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Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 119-108
28-29 25-27 37-26 29-26
Position#3
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game126.0
Allowed / game109.7
vs
Position#13
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game119.0
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Nov 2026
BOS v MIL
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
BOS107
MIL79
06 Dec 2024
BOS111
MIL105
28 Oct 2024
BOS119
MIL108
20 Mar 2024
BOS122
MIL119
22 Nov 2023
BOS119
MIL116
25 Dec 2022
BOS139
MIL118
15 May 2022
BOS109
MIL81
11 May 2022
BOS107
MIL110
03 May 2022
BOS109
MIL86
01 May 2022
BOS89
MIL101
13 Dec 2021
BOS117
MIL103
12 Nov 2021
BOS122
MIL113
23 Dec 2020
BOS122
MIL121
30 Oct 2019
BOS116
MIL105
06 May 2019
BOS101
MIL113
03 May 2019
BOS116
MIL123
21 Dec 2018
BOS107
MIL120
01 Nov 2018
BOS117
MIL113
28 Apr 2018
BOS112
MIL96
24 Apr 2018
BOS92
MIL87
17 Apr 2018
BOS120
MIL106
15 Apr 2018
BOS113
MIL107
04 Dec 2017
BOS111
MIL100
18 Oct 2017
BOS100
MIL108
12 Apr 2017
BOS112
MIL94
29 Mar 2017
BOS100
MIL103
08 Apr 2016
BOS124
MIL109
25 Feb 2016
BOS112
MIL107
03 Apr 2015
BOS101
MIL110
03 Dec 2013
BOS108
MIL100
01 Nov 2013
BOS98
MIL105
21 Dec 2012
BOS94
MIL99
02 Nov 2012
BOS88
MIL99
26 Apr 2012
BOS87
MIL74
29 Feb 2012
BOS102
MIL96
13 Mar 2011
BOS87
MIL56
03 Nov 2010
BOS105
MIL102
14 Apr 2010
BOS95
MIL106
08 Dec 2009
BOS98
MIL89
07 Nov 2008
BOS101
MIL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
114-111
114
111
+3
104avg 113
A26/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
105-102
105
102
+3
95avg 113
A28/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
107-89
107
89
+18
102avg 113
H07/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
105-98
105
98
+7
102avg 113
H10/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
106-99
106
99
+7
100avg 113
A13/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
84-122
84
122
-38
67avg 113
A15/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
106-88
106
88
+18
101avg 113
H18/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
132-109
132
109
+23
127avg 113
H22/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
122-102
122
102
+20
113avg 113
A24/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
124-118
124
118
+6
106avg 113
A26/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
25-38
24-21
33-21
29-27
29-30
22-26
25-19
37-20
26-22
23-24
21-23
25-28
29-23
29-23
22-24
30-31
20-20
35-19
21-29
21-34
14-27
25-31
24-30
28-18
39-28
19-21
20-21
43-24
31-31
39-32
19-22
33-32
31-22
34-19
24-29
42-31
31-31
21-31
30-25
214.3Avg total
110.5Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)126.0109.7235.7+16.3100%
Season at home (1)132.0109.0241.0+23.0100%
Season away (2)123.0110.0233.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)110.5103.8214.3+6.790%
Last 5 (5)113.6107.8221.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)135.0100.0235.0+35.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)112.1103.3215.4+8.883%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
88-113
88
113
-25
75avg 110
A14/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
109-94
109
94
+15
103avg 110
H21/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
108-125
108
125
-17
99avg 110
H24/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
118-121 OT
118
121
-3
108avg 110
A26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
113-126
113
126
-13
106avg 110
A28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
115-92
115
92
+23
110avg 110
H01/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
98-120
98
120
-22
83avg 110
A02/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
124-109
124
109
+15
124avg 110
A23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
122-133
122
133
-11
112avg 110
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
102-115
102
115
-13
97avg 110
A27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
12-25
29-33
17-33
30-21
39-21
14-29
26-23
26-30
29-30
28-32
25-33
22-39
33-28
28-23
28-21
33-33
31-34
21-31
28-28
23-31
30-17
34-19
28-25
24-33
23-26
31-34
20-27
22-23
36-24
42-34
24-28
32-30
32-33
31-39
27-31
25-27
20-21
33-35
24-32
224.5Avg total
109.7Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)116.0119.0235.0-3.033%
Season at home (1)122.0133.0255.0-11.00%
Season away (2)113.0112.0225.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)109.7114.8224.5-5.130%
Last 5 (5)112.2113.8226.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)112.0107.8219.8+4.250%
vs Similar (19)111.5116.5228.0-5.137%
vs Weaker (7)112.6112.9225.4-0.343%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
Boston CelticsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A26/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A28/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H07/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H10/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A13/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A15/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H18/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H22/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A24/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A26/10
NBA
114.3Avg total
59.5Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.252.9112.1+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (18)61.352.1113.3+9.283%-
Last 30 away (12)56.254.2110.3+2.067%-
Last 10 (10)59.554.8114.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)62.655.6118.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.047.0108.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)59.253.1112.3+6.176%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A14/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
69-42
69
42
+27
H21/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H24/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H01/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A02/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A27/10
NBA
110.0Avg total
55.2Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.556.5113.0-0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.751.7110.5+7.067%-
Last 30 away (15)54.261.3115.5-7.113%-
Last 10 (10)55.254.8110.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)53.453.0106.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)54.857.0111.8-2.250%-
vs Similar (19)57.758.6116.3-0.937%-
vs Weaker (7)54.150.4104.6+3.743%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.1
53.5%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.116.8
37.3%
35.9%50.4
🏀 Free throws19.115.9
83.2%
77.8%15.9
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.428.4
55.3%
54.3%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.3
34.7%
35.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws23.719.0
80.2%
77.8%19.0
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLWLLLWL
#3
League position
#13
+7.0
Net rating
-5.2
115.9
Offensive rating
111.5
108.8
Defensive rating
116.7
54.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
10.2%
Turnover %
12.5%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.3%
3-point %
34.7%
61.7%
Assist %
55.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 111.5Defence108.8 · 116.7Shooting54.7% · 54.0%3-point %37.3% · 34.7%Ball care10.2% · 12.5%Off. rebounds23.1% · 20.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ADetroit Pistons124-118
24/10/24AWashington Wizards122-102
22/10/24HNew York Knicks132-109
18/06/24HDallas Mavericks106-88
15/06/24ADallas Mavericks84-122
13/06/24ADallas Mavericks106-99
10/06/24HDallas Mavericks105-98
07/06/24HDallas Mavericks107-89
28/05/24AIndiana Pacers105-102
26/05/24AIndiana Pacers114-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24ABrooklyn Nets102-115
26/10/24HChicago Bulls122-133
23/10/24APhiladelphia 76ers124-109
02/05/24AIndiana Pacers98-120
01/05/24HIndiana Pacers115-92
28/04/24AIndiana Pacers113-126
26/04/24AIndiana Pacers118-121 OT
24/04/24HIndiana Pacers108-125
21/04/24HIndiana Pacers109-94
14/04/24AOrlando Magic88-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game126.0132.0123.0
Allowed / game109.7109.0110.0
Point differential+16.3+23.0+13.0
Avg total235.7241.0233.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game116.0122.0113.0
Allowed / game119.0133.0112.0
Point differential-3.0-11.0+1.0
Avg total235.0255.0225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers330100%128.0107.7+20.3
2 Oklahoma City Thunder330100%114.795.3+19.3
3 Boston Celtics330100%126.0109.7+16.3
4 Los Angeles Lakers330100%121.3115.3+6.0
5 Orlando Magic43175%115.5109.2+6.2
6 Golden State Warriors32167%123.7100.7+23.0
7 Los Angeles Clippers32167%111.3108.0+3.3
8 Phoenix Suns32167%115.3112.7+2.7
9 Minnesota Timberwolves32167%110.7108.7+2.0
10 Memphis Grizzlies32167%119.3121.0-1.7
11 New Orleans Pelicans32167%110.3113.0-2.7
12 Atlanta Hawks32167%116.3121.3-5.0
13 New York Knicks21150%116.0115.0+1.0
14 Dallas Mavericks21150%111.0111.5-0.5
15 San Antonio Spurs21150%109.0113.0-4.0
16 Miami Heat21150%105.5111.0-5.5
17 Houston Rockets31233%113.0109.0+4.0
18 Brooklyn Nets31233%110.7112.7-2.0
19 Charlotte Hornets31233%112.0114.7-2.7
20 Milwaukee Bucks31233%116.0119.0-3.0
21 Portland Trail Blazers31233%110.7116.0-5.3
22 Philadelphia 76ers31233%111.3117.7-6.3
23 Chicago Bulls31233%113.0119.7-6.7
24 Toronto Raptors31233%107.3118.3-11.0
25 Indiana Pacers41325%110.5117.2-6.8
26 Sacramento Kings2020%121.0124.0-3.0
27 Detroit Pistons3030%109.3117.3-8.0
28 Denver Nuggets2020%95.5105.5-10.0
29 Washington Wizards2020%109.0128.5-19.5
30 Utah Jazz2020%105.0126.5-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics28253729119
Milwaukee Bucks29272626108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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