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BC Wolves vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 69-81
18-18 22-19 20-22 9-22
Position#4
Record15-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game88.6
BC Wolves
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record24-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game74.0
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas
19 Apr 2025
WOL69
ZAL81
27 Oct 2024
WOL100
ZAL82
05 May 2024
WOL97
ZAL93
30 Dec 2023
WOL76
ZAL95
12 Nov 2023
WOL75
ZAL64
06 Feb 2023
WOL80
ZAL75
02 Jan 2023
WOL79
ZAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 83
A01/03
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
98avg 83
H04/03
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
106-86
106
86
+20
112avg 83
A08/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
100-84
100
84
+16
102avg 83
H17/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 83
H23/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
89-110
89
110
-21
86avg 83
A26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 83
A30/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
77avg 83
A06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
91avg 83
H12/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
97-85
97
85
+12
98avg 83
A15/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
20-17
8-20
34-19
33-20
15-19
16-18
17-24
28-21
23-24
29-14
26-27
33-26
26-28
17-12
24-18
19-22
26-24
22-16
20-21
16-24
28-32
18-31
27-23
15-24
18-23
15-14
16-17
19-33
26-15
23-21
20-23
22-35
27-10
25-24
20-30
22-18
15-23
30-23
30-21
179.9Avg total
90.1Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)90.488.6179.0+1.858%
Season at home (12)93.389.2182.5+4.267%
Season away (14)87.988.1176.1-0.250%
Last 10 (10)90.189.8179.9+0.340%
Last 5 (5)86.492.8179.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)90.094.2184.2-4.225%
vs Similar (16)88.888.6177.4+0.150%
vs Weaker (10)94.189.2183.3+4.970%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 80
A21/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
73avg 80
A23/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
74avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 80
A27/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
70avg 80
A30/03
LKL
Partizan
#12
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 80
H03/04
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 80
H06/04
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
64avg 80
A11/04
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
105-80
105
80
+25
107avg 80
A13/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
98-56
98
56
+42
96avg 80
H16/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
11-20
20-23
19-23
21-16
20-18
26-26
17-20
23-15
25-29
17-14
15-22
18-23
16-17
27-23
18-25
20-14
14-22
28-15
18-16
24-21
11-19
14-9
21-17
21-16
18-26
18-20
26-17
14-22
23-27
27-22
13-16
31-24
24-15
20-23
30-18
21-11
21-17
31-17
25-11
161.3Avg total
83.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)91.374.0165.3+17.492%
Season at home (13)90.670.3160.9+20.3100%
Season away (13)92.177.6169.7+14.585%
Last 10 (10)83.278.1161.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)86.673.6160.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.090.4169.4-11.40%
vs Similar (9)77.079.8156.8-2.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.174.8163.9+14.2100%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
BC WolvesZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/03
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/03
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A08/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H17/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A30/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A15/04
LKL
90.9Avg total
44.6Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.045.691.6+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.544.693.1+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)43.146.689.8-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)44.646.390.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.647.489.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)47.253.2100.5-6.00%-
vs Similar (16)44.843.988.6+0.956%-
vs Weaker (10)47.545.292.7+2.350%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A23/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A25/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A27/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A30/03
LKL
Partizan
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H03/04
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/04
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/04
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A13/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H16/04
LKL
78.4Avg total
39.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.580.0+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.080.1+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)40.739.179.8+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.878.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.681.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.839.482.2+3.460%-
vs Similar (9)35.841.176.9-5.322%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.236.881.0+7.575%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.9
55.8%
55.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws26.021.1
81.2%
75.0%21.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.2
55.2%
55.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.7
34.0%
35.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
75.0%15.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WLLLLWWWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWWLLWL
#4
League position
#1
-0.1
Net rating
+6.1
118.1
Offensive rating
115.7
118.2
Defensive rating
109.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.8%
3-point %
34.0%
71.6%
Assist %
59.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 115.7Defence118.2 · 109.6Shooting54.9% · 53.5%3-point %35.8% · 34.0%Ball care17.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.4% · 34.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BC Wolves wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves97-84
27/10/24BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas100-82
05/05/24BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas97-93
21/01/24Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves82-82
30/12/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas76-95
17/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves79-55
12/11/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas75-64
22/04/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves71-65
06/02/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas80-75
22/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves91-72
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/25ANeptunas97-85
12/04/25HNevezis94-99
06/04/25ARytas88-92
30/03/25ALietkabelis64-78
26/03/25ASiauliai89-110
23/03/25HJuventus87-83
17/03/25HSiauliai100-84
08/03/25AMazeikiai106-86
04/03/25HCluj-Napoca99-100 OT
01/03/25AJonava77-81
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25HSiauliai98-56
13/04/25AMazeikiai105-80
11/04/25AAnadolu Efes77-87
06/04/25HLietkabelis83-79
03/04/25HPartizan70-66
30/03/25ANeptunas80-67
27/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne79-88
25/03/25AMonaco86-96 OT
23/03/25ANevezis84-80
21/03/25ABarcelona70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW58%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game90.493.387.9
Allowed / game88.689.288.1
Point differential+1.8+4.2-0.2
Avg total179.0182.5176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %92%100%85%
Points / game91.390.692.1
Allowed / game74.070.377.6
Point differential+17.4+20.3+14.5
Avg total165.3160.9169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%69%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2624292%91.374.0+17.4
2 Rytas2620677%89.882.3+7.5
3 BC Wolves26151158%90.488.6+1.8
4 Jonava26151158%89.289.7-0.6
5 Lietkabelis26131350%82.981.4+1.5
6 Juventus26111542%83.486.5-3.2
7 Neptunas26101638%84.287.5-3.2
8 Siauliai26101638%89.895.0-5.2
9 Nevezis2691735%90.088.5+1.6
10 Mazeikiai2632312%79.196.6-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves182220969
Zalgiris Kaunas1819222281
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