.7% · 21.3%Off. rebounds29.6% · 34.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Wolves wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
05/11/22Neptunas v BC Wolves100-80
20/10/22Neptunas v BC Wolves85-81
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/22ANeptunas80-100
02/11/22HJuventus100-85
29/10/22HRytas89-91
26/10/22HPrienai95-70
24/10/22HSiauliai89-78
20/10/22ANeptunas81-85
16/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes76-69
09/10/22AGargzdai73-68
07/10/22AJonava62-80
03/10/22HJuventus95-68
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/22HBC Wolves100-80
03/11/22HPrienai110-89
31/10/22HJonava77-93
27/10/22AJuventus86-95
24/10/22HGargzdai94-69
20/10/22HBC Wolves85-81
17/10/22APrienai99-92 OT
08/10/22AJuventus77-95
03/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-92 OT
29/09/22ARytas67-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game92.097.581.0
Allowed / game80.077.585.0
Point differential+12.0+20.0-4.0
Avg total172.0175.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game93.797.586.0
Allowed / game88.385.095.0
Point differential+5.3+12.5-9.0
Avg total182.0182.5181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus43175%97.587.0+10.5
2 Siauliai43175%82.578.2+4.2
3 Nevezis43175%94.291.8+2.5
4 BC Wolves32167%92.080.0+12.0
5 Neptunas32167%93.788.3+5.3
6 Jonava42250%80.579.5+1.0
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes4040%83.090.8-7.8
8 Prienai4040%80.2103.8-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves1924132884
Neptunas2322202590
← all games of the day
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