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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 131-112
33-25 33-32 31-34 34-21
Position#3
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game114.2
vs
Position#2
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game114.4
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
111-104
111
104
+7
106avg 107
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
126-120
126
120
+6
115avg 107
A22/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
102-120
102
120
-18
87avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
123-132 OT
123
132
-9
117avg 107
H28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
112-94
112
94
+18
114avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
113-114 OT
113
114
-1
107avg 107
A02/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
123-119
123
119
+4
115avg 107
H04/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
133-118
133
118
+15
128avg 107
A05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
109-106
109
106
+3
105avg 107
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
128-112
128
112
+16
126avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
29-29
30-26
22-27
36-33
32-35
31-26
27-26
39-30
15-35
25-35
23-20
34-33
41-29
24-33
15-19
34-15
24-32
29-21
25-26
27-35
29-15
20-33
31-24
26-31
37-26
30-30
30-32
32-29
35-37
34-30
32-22
28-34
37-20
19-31
25-21
29-21
34-28
32-30
33-33
231.9Avg total
118.0Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)118.7114.2232.9+4.573%
Season at home (5)122.4114.8237.2+7.680%
Season away (6)115.7113.7229.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)118.0113.9231.9+4.170%
Last 5 (5)121.2113.8235.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)108.1104.0212.1+4.054%
vs Weaker (6)117.0111.5228.5+5.583%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
128-123
128
123
+5
126avg 111
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-117
122
117
+5
120avg 111
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
110-135
110
135
-25
100avg 111
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
110-99
110
99
+11
112avg 111
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
117-101
117
101
+16
110avg 111
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
110-121
110
121
-11
98avg 111
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-110
122
110
+12
126avg 111
A04/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
126-101
126
101
+25
134avg 111
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
115-109
115
109
+6
112avg 111
A08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
122-119
122
119
+3
119avg 111
A10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-34
30-18
28-36
30-35
28-29
27-26
33-30
34-32
31-23
30-32
25-44
24-36
26-22
28-32
32-17
24-28
35-25
28-25
26-28
28-23
31-26
20-29
34-38
25-28
42-29
29-28
22-38
29-15
40-27
30-24
29-25
27-25
28-28
37-34
29-27
21-20
35-27
21-43
33-25
33-24
231.7Avg total
118.2Scored
113.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)116.7114.4231.1+2.473%
Season at home (4)118.8104.5223.2+14.2100%
Season away (7)115.6120.0235.6-4.457%
Last 10 (10)118.2113.5231.7+4.780%
Last 5 (5)119.0112.0231.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)115.4116.1231.5-0.853%
vs Weaker (11)120.6116.9237.5+3.773%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
D
68-68
68
68
+0
A22/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H30/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A02/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H04/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H10/11
NBA
119.7Avg total
62.8Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.351.6107.9+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.150.7107.9+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)55.552.4107.9+3.162%-
Last 10 (10)62.856.9119.7+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)62.855.2118.0+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)55.150.5105.6+4.767%-
vs Weaker (6)60.856.2117.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A04/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A10/11
NBA
117.7Avg total
61.6Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.158.4118.5+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.959.4120.3+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)59.357.6116.9+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)61.656.1117.7+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)62.659.0121.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)58.457.2115.5+1.235%-
vs Weaker (11)63.558.8122.4+4.773%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.7
55.3%
54.5%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.416.2
39.1%
35.8%48.6
🏀 Free throws23.420.0
85.5%
78.1%20.0
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.630.2
54.3%
54.5%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.614.1
43.3%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws21.515.5
72.1%
78.1%15.5
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWLLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+4.0
Net rating
+4.6
115.6
Offensive rating
115.2
111.6
Defensive rating
110.6
56.9%
Effective FG%
58.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
13.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
18.5%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.1%
3-point %
43.3%
63.8%
Assist %
66.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 115.2Defence111.6 · 110.6Shooting56.9% · 58.2%3-point %39.1% · 43.3%Ball care13.2% · 14.9%Off. rebounds18.5% · 24.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boston Celtics wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/22HDetroit Pistons128-112
08/11/22AMemphis Grizzlies109-106
05/11/22ANew York Knicks133-118
04/11/22HChicago Bulls123-119
02/11/22ACleveland Cavaliers113-114 OT
30/10/22HWashington Wizards112-94
28/10/22HCleveland Cavaliers123-132 OT
25/10/22AChicago Bulls102-120
22/10/22AOrlando Magic126-120
21/10/22AMiami Heat111-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/22AIndiana Pacers122-119
08/11/22ASan Antonio Spurs115-109
06/11/22HSan Antonio Spurs126-101
04/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder122-110
31/10/22ALos Angeles Lakers110-121
29/10/22HUtah Jazz117-101
27/10/22HLos Angeles Lakers110-99
25/10/22APortland Trail Blazers110-135
23/10/22HOklahoma City Thunder122-117
22/10/22AGolden State Warriors128-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game118.7122.4115.7
Allowed / game114.2114.8113.7
Point differential+4.5+7.6+2.0
Avg total232.9237.2229.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %73%100%57%
Points / game116.7118.8115.6
Allowed / game114.4104.5120.0
Point differential+2.4+14.2-4.4
Avg total231.1223.2235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%75%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks1110191%113.6105.4+8.3
2 Utah Jazz1310377%118.8112.7+6.1
3 Portland Trail Blazers129375%109.1106.6+2.5
4 Cleveland Cavaliers118373%116.6107.4+9.3
5 Phoenix Suns118373%113.9104.7+9.2
6 Boston Celtics118373%118.7114.2+4.5
7 Denver Nuggets118373%116.7114.4+2.4
8 Atlanta Hawks128467%115.7113.0+2.7
9 Memphis Grizzlies128467%116.8115.2+1.5
10 Toronto Raptors127558%112.2106.8+5.5
11 Los Angeles Clippers127558%104.7107.0-2.3
12 Dallas Mavericks116555%109.9106.7+3.2
13 New Orleans Pelicans126650%116.2113.6+2.7
14 Washington Wizards126650%107.5110.6-3.1
15 Chicago Bulls136746%111.4109.8+1.6
16 Indiana Pacers115645%117.3118.4-1.1
17 New York Knicks115645%112.3114.7-2.5
18 Brooklyn Nets125742%110.7109.2+1.4
19 Philadelphia 76ers125742%107.8107.0+0.8
20 Miami Heat125742%108.8109.4-0.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves125742%114.0115.8-1.8
22 San Antonio Spurs125742%113.7120.9-7.2
23 Sacramento Kings104640%115.9117.1-1.2
24 Oklahoma City Thunder114736%111.7114.0-2.3
25 Golden State Warriors114736%117.3120.6-3.4
26 Orlando Magic123925%110.1113.7-3.6
27 Detroit Pistons123925%108.1118.3-10.2
28 Charlotte Hornets1331023%108.2113.4-5.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers112918%107.7116.1-8.4
30 Houston Rockets1221017%110.2117.8-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics33333134131
Denver Nuggets25323421112
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