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Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 106-118
25-37 32-20 26-31 23-30
Position#9
Record20-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game117.2
vs
Position#3
Record26-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game108.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 110
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
132-129 OT
132
129
+3
131avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
117-90
117
90
+27
119avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 110
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
135-149
135
149
-14
135avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
134-121
134
121
+13
132avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
132-121
132
121
+11
131avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
139-120
139
120
+19
147avg 110
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
110-113
110
113
-3
102avg 110
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
122-111 OT
122
111
+11
115avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-30
31-36
21-38
37-22
28-29
31-38
22-26
38-26
27-26
28-25
45-28
17-11
34-38
22-20
22-27
22-25
38-40
27-40
36-36
34-33
36-38
31-23
47-28
20-32
36-37
28-29
34-23
34-32
40-33
34-38
41-24
24-25
30-32
22-28
38-27
20-26
30-27
24-28
27-37
27-16
243.5Avg total
124.5Scored
119.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)120.8117.2238.0+3.559%
Season at home (16)120.9116.9237.8+3.962%
Season away (18)120.7117.5238.2+3.256%
Last 10 (10)124.5119.0243.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)127.4117.2244.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)124.3132.3256.7-8.033%
vs Similar (13)121.2118.1239.2+3.162%
vs Weaker (14)121.1112.8233.9+8.464%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
108-117
108
117
-9
91avg 111
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
123-98
123
98
+25
120avg 111
A22/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
104-108
104
108
-4
88avg 111
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
114-118
114
118
-4
105avg 111
H25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
142-105
142
105
+37
142avg 111
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
114-123
114
123
-9
102avg 111
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
125-71
125
71
+54
125avg 111
H31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
118-115
118
115
+3
108avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
109-86
109
86
+23
103avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
92-105
92
105
-13
80avg 111
A05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
32-33
29-28
22-35
28-28
33-26
32-23
30-21
32-21
26-22
21-36
25-29
25-30
33-36
24-16
32-36
39-22
28-23
36-33
39-27
29-27
29-38
33-33
23-25
23-12
22-23
45-18
35-18
28-35
34-16
29-34
27-30
37-31
28-25
17-16
27-14
35-32
30-23
15-21
12-29
219.5Avg total
114.9Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)118.5108.3226.9+10.272%
Season at home (19)119.1108.9227.9+10.268%
Season away (17)117.9107.7225.6+10.276%
Last 10 (10)114.9104.6219.5+10.350%
Last 5 (5)111.6100.0211.6+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)107.7112.3220.0-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)118.2106.7224.9+11.474%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
66-66
66
66
+0
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A05/01
NBA
124.7Avg total
61.2Scored
63.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.161.9122.0-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.663.2122.8-3.643%-
Last 30 away (16)60.660.8121.4-0.225%-
Last 10 (10)61.263.5124.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)62.262.6124.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)60.770.7131.3-10.00%-
vs Similar (13)59.461.8121.2-2.438%-
vs Weaker (14)60.660.2120.9+0.436%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A22/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A03/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A04/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A05/01
NBA
112.0Avg total
59.6Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.053.5113.5+6.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.352.6110.9+5.765%-
Last 30 away (13)62.254.8117.0+7.569%-
Last 10 (10)59.652.4112.0+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)59.052.4111.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)59.751.3111.0+8.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)60.053.8113.8+6.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 124.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.634.9
57.6%
54.3%69.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.812.3
37.5%
35.9%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.517.8
79.1%
77.8%17.8
They take 93.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.325.1
59.3%
54.3%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.716.8
35.2%
35.9%50.4
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
77.8%14.3
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 47.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWLLWWL
Boston Celtics
LWWWLWLLWL
#9
League position
#3
+5.3
Net rating
+10.5
118.9
Offensive rating
117.6
113.7
Defensive rating
107.1
57.1%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
11.6%
Turnover %
11.4%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.5%
3-point %
35.2%
71.8%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 117.6Defence113.7 · 107.1Shooting57.1% · 55.9%3-point %37.5% · 35.2%Ball care11.6% · 11.4%Off. rebounds24.9% · 26.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25ASan Antonio Spurs122-111 OT
04/01/25HSan Antonio Spurs110-113
02/01/25HAtlanta Hawks139-120
31/12/24AUtah Jazz132-121
29/12/24HDetroit Pistons134-121
28/12/24HCleveland Cavaliers135-149
26/12/24APhoenix Suns100-110
24/12/24HPhoenix Suns117-90
23/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans132-129 OT
20/12/24APortland Trail Blazers124-126
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AOklahoma City Thunder92-105
04/01/25AHouston Rockets109-86
03/01/25AMinnesota Timberwolves118-115
31/12/24HToronto Raptors125-71
29/12/24HIndiana Pacers114-123
28/12/24HIndiana Pacers142-105
25/12/24HPhiladelphia 76ers114-118
24/12/24AOrlando Magic104-108
22/12/24AChicago Bulls123-98
20/12/24HChicago Bulls108-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW59%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game120.8120.9120.7
Allowed / game117.2116.9117.5
Point differential+3.5+3.9+3.2
Avg total238.0237.8238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %12%0%22%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeLLWLW68%
AwayWLWWL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %72%68%76%
Points / game118.5119.1117.9
Allowed / game108.3108.9107.7
Point differential+10.2+10.2+10.2
Avg total226.9227.9225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%42%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %8%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3531489%122.5110.7+11.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3328585%115.2103.2+12.0
3 Boston Celtics36261072%118.5108.3+10.2
4 Houston Rockets34231168%114.1107.2+6.9
5 New York Knicks36241267%117.6110.5+7.1
6 Memphis Grizzlies37241365%123.1114.7+8.4
7 Orlando Magic37221559%105.1102.9+2.2
8 Denver Nuggets34201459%120.8117.2+3.5
9 Dallas Mavericks36211558%116.8111.7+5.1
10 Los Angeles Clippers36201656%109.1107.9+1.2
11 Los Angeles Lakers36201656%111.8114.0-2.1
12 Golden State Warriors34181653%112.9111.6+1.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves36191753%109.1107.7+1.4
14 Atlanta Hawks35181751%118.0120.6-2.6
15 Indiana Pacers37191851%115.2116.1-0.8
16 Milwaukee Bucks32161650%112.8111.3+1.4
17 Miami Heat34171750%111.3110.5+0.8
18 San Antonio Spurs36181850%111.4111.5-0.1
19 Detroit Pistons36181850%112.0113.8-1.8
20 Sacramento Kings37181949%116.0113.8+2.2
21 Chicago Bulls36171947%117.8121.0-3.2
22 Phoenix Suns35161946%111.8113.9-2.2
23 Philadelphia 76ers34142041%107.4110.7-3.3
24 Brooklyn Nets36132336%107.5113.5-6.0
25 Portland Trail Blazers35122334%108.1116.8-8.7
26 Utah Jazz3592626%111.6118.5-6.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3582723%106.1112.2-6.2
28 Toronto Raptors3682822%111.0119.0-7.9
29 New Orleans Pelicans3773019%107.2117.1-9.9
30 Washington Wizards3462818%109.0122.2-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25322623106
Boston Celtics37203130118
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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