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Bilbao vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 67-71
17-22 11-13 17-12 22-24
Position#26
Record5-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#9
Record9-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game83.4
EuropeChampions League
European cup2022
Meetings · Bilbao v Murcia
15 Nov 2026
BIL v MUR
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
BIL96
MUR82
27 Apr 2025
BIL80
MUR83
08 Oct 2023
BIL77
MUR68
21 Mar 2023
BIL67
MUR71
08 Jan 2023
BIL99
MUR81
23 Apr 2022
BIL78
MUR77
15 Nov 2020
BIL63
MUR73
20 May 2018
BIL73
MUR82
19 Mar 2017
BIL71
MUR82
07 Feb 2016
BIL90
MUR79
19 Oct 2014
BIL82
MUR74
21 Apr 2014
BIL82
MUR69
19 Dec 2012
BIL98
MUR75
30 Oct 2011
BIL95
MUR80
14 Mar 2010
BIL58
MUR57
16 Apr 2009
BIL91
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
51-70
51
70
-19
35avg 68
H28/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 68
A31/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
64-77
64
77
-13
58avg 68
A04/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 68
A07/02
Champions League
Granada
#16
W
90-73
90
73
+17
83avg 68
H11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
71-94
71
94
-23
57avg 68
A05/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 68
H07/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
54avg 68
A12/03
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
L
85-95
85
95
-10
80avg 68
A14/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 68
H19/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
16-20
10-24
12-11
13-20
16-28
18-26
25-16
20-25
15-17
17-28
12-7
17-16
12-17
17-26
20-19
20-18
22-16
22-21
26-18
14-29
23-16
19-26
15-23
19-23
24-12
20-17
9-22
15-11
13-27
13-26
24-22
24-22
28-22
15-25
18-26
19-16
23-21
19-18
23-22
153.4Avg total
72.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.976.1154.0+1.845%
Season at home (5)77.876.0153.8+1.840%
Season away (6)78.076.2154.2+1.850%
Last 10 (10)72.081.4153.4-9.420%
Last 5 (5)75.485.2160.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.581.2150.7-11.69%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.780.7158.5-3.045%
vs Weaker (8)86.578.1164.6+8.462%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 70
H29/01
ACB
Bilbao
#26
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 70
H31/01
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 70
A04/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
80-88
80
88
-8
63avg 70
H12/02
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 70
H15/02
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
68-94
68
94
-26
49avg 70
A05/03
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
no box
A07/03
Champions League
Unicaja
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 70
H12/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
82-67
82
67
+15
no box
H15/03
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
L
89-107
89
107
-18
no box
A18/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
17-18
20-22
24-24
20-13
28-16
26-18
16-25
14-20
15-22
21-23
21-19
20-20
12-20
23-31
25-17
23-25
25-24
21-18
27-20
17-20
19-19
14-27
18-28
18-17
28-17
23-18
17-34
26-19
18-14
23-23
18-24
27-18
22-14
18-10
15-25
27-27
10-30
23-18
29-32
171.6Avg total
84.5Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.983.4169.3+2.569%
Season at home (7)85.977.4163.3+8.4100%
Season away (6)86.090.3176.3-4.333%
Last 10 (10)84.587.1171.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)85.690.6176.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.885.4163.2-7.636%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.784.4169.1+0.354%
vs Weaker (3)93.784.3178.0+9.3100%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
BilbaoMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H28/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A31/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A04/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A07/02
Champions League
Granada
#16
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H07/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A12/03
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A14/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/03
ACB
75.7Avg total
36.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.176.9-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.437.276.6+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.540.877.2-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.175.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.880.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.339.073.3-4.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.638.776.4-1.145%-
vs Weaker (8)43.039.882.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/01
ACB
Bilbao
#26
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H31/01
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/02
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H15/02
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/03
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A07/03
Champions League
Unicaja
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H12/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H15/03
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A18/03
ACB
80.1Avg total
40.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.679.4-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.937.579.4+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)35.344.279.5-8.921%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.680.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.081.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.240.676.8-4.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.639.980.5+0.754%-
vs Weaker (3)43.044.087.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.3
46.0%
51.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.6
31.1%
35.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.313.4
77.5%
74.3%13.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.0
46.6%
51.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.6
38.3%
35.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.212.0
74.1%
74.3%12.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLLLLWLLLL
Murcia
LWWLLWLLWL
#26
League position
#9
-13.9
Net rating
-5.4
100.2
Offensive rating
105.7
114.1
Defensive rating
111.1
46.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.1%
3-point %
38.3%
61.0%
Assist %
55.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 105.7Defence114.1 · 111.1Shooting46.3% · 51.1%3-point %31.1% · 38.3%Ball care18.8% · 17.5%Off. rebounds32.4% · 29.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Bilbao   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bilbao wins
7
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
31/01/23Murcia v Bilbao90-72
08/01/23Bilbao v Murcia99-81
23/04/22Bilbao v Murcia78-77
10/10/21Murcia v Bilbao92-87
28/03/21Murcia v Bilbao82-90 OT
15/11/20Bilbao v Murcia63-73
20/05/18Bilbao v Murcia73-82
19/11/17Murcia v Bilbao82-71
19/03/17Bilbao v Murcia71-82
17/12/16Murcia v Bilbao97-71
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HBasquet Girona84-77
14/03/23ADarussafaka85-95
12/03/23AReal Madrid65-86
07/03/23HTenerife72-74
05/03/23AGran Canaria71-94
11/02/23HGranada90-73
07/02/23ATenerife66-78
04/02/23AObradoiro CAB64-77
31/01/23AMurcia72-90
28/01/23HJoventut Badalona51-70
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23AGran Canaria89-107
15/03/23HTenerife82-67
12/03/23HUnicaja85-80
07/03/23ADarussafaka104-105 OT
05/03/23AJoventut Badalona68-94
15/02/23HDarussafaka96-87
12/02/23HReal Madrid80-88
04/02/23AReal Betis71-84
31/01/23HBilbao90-72
29/01/23HBaskonia80-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
Champions League 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game77.977.878.0
Allowed / game76.176.076.2
Point differential+1.8+1.8+1.8
Avg total154.0153.8154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
Champions League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%100%33%
Points / game85.985.986.0
Allowed / game83.477.490.3
Point differential+2.5+8.4-4.3
Avg total169.3163.3176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn1110191%84.573.3+11.3
2 Unicaja1412286%86.672.8+13.8
3 Hapoel Jerusalem119282%77.573.1+4.5
4 Tenerife118373%81.570.1+11.4
5 Strasbourg118373%84.479.6+4.7
6 Murcia139469%85.983.4+2.5
7 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
8 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
9 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
10 AEK Athens149564%76.574.8+1.7
11 Manresa117464%81.478.1+3.3
12 Benfica117464%79.177.2+1.9
13 Ludwigsburg95456%83.178.7+4.4
14 Galatasaray116555%82.878.8+4.0
15 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
16 Rytas147750%82.680.2+2.4
17 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
18 Dijon147750%78.080.5-2.5
19 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
20 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
21 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
22 Hapoel Holon136746%84.283.2+1.0
23 Darussafaka136746%78.680.5-1.8
24 Bilbao115645%77.976.1+1.8
25 Oostende94544%78.079.7-1.7
26 Peristeri94544%79.284.6-5.3
27 Tofas104640%78.275.5+2.7
28 Igokea83538%78.281.2-3.0
29 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
30 Limoges145936%75.777.1-1.4
31 Bahcesehir Kol.145936%74.779.9-5.2
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 PAOK93633%73.377.7-4.3
34 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
35 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
36 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
37 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
38 Karsiyaka82625%81.085.4-4.4
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1711172267
Murcia2213122471
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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