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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 97-98
25-25 31-30 18-24 23-19
Position#21
Record9-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game105.8
Dallas Mavericks
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
Position#2
Record9-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game115.0
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
114-105
114
105
+9
98avg 99
H30/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
103-100
103
100
+3
91avg 99
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
111-110
111
110
+1
103avg 99
H05/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 99
H08/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
87-94
87
94
-7
64avg 99
A09/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
105-113
105
113
-8
90avg 99
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
117-112
117
112
+5
113avg 99
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
103-101
103
101
+2
89avg 99
H16/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
92-101
92
101
-9
66avg 99
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
127-99
127
99
+28
131avg 99
H19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-34
31-26
28-23
26-22
23-35
24-15
27-28
29-22
31-29
31-28
34-24
15-29
29-34
24-16
19-23
24-21
28-24
26-26
20-23
13-21
34-28
27-30
22-29
22-26
35-25
24-32
26-31
32-24
30-15
24-17
15-33
34-36
28-31
23-26
23-19
18-25
29-27
44-28
32-28
22-16
208.4Avg total
105.5Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)109.9105.8215.7+4.160%
Season at home (10)111.1103.5214.6+7.680%
Season away (5)107.4110.4217.8-3.020%
Last 10 (10)105.5102.9208.4+2.670%
Last 5 (5)108.8105.2214.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)127.099.0226.0+28.0100%
vs Similar (27)107.3105.7213.0+1.652%
vs Weaker (2)104.5106.5211.0-2.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
W
117-101
117
101
+16
110avg 111
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
110-121
110
121
-11
98avg 111
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-110
122
110
+12
126avg 111
A04/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
126-101
126
101
+25
134avg 111
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
115-109
115
109
+6
112avg 111
A08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
122-119
122
119
+3
119avg 111
A10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
112-131
112
131
-19
100avg 111
A12/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
126-103
126
103
+23
129avg 111
A14/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
103-106
103
106
-3
92avg 111
H17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
99-127
99
127
-28
84avg 111
A19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
28-25
26-28
28-23
31-26
20-29
34-38
25-28
42-29
29-28
22-38
29-15
40-27
30-24
29-25
27-25
28-28
37-34
29-27
21-20
35-27
21-43
33-25
33-24
25-33
32-33
34-31
21-34
32-20
30-27
35-29
29-27
27-30
27-25
30-25
19-26
27-29
28-44
28-32
16-22
228.0Avg total
115.2Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)114.9115.0229.9-0.160%
Season at home (5)115.6104.8220.4+10.880%
Season away (10)114.6120.1234.7-5.550%
Last 10 (10)115.2112.8228.0+2.460%
Last 5 (5)112.4117.2229.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)130.0140.0270.0-10.00%
vs Similar (18)115.1115.8230.9-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)118.1118.5236.6-0.564%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H30/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H05/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H08/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A09/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H16/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H19/11
NBA
110.0Avg total
57.4Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.251.5107.7+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.148.5105.6+8.675%-
Last 30 away (14)55.254.9110.1+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)57.452.6110.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)59.651.8111.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)73.055.0128.0+18.0100%-
vs Similar (27)55.751.0106.7+4.763%-
vs Weaker (2)55.057.0112.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A04/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A12/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A14/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A19/11
NBA
119.0Avg total
60.4Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.8118.7+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.758.4120.1+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)58.459.1117.5-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)60.458.6119.0+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)56.862.2119.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.066.0134.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (18)58.357.2115.5+1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)61.960.7122.6+1.264%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.024.5
57.0%
54.5%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.713.1
33.0%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws22.917.2
75.1%
78.1%17.2
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.929.8
53.3%
54.5%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.313.4
42.8%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws20.315.4
75.9%
78.1%15.4
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLWWLLWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LLWLWWWWLW
#21
League position
#2
+2.7
Net rating
+2.4
110.0
Offensive rating
115.1
107.3
Defensive rating
112.7
53.4%
Effective FG%
57.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
11.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
18.2%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.0%
3-point %
42.8%
55.3%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 115.1Defence107.3 · 112.7Shooting53.4% · 57.2%3-point %33.0% · 42.8%Ball care11.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds18.2% · 24.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Dallas Mavericks wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets127-99
04/01/22Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets103-89
16/11/21Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets111-101
30/10/21Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks106-75
14/03/21Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks103-116
26/01/21Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets113-117
08/01/21Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks117-124 OT
12/03/20Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets113-97
09/01/20Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets106-107
30/10/19Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks106-109
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HDenver Nuggets127-99
17/11/22HHouston Rockets92-101
16/11/22HLos Angeles Clippers103-101
13/11/22HPortland Trail Blazers117-112
11/11/22AWashington Wizards105-113
09/11/22AOrlando Magic87-94
08/11/22HBrooklyn Nets96-94
05/11/22HToronto Raptors111-110
03/11/22HUtah Jazz103-100
30/10/22HOrlando Magic114-105
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22ADallas Mavericks99-127
17/11/22HNew York Knicks103-106
14/11/22AChicago Bulls126-103
12/11/22ABoston Celtics112-131
10/11/22AIndiana Pacers122-119
08/11/22ASan Antonio Spurs115-109
06/11/22HSan Antonio Spurs126-101
04/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder122-110
31/10/22ALos Angeles Lakers110-121
29/10/22HUtah Jazz117-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %60%80%20%
Points / game109.9111.1107.4
Allowed / game105.8103.5110.4
Point differential+4.1+7.6-3.0
Avg total215.7214.6217.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %13%10%20%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %60%80%50%
Points / game114.9115.6114.6
Allowed / game115.0104.8120.1
Point differential-0.1+10.8-5.5
Avg total229.9220.4234.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1613381%120.2113.0+7.2
2 Milwaukee Bucks1511473%110.9106.6+4.3
3 Utah Jazz1812667%117.6114.2+3.4
4 Phoenix Suns1610662%115.1107.9+7.1
5 Cleveland Cavaliers1610662%115.7108.6+7.1
6 Portland Trail Blazers1610662%109.9108.3+1.6
7 Atlanta Hawks1610662%115.2114.4+0.8
8 Dallas Mavericks159660%109.9105.8+4.1
9 Sacramento Kings159660%121.4117.5+3.9
10 Indiana Pacers159660%116.4114.9+1.5
11 Denver Nuggets159660%114.9115.0-0.1
12 Memphis Grizzlies1710759%114.4114.0+0.4
13 Los Angeles Clippers1710759%105.2105.4-0.1
14 Washington Wizards1710759%108.6109.4-0.8
15 New Orleans Pelicans169756%116.2112.4+3.9
16 Toronto Raptors179853%112.5110.0+2.5
17 Philadelphia 76ers168850%108.6106.6+2.1
18 Minnesota Timberwolves168850%114.9115.2-0.4
19 Golden State Warriors178947%117.6117.4+0.2
20 Brooklyn Nets178947%111.6111.6+0.1
21 New York Knicks178947%112.4115.3-2.9
22 Oklahoma City Thunder167944%116.2116.8-0.6
23 Miami Heat1771041%108.6110.1-1.5
24 Chicago Bulls1661038%110.5111.6-1.1
25 San Antonio Spurs1761135%111.1120.1-9.0
26 Orlando Magic1751229%109.9112.9-3.0
27 Los Angeles Lakers1441029%110.2115.8-5.6
28 Charlotte Hornets1841422%109.5115.2-5.7
29 Houston Rockets1731418%108.6116.0-7.4
30 Detroit Pistons1831517%109.4118.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2531182397
Denver Nuggets2530241998
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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