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Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 103-109
29-29 26-21 18-26 30-33
Position#13
Record20-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#4
Record21-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game101.6
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics
30 Nov 2026
DAL v BOS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
DAL100
BOS110
25 Jan 2025
DAL107
BOS122
14 Jun 2024
DAL122
BOS84
12 Jun 2024
DAL99
BOS106
22 Jan 2024
DAL110
BOS119
05 Jan 2023
DAL95
BOS124
06 Nov 2021
DAL107
BOS104
23 Feb 2021
DAL110
BOS107
18 Dec 2019
DAL103
BOS109
24 Nov 2018
DAL113
BOS104
20 Nov 2017
DAL102
BOS110
15 Jul 2017
DAL91
BOS74
13 Feb 2017
DAL98
BOS111
12 Jul 2016
DAL82
BOS88
18 Jan 2016
DAL118
BOS113
03 Nov 2014
DAL118
BOS113
17 Mar 2014
DAL94
BOS89
22 Mar 2013
DAL104
BOS94
20 Feb 2012
DAL89
BOS73
08 Nov 2010
DAL89
BOS87
20 Mar 2010
DAL93
BOS102
12 Feb 2009
DAL92
BOS99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
99-114
99
114
-15
H27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
120-113
120
113
+7
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
114-100
114
100
+14
A01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
118-97
118
97
+21
A04/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
121-114
121
114
+7
H05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
130-84
130
84
+46
H07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-110
106
110
-4
H09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
122-111
122
111
+11
A13/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
118-122 OT
118
122
-4
H15/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
120-116
120
116
+4
A17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
19-28
31-31
22-21
31-25
22-25
36-39
31-24
25-30
34-32
35-17
20-21
24-24
35-29
25-22
34-22
30-25
23-31
27-28
41-30
31-28
33-24
40-14
26-18
27-36
19-30
32-26
28-18
34-29
31-29
30-27
27-26
23-37
27-36
31-18
31-21
36-22
23-34
27-20
34-40
224.9Avg total
116.8Scored
108.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)116.6108.3224.9+8.365%
Season at home (16)115.6105.7221.3+9.956%
Season away (15)117.6111.1228.7+6.573%
Last 10 (10)116.8108.1224.9+8.770%
Last 5 (5)119.2108.6227.8+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)115.5117.0232.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)114.5104.9219.4+9.671%
vs Weaker (14)119.7109.7229.4+10.064%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
103-102
103
102
+1
H26/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
121-110
121
110
+11
H28/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
107-112
107
112
-5
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
113-104
113
104
+9
A01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
W
112-93
112
93
+19
H05/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
108-95
108
95
+13
H07/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
110-88
110
88
+22
H10/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
117-122
117
122
-5
A12/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
109-115
109
115
-6
H13/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
21-18
23-25
35-26
19-22
34-24
22-29
28-27
30-23
27-40
34-23
30-24
24-31
31-27
26-29
26-25
31-30
27-28
23-27
32-19
20-28
32-16
30-25
30-24
33-26
20-19
32-19
23-31
29-18
24-22
30-26
27-22
32-30
25-31
37-23
23-38
34-28
25-28
21-25
29-34
212.9Avg total
109.2Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)110.8101.6212.5+9.275%
Season at home (13)113.5102.5216.1+11.092%
Season away (15)108.5100.9209.3+7.660%
Last 10 (10)109.2103.7212.9+5.560%
Last 5 (5)111.2102.6213.8+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)112.0103.4215.4+8.680%
vs Weaker (25)109.8100.4210.2+9.472%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
Dallas MavericksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A04/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
46-66
46
66
-20
H09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A13/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
50-73
50
73
-23
H15/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A17/12
NBA
114.2Avg total
55.4Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.254.8114.1+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.854.3112.1+3.550%-
Last 30 away (14)60.955.4116.3+5.471%-
Last 10 (10)55.458.8114.2-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)56.861.0117.8-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.058.5115.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)58.455.1113.6+3.357%-
vs Weaker (14)60.454.0114.4+6.464%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H26/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H28/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H05/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H07/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A12/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H13/12
NBA
104.7Avg total
53.1Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.349.4102.7+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.550.0103.5+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)53.148.8101.9+4.353%-
Last 10 (10)53.151.6104.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.849.2104.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)48.049.097.0-1.060%-
vs Weaker (25)54.449.5103.8+4.956%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.325.5
55.1%
52.3%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.715.4
36.1%
35.7%46.2
🏀 Free throws24.719.6
79.4%
77.2%19.6
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.628.5
53.2%
52.3%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.0
36.4%
35.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.016.2
81.0%
77.2%16.2
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLWLWWWWWL
Boston Celtics
LLWWWWLWWL
#13
League position
#4
+8.5
Net rating
+5.6
114.4
Offensive rating
110.6
105.9
Defensive rating
105.1
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.4%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.1%
3-point %
36.4%
57.9%
Assist %
53.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 110.6Defence105.9 · 105.1Shooting54.6% · 53.7%3-point %36.1% · 36.4%Ball care11.7% · 13.4%Off. rebounds23.0% · 24.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/19AMilwaukee Bucks120-116
15/12/19HMiami Heat118-122 OT
13/12/19ADetroit Pistons122-111
09/12/19HSacramento Kings106-110
07/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans130-84
05/12/19HMinnesota Timberwolves121-114
04/12/19ANew Orleans Pelicans118-97
01/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers114-100
30/11/19APhoenix Suns120-113
27/11/19HLos Angeles Clippers99-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/19HPhiladelphia 76ers109-115
12/12/19AIndiana Pacers117-122
10/12/19HCleveland Cavaliers110-88
07/12/19HDenver Nuggets108-95
05/12/19HMiami Heat112-93
01/12/19ANew York Knicks113-104
29/11/19ABrooklyn Nets107-112
28/11/19HBrooklyn Nets121-110
26/11/19HSacramento Kings103-102
23/11/19ADenver Nuggets92-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%56%73%
Points / game116.6115.6117.6
Allowed / game108.3105.7111.1
Point differential+8.3+9.9+6.5
Avg total224.9221.3228.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%25%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayLLLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %75%92%60%
Points / game110.8113.5108.5
Allowed / game101.6102.5100.9
Point differential+9.2+11.0+7.6
Avg total212.5216.1209.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%54%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks3329488%121.0107.6+13.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers3427779%111.9103.8+8.1
3 Boston Celtics2821775%110.8101.6+9.2
4 Denver Nuggets3022873%107.0101.3+5.7
5 Miami Heat3324973%112.5106.5+6.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers33231070%108.8103.1+5.7
7 Indiana Pacers32221069%110.4105.0+5.4
8 Toronto Raptors31211068%112.1106.6+5.4
9 Los Angeles Clippers32211166%112.9107.7+5.2
10 Houston Rockets32211166%120.2115.2+4.9
11 Dallas Mavericks31201165%116.6108.3+8.3
12 Brooklyn Nets30171357%111.0110.7+0.3
13 Utah Jazz31161552%108.1109.2-1.1
14 Oklahoma City Thunder30141647%107.7108.2-0.5
15 Sacramento Kings31141745%106.4108.2-1.8
16 Orlando Magic34151944%103.0104.0-1.0
17 Detroit Pistons33141942%108.4109.8-1.5
18 Phoenix Suns31131842%113.9113.7+0.3
19 Charlotte Hornets36142239%104.3109.9-5.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers31121939%112.0114.5-2.5
21 San Antonio Spurs31121939%110.6114.8-4.2
22 Chicago Bulls35132237%106.0107.5-1.5
23 Minnesota Timberwolves30111937%113.7118.1-4.4
24 Memphis Grizzlies31112035%110.1116.2-6.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans34122235%114.2118.8-4.6
26 Washington Wizards30102033%116.5119.2-2.8
27 New York Knicks3282425%102.8111.0-8.2
28 Cleveland Cavaliers3172423%102.3113.7-11.4
29 Golden State Warriors3372621%105.5114.0-8.6
30 Atlanta Hawks3372621%106.5117.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks29261830103
Boston Celtics29212633109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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