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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 108-128
23-28 25-41 33-33 27-26
Position#9
Record24-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game120.3
Allowed / game115.7
Denver Nuggets
USA
vs
Houston Rockets 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record25-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game107.7
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
134-121
134
121
+13
132avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
132-121
132
121
+11
131avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
139-120
139
120
+19
147avg 110
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
110-113
110
113
-3
102avg 110
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
122-111 OT
122
111
+11
115avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
106-118
106
118
-12
95avg 110
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
126-103
126
103
+23
124avg 110
H09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
124-105
124
105
+19
126avg 110
H11/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
112-101
112
101
+11
105avg 110
A12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
118-99
118
99
+19
121avg 110
A15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-38
31-23
47-28
20-32
36-37
28-29
34-23
34-32
40-33
34-38
41-24
24-25
30-32
22-28
38-27
20-26
30-27
24-28
27-37
27-16
25-37
32-20
26-31
23-30
33-19
33-31
32-27
28-26
32-36
33-23
29-20
30-26
17-32
41-29
21-28
33-12
36-21
35-24
20-22
27-32
233.5Avg total
122.3Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)120.3115.7236.0+4.662%
Season at home (19)120.5115.6236.2+4.963%
Season away (20)120.1115.8235.8+4.360%
Last 10 (10)122.3111.2233.5+11.180%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.2222.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)118.3131.0249.3-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)120.0114.1234.1+5.971%
vs Weaker (13)120.8112.5233.2+8.362%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-101
114
101
+13
107avg 105
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
128-111
128
111
+17
117avg 105
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
112-113
112
113
-1
100avg 105
H28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
100-104
100
104
-4
89avg 105
H30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
110-99
110
99
+11
85avg 105
H02/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
86-109
86
109
-23
62avg 105
H04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
119-115
119
115
+4
103avg 105
H06/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
135-112
135
112
+23
132avg 105
A08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
119-115
119
115
+4
98avg 105
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
120-118
120
118
+2
116avg 105
H14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
31-16
30-35
22-35
39-22
22-21
41-31
26-37
21-22
31-35
32-19
28-37
27-31
23-22
32-28
18-23
24-30
37-22
28-23
21-24
31-37
25-28
16-17
14-27
36-22
31-27
24-40
28-26
20-30
37-25
40-24
38-33
45-36
23-27
33-29
18-23
23-30
34-30
30-32
33-26
224.0Avg total
114.3Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)114.4107.7222.1+6.669%
Season at home (19)114.5107.0221.5+7.568%
Season away (17)114.2108.5222.7+5.671%
Last 10 (10)114.3109.7224.0+4.670%
Last 5 (5)115.8113.8229.6+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)102.0115.5217.5-13.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)113.7108.1221.8+5.675%
vs Weaker (13)117.8105.8223.6+11.977%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.5-4.5
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H11/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
71-45
71
45
+26
A15/01
NBA
121.3Avg total
62.8Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.360.7121.0-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.461.9121.3-2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)61.059.7120.7+1.329%-
Last 10 (10)62.858.5121.3+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)63.454.4117.8+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.367.7129.0-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)59.659.6119.3+0.043%-
vs Weaker (13)60.860.2120.9+0.638%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
62-31
62
31
+31
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H02/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/01
NBA
111.9Avg total
59.1Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.651.9108.5+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.452.4110.8+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)54.851.5106.3+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)59.152.8111.9+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)61.058.4119.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.860.2113.0-7.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)57.152.8109.9+4.258%-
vs Weaker (13)58.349.7108.0+8.677%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 122.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.134.5
56.5%
54.3%69.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.9
37.7%
35.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws22.217.6
79.3%
77.8%17.6
They take 92.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 114.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.229.5
51.6%
54.3%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.0
35.9%
35.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.3
73.1%
77.8%16.3
They take 93.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWLWWW
Houston Rockets
WWWWLWLLWW
#9
League position
#4
+10.7
Net rating
+4.7
118.2
Offensive rating
115.7
107.4
Defensive rating
111.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
11.5%
Turnover %
12.7%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.7%
3-point %
35.9%
67.2%
Assist %
49.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 115.7Defence107.4 · 111.1Shooting56.5% · 52.5%3-point %37.7% · 35.9%Ball care11.5% · 12.7%Off. rebounds26.0% · 34.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Houston Rockets wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets106-114
30/11/23Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets134-124
25/11/23Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets105-86
13/11/23Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets107-104
05/04/23Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets124-103
01/03/23Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets112-133
01/12/22Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets120-100
29/11/22Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets129-113
05/03/22Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets116-101
02/01/22Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets111-124
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25ADallas Mavericks118-99
12/01/25ADallas Mavericks112-101
11/01/25HBrooklyn Nets124-105
09/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers126-103
08/01/25HBoston Celtics106-118
05/01/25ASan Antonio Spurs122-111 OT
04/01/25HSan Antonio Spurs110-113
02/01/25HAtlanta Hawks139-120
31/12/24AUtah Jazz132-121
29/12/24HDetroit Pistons134-121
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25HMemphis Grizzlies120-118
10/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies119-115
08/01/25AWashington Wizards135-112
06/01/25HLos Angeles Lakers119-115
04/01/25HBoston Celtics86-109
02/01/25HDallas Mavericks110-99
30/12/24HMiami Heat100-104
28/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-113
27/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans128-111
24/12/24ACharlotte Hornets114-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWLLWW63%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %62%63%60%
Points / game120.3120.5120.1
Allowed / game115.7115.6115.8
Point differential+4.6+4.9+4.3
Avg total236.0236.2235.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%42%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeLWLWW68%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %69%68%71%
Points / game114.4114.5114.2
Allowed / game107.7107.0108.5
Point differential+6.6+7.5+5.6
Avg total222.1221.5222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %8%5%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3934587%122.3111.4+10.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3731684%116.3103.5+12.7
3 Boston Celtics40281270%117.5108.7+8.8
4 Houston Rockets36251169%114.4107.7+6.6
5 New York Knicks41271466%117.9111.0+6.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies41261563%123.0115.2+7.8
7 Denver Nuggets39241562%120.3115.7+4.6
8 Orlando Magic41231856%104.4103.4+1.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers38211755%108.9108.1+0.8
10 Dallas Mavericks40221855%115.9112.0+3.9
11 Milwaukee Bucks37201754%113.4111.4+2.0
12 Los Angeles Lakers37201754%111.6114.3-2.7
13 Minnesota Timberwolves39211854%109.6107.6+2.0
14 Indiana Pacers41221954%115.3115.2+0.0
15 Miami Heat38201853%110.8109.3+1.5
16 Atlanta Hawks38201853%117.8119.9-2.1
17 Detroit Pistons40211952%112.4113.3-0.9
18 Sacramento Kings40202050%116.1113.9+2.2
19 Golden State Warriors38191950%111.6111.2+0.4
20 San Antonio Spurs39192049%111.7112.0-0.2
21 Phoenix Suns39192049%112.5113.9-1.5
22 Chicago Bulls41182344%117.5120.5-3.1
23 Philadelphia 76ers39152438%107.6111.2-3.6
24 Brooklyn Nets40142635%107.9113.7-5.8
25 Portland Trail Blazers39132633%108.4116.8-8.5
26 Utah Jazz38102826%110.9117.6-6.7
27 Toronto Raptors41103124%111.0118.2-7.3
28 New Orleans Pelicans42103224%108.3117.0-8.8
29 Charlotte Hornets3682822%106.2112.4-6.2
30 Washington Wizards3863216%108.3122.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets23253327108
Houston Rockets28413326128
← all games of the day
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