PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olympiacos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 May 2024
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 92-75
19-20 22-22 31-17 20-16
Position#3
Record24-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#9
Record12-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game85.6
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Olympiacos v AEK Athens
14 Feb 2027
OLY v AAT
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLY94
AAT77
07 Dec 2025
OLY100
AAT93
04 May 2025
OLY87
AAT85
26 Jan 2025
OLY89
AAT70
15 May 2024
OLY92
AAT75
15 Oct 2023
OLY79
AAT71
08 Jan 2023
OLY111
AAT71
18 Feb 2022
OLY76
AAT70
03 Oct 2021
OLY103
AAT78
06 Jan 2019
OLY101
AAT75
01 Apr 2018
OLY100
AAT86
17 Feb 2018
OLY83
AAT88
26 Nov 2016
OLY78
AAT67
19 Feb 2015
OLY83
AAT77
31 Oct 2010
OLY82
AAT50
11 Apr 2010
OLY84
AAT53
19 Nov 2008
OLY81
AAT66
16 Nov 2008
OLY101
AAT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
90avg 79
H07/04
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
75avg 79
H12/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
72avg 79
A15/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
87avg 79
H18/04
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
77-75
77
75
+2
76avg 79
A24/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
71avg 79
A26/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
71avg 79
H30/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
92-58
92
58
+34
93avg 79
H02/05
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
63-59
63
59
+4
57avg 79
A08/05
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
100-66
100
66
+34
104avg 79
A12/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
20-29
21-15
27-16
19-19
19-15
15-18
16-17
16-23
17-15
22-21
16-18
20-9
24-27
18-8
18-25
19-18
25-17
17-19
16-21
14-27
23-16
20-17
12-17
13-13
24-19
14-25
20-14
21-23
32-14
19-10
20-11
9-12
16-15
15-13
23-19
23-19
25-18
31-11
21-18
153.4Avg total
80.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.169.2154.3+16.089%
Season at home (14)81.970.6152.5+11.493%
Season away (13)88.667.7156.3+20.985%
Last 10 (10)80.772.7153.4+8.070%
Last 5 (5)80.868.4149.2+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)78.673.8152.5+4.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.370.8155.2+13.5100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
87avg 80
H09/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 80
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
90avg 80
A16/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
67-79
67
79
-12
63avg 80
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
97-101
97
101
-4
no box
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 80
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
79-89
79
89
-10
71avg 80
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
100-67
100
67
+33
104avg 80
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 80
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 80
A27/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
18-23
29-20
26-31
15-35
29-20
19-24
26-21
24-17
23-20
23-22
20-23
12-11
17-20
17-24
21-24
29-29
22-29
25-18
21-25
13-20
28-19
25-21
22-25
13-26
29-24
16-25
21-14
31-10
19-13
30-23
20-21
29-28
20-19
29-21
21-23
25-25
18-16
17-19
19-21
174.1Avg total
87.5Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.285.6172.8+1.644%
Season at home (14)91.585.6177.1+5.957%
Season away (13)82.685.6168.2-3.031%
Last 10 (10)87.586.6174.1+0.940%
Last 5 (5)89.082.6171.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.293.2177.5-9.00%
vs Similar (11)85.086.3171.3-1.336%
vs Weaker (10)90.280.6170.8+9.670%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
OlympiacosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H07/04
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/04
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A24/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A26/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H30/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H02/05
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A08/05
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/05
Basket League
77.3Avg total
40.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.777.7+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.880.2+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)38.536.775.1+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.177.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.275.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)38.036.574.5+1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.138.879.9+2.367%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/04
Basket League
84.9Avg total
42.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.483.4-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.440.581.9+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.384.9-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.184.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.085.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.449.088.4-9.60%-
vs Similar (11)41.539.581.1+2.073%-
vs Weaker (10)42.740.683.3+2.150%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.721.3
59.7%
52.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.3
34.9%
33.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.212.6
69.2%
71.5%12.6
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.4
55.6%
52.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.1
33.5%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.9
76.8%
71.5%15.9
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWLLWWLWW
AEK Athens
LWWLWLLWLL
#3
League position
#9
+11.5
Net rating
+0.8
112.1
Offensive rating
111.9
100.7
Defensive rating
111.1
56.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
20.2%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
33.5%
67.9%
Assist %
62.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 111.9Defence100.7 · 111.1Shooting56.7% · 53.4%3-point %34.9% · 33.5%Ball care20.2% · 17.2%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Olympiacos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
AEK Athens wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24AKolossos Rhodes100-66
08/05/24ABarcelona63-59
02/05/24HBarcelona92-58
30/04/24HBarcelona80-82 OT
26/04/24ABarcelona69-77
24/04/24ABarcelona77-75
18/04/24HPromitheas80-69
15/04/24APanathinaikos71-77
12/04/24HFenerbahce84-81 OT
07/04/24HPeristeri91-83
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24AAS Karditsas79-81
21/04/24HPAOK99-91
14/04/24HLavrio100-67
06/04/24AApollon Patras79-89
01/04/24HMaroussi88-85
23/03/24HPeristeri97-101
20/03/24HPromitheas67-79
16/03/24AMaroussi90-82
12/03/24AMurcia89-100
09/03/24HPromitheas87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %89%93%85%
Points / game85.181.988.6
Allowed / game69.270.667.7
Point differential+16.0+11.4+20.9
Avg total154.3152.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%64%77%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLWWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%57%31%
Points / game87.291.582.6
Allowed / game85.685.685.6
Point differential+1.6+5.9-3.0
Avg total172.8177.1168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W10100100%84.665.1+19.5
2 Panathinaikos2726196%85.670.6+15.0
3 Olympiacos2724389%85.169.2+16.0
4 Klaipedos Neptunas W97278%75.660.7+14.9
5 Kibirkstis Vilnius W129375%82.063.2+18.8
6 Peristeri27161159%83.276.9+6.3
7 Promitheas27161159%83.980.0+3.9
8 Aris27131448%74.776.3-1.5
9 AEK Athens27121544%87.285.6+1.6
10 PAOK27111641%75.679.5-3.9
11 Maroussi27101737%81.785.4-3.6
12 AS Karditsas27101737%76.380.4-4.1
13 Kolossos Rhodes27101737%80.585.0-4.4
14 Lavrio27101737%77.184.7-7.7
15 Siauliai W114736%72.671.0+1.6
16 Aistes LSU Kaunas W1221017%57.077.6-20.6
17 Apollon Patras2742315%67.384.9-17.5
18 Panevezys W121118%58.185.2-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1922312092
AEK Athens2022171675
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.