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Zalgiris Kaunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 79-55
18-10 23-15 21-20 17-10
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game71.8
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
BC Wolves
Lithuania
Position#3
Record11-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game76.7
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves
14 May 2025
ZAL89
WOL75
02 Feb 2025
ZAL97
WOL84
21 Jan 2024
ZAL82
WOL82
17 Dec 2023
ZAL79
WOL55
22 Apr 2023
ZAL71
WOL65
22 Jan 2023
ZAL91
WOL72
28 Nov 2022
ZAL90
WOL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 76
H17/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 76
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 76
A24/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 76
H27/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 76
A30/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
77avg 76
A03/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
62-64
62
64
-2
62avg 76
A05/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 76
H08/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
97avg 76
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
79avg 76
H14/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
16-25
21-18
12-12
16-15
29-20
22-28
22-11
19-19
12-24
21-26
20-20
16-31
16-21
22-10
22-26
18-19
23-12
18-21
24-18
17-15
13-17
21-21
29-15
20-13
8-12
17-14
17-25
19-23
18-23
22-11
20-26
23-25
23-32
37-15
19-26
21-29
23-29
20-18
21-17
160.2Avg total
80.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.571.8153.3+9.885%
Season at home (6)83.376.7160.0+6.783%
Season away (7)80.067.6147.6+12.486%
Last 10 (10)80.280.0160.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)81.681.2162.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar (11)80.780.3161.0+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.773.9155.6+7.871%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
75-64
75
64
+11
66avg 81
H12/11
LKL
Venezia
#12
L
77-93
77
93
-16
70avg 81
H15/11
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
84avg 81
A18/11
LKL
Hamburg
#19
W
84-71
84
71
+13
82avg 81
A21/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 81
A25/11
LKL
London Lions
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
83avg 81
H28/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
96avg 81
H03/12
LKL
Paris
#1
L
79-110
79
110
-31
74avg 81
H06/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
68-96
68
96
-28
62avg 81
A09/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
72avg 81
H12/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
13-19
22-12
23-19
20-23
19-21
23-25
15-24
19-16
25-24
25-27
22-21
24-16
23-21
21-18
16-16
18-19
21-16
20-22
25-17
22-24
13-31
27-21
25-25
22-19
26-25
20-17
18-16
13-24
22-34
23-23
21-29
20-33
13-18
12-20
23-25
17-19
21-27
24-16
19-27
167.5Avg total
81.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.576.7162.2+8.885%
Season at home (6)85.871.3157.2+14.5100%
Season away (7)85.381.3166.6+4.071%
Last 10 (10)81.286.3167.5-5.150%
Last 5 (5)80.294.6174.8-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.988.5169.4-7.630%
vs Similar (5)83.887.0170.8-3.260%
vs Weaker (15)89.176.7165.7+12.480%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
Zalgiris KaunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H17/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A24/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H27/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A30/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A05/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H14/12
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
37.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.080.2+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.644.185.7-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)39.036.475.4+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.279.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.680.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (11)37.542.179.6-4.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.938.179.9+3.871%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H12/11
LKL
Venezia
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/11
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/11
LKL
Hamburg
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A21/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A25/11
LKL
London Lions
#5
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H28/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H03/12
LKL
Paris
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H06/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A09/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H12/12
Eurocup
83.1Avg total
38.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.682.7+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.740.582.2+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.783.3+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.383.1-5.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.850.888.6-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.444.381.7-6.920%-
vs Similar (5)44.241.085.2+3.280%-
vs Weaker (15)44.538.182.6+6.573%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.1
55.0%
55.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.2
40.6%
34.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws13.910.6
76.3%
73.2%10.6
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.8
51.2%
55.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.5
38.8%
34.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.214.8
77.1%
73.2%14.8
They take 54.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLLWWLLWW
BC Wolves
LLLWLWWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+0.9
Net rating
-5.8
115.7
Offensive rating
110.0
114.8
Defensive rating
115.8
57.5%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
21.9%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
40.6%
3-point %
38.8%
56.3%
Assist %
61.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 110.0Defence114.8 · 115.8Shooting57.5% · 54.0%3-point %40.6% · 38.8%Ball care17.0% · 21.9%Off. rebounds28.6% · 36.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas75-64
22/04/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves71-65
06/02/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas80-75
22/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves91-72
02/01/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas79-95
28/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves90-85
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HPartizan85-93
10/12/23HNevezis102-98
08/12/23HMonaco79-83
05/12/23AAlba Berlin62-64
03/12/23ALietkabelis80-68
30/11/23AOlimpia Milano83-70
27/11/23HNeptunas76-88
24/11/23AOlympiacos72-89
19/11/23HSiauliai89-74
17/11/23HBayern74-73
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-89
09/12/23AJuventus68-96
06/12/23HParis79-110
03/12/23HSiauliai86-77
28/11/23HLondon Lions87-101
25/11/23ARytas84-74
21/11/23AHamburg84-71
18/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes91-88
15/11/23HVenezia77-93
12/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas75-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW85%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game81.583.380.0
Allowed / game71.876.767.6
Point differential+9.8+6.7+12.4
Avg total153.3160.0147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%50%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%100%71%
Points / game85.585.885.3
Allowed / game76.771.381.3
Point differential+8.8+14.5+4.0
Avg total162.2157.2166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1412286%93.078.8+14.2
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1311285%81.571.8+9.8
3 BC Wolves1311285%85.576.7+8.8
4 Juventus138562%87.978.6+9.3
5 Lietkabelis138562%85.583.6+1.8
6 Neptunas137654%86.285.1+1.2
7 Jonava146843%80.484.0-3.6
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes145936%88.491.1-2.8
9 Mazeikiai124833%75.382.3-7.0
10 Nevezis1431121%83.191.4-8.4
11 Gargzdai1431121%77.792.9-15.2
12 Siauliai1321115%80.087.5-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1823211779
BC Wolves1015201055
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