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Bilbao vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 104-111 (OT)
25-20 28-28 20-21 10-14 21-28
Position#15
Record11-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#12
Record12-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game90.0
SpainACBRound 32· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bilbao v Basket Zaragoza
13 Dec 2026
BIL v ZAR
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
BIL106
ZAR75
18 May 2025
BIL104
ZAR111
27 Jan 2024
BIL86
ZAR83
01 Apr 2023
BIL81
ZAR68
23 Sep 2021
BIL76
ZAR100
23 Jan 2021
BIL73
ZAR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
53avg 75
A30/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
97-68
97
68
+29
95avg 75
H02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
66avg 75
H05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 75
A12/04
ACB
PAOK
#9
W
72-65
72
65
+7
60avg 75
H16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
79-96
79
96
-17
74avg 75
A19/04
ACB
PAOK
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
77avg 75
A23/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#10
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
70avg 75
H27/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
69avg 75
A03/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
79-67
79
67
+12
72avg 75
H11/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
17-12
18-29
18-25
20-12
15-18
21-22
41-16
26-30
23-12
20-16
27-20
23-21
18-18
20-25
20-20
22-12
16-19
14-19
20-15
17-29
13-16
23-18
26-33
24-24
25-15
12-24
21-21
16-17
16-20
10-23
34-16
24-17
22-31
17-22
16-17
20-9
22-22
14-18
23-18
161.5Avg total
81.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.183.2164.3-2.135%
Season at home (15)84.480.0164.4+4.460%
Season away (16)78.086.1164.1-8.112%
Last 10 (10)81.580.0161.5+1.540%
Last 5 (5)79.883.4163.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.286.6162.8-10.311%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.781.6167.2+4.156%
vs Weaker (12)80.474.1154.5+6.367%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Cholet
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
58avg 81
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
W
84-69
84
69
+15
79avg 81
H15/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
95-97
95
97
-2
91avg 81
A23/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
84avg 81
H29/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
81avg 81
A06/04
ACB
Breogan
#13
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 81
A20/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
87-97
87
97
-10
82avg 81
H26/04
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
84-76
84
76
+8
66avg 81
H30/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
75avg 81
A03/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
88-95
88
95
-7
77avg 81
H11/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
14-22
18-17
23-28
24-8
14-14
19-21
27-26
27-20
25-22
25-26
18-29
21-22
25-21
17-29
26-21
20-24
28-27
16-21
19-23
23-24
19-18
23-22
20-26
21-24
19-19
28-23
19-31
26-27
10-21
23-14
25-14
23-22
19-22
16-21
26-25
21-22
23-22
18-16
26-35
174.2Avg total
85.0Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)88.990.0178.9-1.139%
Season at home (16)90.084.9174.9+5.162%
Season away (15)87.795.4183.1-7.713%
Last 10 (10)85.089.2174.2-4.220%
Last 5 (5)85.689.6175.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.492.6178.0-7.122%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.386.7173.0-0.533%
vs Weaker (6)90.885.8176.7+5.050%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
BilbaoBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/04
ACB
PAOK
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A19/04
ACB
PAOK
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A23/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H27/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A03/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H11/05
ACB
77.2Avg total
39.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.178.4+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.536.778.3+4.867%-
Last 30 away (15)39.139.578.6-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.677.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.079.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.941.278.1-4.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.741.183.8+1.644%-
vs Weaker (12)41.233.574.7+7.792%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H15/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A23/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A06/04
ACB
Breogan
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/04
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H30/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A03/05
ACB
Granada
#17
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/05
ACB
84.2Avg total
41.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.785.7-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.042.483.4-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)42.945.188.0-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.484.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.285.0-3.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.043.384.3-2.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.543.785.2-2.140%-
vs Weaker (6)44.544.589.0+0.033%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.6
50.0%
54.0%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.4
35.3%
35.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.616.3
79.1%
76.4%16.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.8
54.5%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.3
35.4%
35.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
76.4%13.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLLLLWLWWL
Basket Zaragoza
LLWLLLLLWL
#15
League position
#12
+2.0
Net rating
-5.6
109.1
Offensive rating
111.0
107.1
Defensive rating
116.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.3%
3-point %
35.4%
63.0%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 111.0Defence107.1 · 116.6Shooting51.4% · 53.9%3-point %35.3% · 35.4%Ball care14.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds23.6% · 33.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Bilbao   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bilbao wins
5
Basket Zaragoza wins
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HLeyma Coruna79-67
03/05/25AJoventut Badalona79-87
27/04/25HMurcia80-83 OT
23/04/25APAOK82-84
19/04/25AUnicaja79-96
16/04/25HPAOK72-65
12/04/25AMoraBanc Andorra81-84
05/04/25HGran Canaria96-78
02/04/25HDijon97-68
30/03/25AReal Madrid70-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HGranada88-95
03/05/25ABaskonia84-90
30/04/25HLeyma Coruna84-76
26/04/25HGran Canaria87-97
20/04/25ABreogan85-90
06/04/25AManresa83-95
29/03/25HTenerife89-93
23/03/25ABarcelona95-97
15/03/25HUnicaja84-69
12/03/25ACholet71-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %35%60%12%
Points / game81.184.478.0
Allowed / game83.280.086.1
Point differential-2.1+4.4-8.1
Avg total164.3164.4164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %10%7%12%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %39%62%13%
Points / game88.990.087.7
Allowed / game90.084.995.4
Point differential-1.1+5.1-7.7
Avg total178.9174.9183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3228488%87.077.7+9.3
2 Tenerife3124777%87.282.8+4.4
3 Valencia3223972%96.285.9+10.3
4 Unicaja32221069%90.084.5+5.5
5 Barcelona31191261%92.086.6+5.5
6 Joventut Badalona32181456%85.083.5+1.5
7 Gran Canaria32181456%84.383.8+0.6
8 Baskonia31161552%87.587.7-0.3
9 Manresa32161650%87.284.9+2.2
10 Murcia32151747%81.781.8-0.1
11 Breogan32131941%79.986.2-6.3
12 Basket Zaragoza31121939%88.990.0-1.1
13 MoraBanc Andorra32122038%87.891.7-4.0
14 Bilbao31112035%81.183.2-2.1
15 Forca Lleida31112035%83.387.6-4.3
16 Basquet Girona32112134%82.088.1-6.1
17 Granada3292328%81.887.5-5.8
18 Leyma Coruna3272522%85.895.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bilbao2528201021104
Basket Zaragoza2028211428111
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