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BC Wolves vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 97-93
17-26 35-13 25-26 20-28
Position#3
Record22-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game79.1
BC Wolves 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Lithuania
Position#1
Record26-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game73.2
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas
19 Apr 2025
WOL69
ZAL81
27 Oct 2024
WOL100
ZAL82
05 May 2024
WOL97
ZAL93
30 Dec 2023
WOL76
ZAL95
12 Nov 2023
WOL75
ZAL64
06 Feb 2023
WOL80
ZAL75
02 Jan 2023
WOL79
ZAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 80
A02/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 80
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
109-72
109
72
+37
110avg 80
H17/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
83-99
83
99
-16
71avg 80
A24/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
100-88
100
88
+12
100avg 80
H30/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
102-83
102
83
+19
103avg 80
H06/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
104-78
104
78
+26
101avg 80
H10/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
111-79
111
79
+32
117avg 80
H20/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
91-65
91
65
+26
93avg 80
A27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
86-85
86
85
+1
76avg 80
A01/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
23-13
20-19
20-16
13-21
18-26
18-16
19-18
27-16
19-13
36-25
27-18
19-27
25-23
25-19
14-30
27-25
20-24
27-14
26-25
23-27
30-24
27-16
22-16
26-21
30-23
23-15
25-19
30-13
30-31
24-22
27-13
25-26
28-13
21-13
17-13
15-15
14-31
24-21
33-18
174.1Avg total
93.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.379.1166.4+8.373%
Season at home (16)91.177.7168.8+13.481%
Season away (14)83.180.6163.7+2.464%
Last 10 (10)93.880.3174.1+13.580%
Last 5 (5)98.878.0176.8+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.987.8163.8-11.917%
vs Similar (4)79.586.2165.8-6.850%
vs Weaker (14)92.378.9171.1+13.479%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
92-69
92
69
+23
95avg 80
A24/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 80
H28/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 80
A01/04
LKL
Monaco
#3
L
66-69
66
69
-3
58avg 80
A04/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
62-64
62
64
-2
48avg 80
H11/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
92-78
92
78
+14
82avg 80
H14/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
112-114 OT
112
114
-2
102avg 80
A17/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-57
101
57
+44
114avg 80
H21/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
95-68
95
68
+27
95avg 80
H29/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
102-78
102
78
+24
108avg 80
H02/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
19-15
19-23
26-12
14-17
21-20
24-17
28-19
22-16
28-24
18-18
15-19
11-20
18-19
15-12
22-18
9-16
16-15
17-13
20-20
27-22
22-19
19-16
24-21
19-19
21-19
11-23
36-26
30-15
21-10
26-13
24-19
31-7
25-23
23-15
16-23
32-15
29-21
23-21
18-21
163.9Avg total
89.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.673.2161.8+15.390%
Season at home (15)91.173.7164.8+17.593%
Season away (14)85.972.8158.6+13.186%
Last 10 (10)89.274.7163.9+14.570%
Last 5 (5)100.479.0179.4+21.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.066.0137.0+5.050%
vs Similar (13)84.779.2163.9+5.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)94.775.1169.8+19.787%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
BC WolvesZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A02/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H17/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A24/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H30/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H06/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H10/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H20/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A01/05
LKL
90.0Avg total
46.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.786.2-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.944.190.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.743.181.9-4.443%-
Last 10 (10)46.343.790.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)50.244.895.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.945.183.0-7.233%-
vs Similar (4)37.246.884.0-9.525%-
vs Weaker (14)48.141.689.6+6.579%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A24/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A01/04
LKL
Monaco
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A04/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H11/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H21/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H29/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
61-36
61
36
+25
H02/05
LKL
79.4Avg total
44.3Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.337.983.2+7.463%-
Last 30 at home (19)47.337.284.4+10.168%-
Last 30 away (11)42.039.281.2+2.855%-
Last 10 (10)44.335.179.4+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)51.434.085.4+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.534.569.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (13)41.840.582.3+1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)49.836.185.9+13.787%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.0
60.4%
55.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.4
38.0%
34.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.115.7
71.0%
73.2%15.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.3
55.0%
55.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.512.6
40.0%
34.7%37.8
🏀 Free throws17.714.2
80.2%
73.2%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WWWWWWLWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWLLWWW
#3
League position
#1
+17.5
Net rating
+20.4
123.2
Offensive rating
119.9
105.7
Defensive rating
99.4
58.9%
Effective FG%
57.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.0%
3-point %
40.0%
66.5%
Assist %
70.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.2 · 119.9Defence105.7 · 99.4Shooting58.9% · 57.4%3-point %38.0% · 40.0%Ball care15.1% · 14.5%Off. rebounds33.6% · 27.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BC Wolves wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves82-82
30/12/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas76-95
17/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves79-55
12/11/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas75-64
22/04/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves71-65
06/02/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas80-75
22/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves91-72
02/01/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas79-95
28/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves90-85
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24ANeptunas86-85
27/04/24ASiauliai91-65
20/04/24HPieno Zvaigzdes111-79
10/04/24HMazeikiai104-78
06/04/24HNevezis102-83
30/03/24HJuventus100-88
24/03/24ARytas83-99
17/03/24HLietkabelis109-72
13/03/24AJonava68-81
02/03/24AMazeikiai84-73
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/24HNevezis102-78
29/04/24HMazeikiai95-68
21/04/24HJonava101-57
17/04/24ANeptunas112-114 OT
14/04/24HRytas92-78
11/04/24HReal Madrid62-64
04/04/24AMonaco66-69
01/04/24ALietkabelis83-77
28/03/24HOlimpia Milano87-73
24/03/24ASiauliai92-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %73%81%64%
Points / game87.391.183.1
Allowed / game79.177.780.6
Point differential+8.3+13.4+2.4
Avg total166.4168.8163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%69%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %90%93%86%
Points / game88.691.185.9
Allowed / game73.273.772.8
Point differential+15.3+17.5+13.1
Avg total161.8164.8158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%73%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2926390%88.673.2+15.3
2 Rytas3125681%92.780.1+12.7
3 BC Wolves3022873%87.379.1+8.3
4 Juventus30191163%88.681.5+7.1
5 Lietkabelis29161355%84.283.7+0.6
6 Neptunas31161552%85.085.6-0.6
7 Mazeikiai31131842%78.283.4-5.2
8 Jonava32122038%82.585.9-3.4
9 Nevezis3092130%83.891.7-7.8
10 Siauliai3082227%81.587.4-5.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes3062420%82.894.0-11.2
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves1735252097
Zalgiris Kaunas2613262893
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