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Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 116-123
30-25 26-30 31-40 29-28
Position#8
Record54-34
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game107.2
vs
Position#1
Record65-23
FormWWWLW
Points / game118.0
Allowed / game108.7
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· TD Garden
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Nov 2026
BOS109
MIL102
01 Feb 2026
BOS107
MIL79
06 Dec 2024
BOS111
MIL105
28 Oct 2024
BOS119
MIL108
20 Mar 2024
BOS122
MIL119
22 Nov 2023
BOS119
MIL116
25 Dec 2022
BOS139
MIL118
15 May 2022
BOS109
MIL81
11 May 2022
BOS107
MIL110
03 May 2022
BOS109
MIL86
01 May 2022
BOS89
MIL101
13 Dec 2021
BOS117
MIL103
12 Nov 2021
BOS122
MIL113
23 Dec 2020
BOS122
MIL121
30 Oct 2019
BOS116
MIL105
06 May 2019
BOS101
MIL113
03 May 2019
BOS116
MIL123
21 Dec 2018
BOS107
MIL120
01 Nov 2018
BOS117
MIL113
28 Apr 2018
BOS112
MIL96
24 Apr 2018
BOS92
MIL87
17 Apr 2018
BOS120
MIL106
15 Apr 2018
BOS113
MIL107
04 Dec 2017
BOS111
MIL100
18 Oct 2017
BOS100
MIL108
12 Apr 2017
BOS112
MIL94
29 Mar 2017
BOS100
MIL103
08 Apr 2016
BOS124
MIL109
25 Feb 2016
BOS112
MIL107
03 Apr 2015
BOS101
MIL110
03 Dec 2013
BOS108
MIL100
01 Nov 2013
BOS98
MIL105
21 Dec 2012
BOS94
MIL99
02 Nov 2012
BOS88
MIL99
26 Apr 2012
BOS87
MIL74
29 Feb 2012
BOS102
MIL96
13 Mar 2011
BOS87
MIL56
03 Nov 2010
BOS105
MIL102
14 Apr 2010
BOS95
MIL106
08 Dec 2009
BOS98
MIL89
07 Nov 2008
BOS101
MIL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
112-102
112
102
+10
108avg 102
A03/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
117-97
117
97
+20
no box
A06/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
108-116
108
116
-8
101avg 102
H07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
116-110
116
110
+6
104avg 102
A09/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 102
H14/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
99-91
99
91
+8
95avg 102
H17/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
104-96
104
96
+8
98avg 102
A20/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
110-106
110
106
+4
101avg 102
A21/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
112-90
112
90
+22
no box
A28/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
102-123
102
123
-21
90avg 102
A01/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
24-18
30-32
29-21
24-27
34-20
33-27
26-23
27-27
25-21
26-35
30-33
25-39
38-25
26-31
27-15
20-20
18-25
26-8
20-21
29-33
23-17
16-29
31-12
41-28
18-33
21-12
24-23
21-23
26-26
26-23
37-34
26-17
26-33
36-21
24-19
30-25
25-34
18-39
29-25
206.9Avg total
106.4Scored
100.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (88)111.7107.2218.9+4.561%
Season at home (43)113.0106.2219.2+6.970%
Season away (45)110.4108.2218.5+2.253%
Last 10 (10)106.4100.5206.9+5.980%
Last 5 (5)105.4101.2206.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)103.7103.7207.3+0.033%
vs Similar (14)105.6106.3211.9-0.750%
vs Weaker (13)114.2111.6225.8+2.569%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
128-122
128
122
+6
118avg 113
A05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
128-133
128
133
-5
124avg 113
H06/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
115-107
115
107
+8
108avg 113
H07/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
116-127
116
127
-11
no box
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
121-86
121
86
+35
121avg 113
H14/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
120-99
120
99
+21
123avg 113
H18/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
119-103
119
103
+16
117avg 113
A21/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
127-104
127
104
+23
131avg 113
A23/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
90-112
90
112
-22
no box
H28/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
123-102
123
102
+21
116avg 113
H01/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
26-32
26-28
46-36
26-34
39-32
31-42
32-25
28-21
26-24
31-27
30-35
31-29
27-39
31-30
27-29
38-18
32-25
27-18
24-25
38-27
20-32
35-17
27-23
32-24
35-30
33-24
19-25
26-28
30-34
39-23
32-19
17-26
33-26
21-36
19-24
25-30
34-25
39-18
25-29
228.2Avg total
118.7Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (88)118.0108.7226.7+9.374%
Season at home (45)119.3107.1226.4+12.280%
Season away (43)116.7110.4227.1+6.367%
Last 10 (10)118.7109.5228.2+9.270%
Last 5 (5)115.8104.0219.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)120.8112.0232.8+8.870%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Boston CelticsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A03/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A06/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A09/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H17/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A20/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A21/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A28/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A01/05
NBA
105.1Avg total
52.9Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.254.2108.3+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (12)52.453.0105.4-0.650%-
Last 30 away (18)55.354.9110.3+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)52.952.2105.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)53.053.8106.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)51.354.0105.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (14)52.654.5107.1-1.936%-
vs Weaker (13)56.553.8110.3+2.662%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H06/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H07/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
70-43
70
43
+27
H14/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H18/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A21/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A23/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H28/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H01/05
NBA
115.5Avg total
59.3Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.056.5115.6+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.155.8115.9+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)57.857.4115.2+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)59.356.2115.5+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)58.056.4114.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)59.056.5115.6+2.557%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.028.1
51.1%
51.7%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.3
37.3%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.9
77.2%
76.6%15.9
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.828.5
55.0%
51.7%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.613.5
35.9%
35.4%40.5
🏀 Free throws28.621.2
74.1%
76.6%21.2
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWWWWWLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWWWLWLW
#8
League position
#1
+5.5
Net rating
+9.1
106.1
Offensive rating
112.7
100.6
Defensive rating
103.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
54.5%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
12.0%
16.9%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.3%
3-point %
35.9%
58.9%
Assist %
60.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 112.7Defence100.6 · 103.6Shooting52.8% · 54.5%3-point %37.3% · 35.9%Ball care12.5% · 12.0%Off. rebounds16.9% · 20.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boston Celtics wins
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/19AMilwaukee Bucks102-123
28/04/19AMilwaukee Bucks112-90
21/04/19AIndiana Pacers110-106
20/04/19AIndiana Pacers104-96
17/04/19HIndiana Pacers99-91
14/04/19HIndiana Pacers84-74
09/04/19AWashington Wizards116-110
07/04/19HOrlando Magic108-116
06/04/19AIndiana Pacers117-97
03/04/19AMiami Heat112-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/19HBoston Celtics123-102
28/04/19HBoston Celtics90-112
23/04/19ADetroit Pistons127-104
21/04/19ADetroit Pistons119-103
18/04/19HDetroit Pistons120-99
14/04/19HDetroit Pistons121-86
11/04/19HOklahoma City Thunder116-127
07/04/19HAtlanta Hawks115-107
06/04/19HBrooklyn Nets128-133
05/04/19APhiladelphia 76ers128-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games884345
Win %61%70%53%
Points / game111.7113.0110.4
Allowed / game107.2106.2108.2
Point differential+4.5+6.9+2.2
Avg total218.9219.2218.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%35%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)56% (9)50% (10)
Overtime %5%5%4%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeLWWLW80%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games884543
Win %74%80%67%
Points / game118.0119.3116.7
Allowed / game108.7107.1110.4
Point differential+9.3+12.2+6.3
Avg total226.7226.4227.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%64%49%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)33% (6)36% (11)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks88652374%118.0108.7+9.3
2 Golden State Warriors90632770%118.0111.3+6.7
3 Toronto Raptors90632770%113.4107.2+6.2
4 Portland Trail Blazers89583165%114.2110.1+4.2
5 Denver Nuggets91593265%110.1106.4+3.7
6 Houston Rockets89573264%113.3108.5+4.8
7 Philadelphia 76ers90573363%115.1111.9+3.2
8 Boston Celtics88543461%111.7107.2+4.5
9 Utah Jazz87513659%110.9106.5+4.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder87503757%113.9111.1+2.9
11 San Antonio Spurs89513857%111.0109.6+1.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers88503857%115.1115.0+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers86483856%107.3104.4+2.8
14 Orlando Magic87434449%106.4106.6-0.2
15 Brooklyn Nets87434449%112.2112.9-0.7
16 Detroit Pistons86414548%106.6108.0-1.3
17 Miami Heat82394348%105.7105.9-0.2
18 Charlotte Hornets82394348%110.7111.8-1.1
19 Sacramento Kings82394348%114.2115.3-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers82374545%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves82364644%112.5114.0-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%108.9110.1-1.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans82334940%115.4116.8-1.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies82334940%103.5106.1-2.6
25 Washington Wizards82325039%114.0116.9-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks82295335%113.3119.4-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls82226027%104.9113.4-8.4
28 Phoenix Suns82196323%107.5116.8-9.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%104.5114.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks82176521%104.6113.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics30263129116
Milwaukee Bucks25304028123
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