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Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 107-79
26-26 30-16 22-19 29-18
Position#5
Record30-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game116.3
Allowed / game109.7
vs
Position#21
Record18-28
FormWLLLL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game115.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Nov 2026
BOS109
MIL102
01 Feb 2026
BOS107
MIL79
06 Dec 2024
BOS111
MIL105
28 Oct 2024
BOS119
MIL108
20 Mar 2024
BOS122
MIL119
22 Nov 2023
BOS119
MIL116
25 Dec 2022
BOS139
MIL118
15 May 2022
BOS109
MIL81
11 May 2022
BOS107
MIL110
03 May 2022
BOS109
MIL86
01 May 2022
BOS89
MIL101
13 Dec 2021
BOS117
MIL103
12 Nov 2021
BOS122
MIL113
23 Dec 2020
BOS122
MIL121
30 Oct 2019
BOS116
MIL105
06 May 2019
BOS101
MIL113
03 May 2019
BOS116
MIL123
21 Dec 2018
BOS107
MIL120
01 Nov 2018
BOS117
MIL113
28 Apr 2018
BOS112
MIL96
24 Apr 2018
BOS92
MIL87
17 Apr 2018
BOS120
MIL106
15 Apr 2018
BOS113
MIL107
04 Dec 2017
BOS111
MIL100
18 Oct 2017
BOS100
MIL108
12 Apr 2017
BOS112
MIL94
29 Mar 2017
BOS100
MIL103
08 Apr 2016
BOS124
MIL109
25 Feb 2016
BOS112
MIL107
03 Apr 2015
BOS101
MIL110
03 Dec 2013
BOS108
MIL100
01 Nov 2013
BOS98
MIL105
21 Dec 2012
BOS94
MIL99
02 Nov 2012
BOS88
MIL99
26 Apr 2012
BOS87
MIL74
29 Feb 2012
BOS102
MIL96
13 Mar 2011
BOS87
MIL56
03 Nov 2010
BOS105
MIL102
14 Apr 2010
BOS95
MIL106
08 Dec 2009
BOS98
MIL89
07 Nov 2008
BOS101
MIL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
96-98
96
98
-2
88avg 106
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
119-114
119
114
+5
112avg 106
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
132-106
132
106
+26
132avg 106
A18/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
103-104
103
104
-1
87avg 106
A20/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
119-104
119
104
+15
117avg 106
H22/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
116avg 106
A24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
111-114
111
114
-3
98avg 106
A25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
102-94
102
94
+8
89avg 106
H27/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
106-117
106
117
-11
100avg 106
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-93
112
93
+19
101avg 106
H31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
32-34
21-26
19-19
25-36
29-28
29-29
36-21
30-23
52-28
35-23
15-32
29-26
22-33
31-25
21-20
30-20
36-26
25-32
28-26
28-28
21-27
29-26
26-23
28-30
30-22
27-36
26-26
32-11
20-26
23-28
27-29
18-38
28-22
30-27
30-30
40-25
32-21
17-20
23-27
220.0Avg total
113.0Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)116.3109.7226.0+6.662%
Season at home (23)115.8109.4225.2+6.465%
Season away (25)116.8110.0226.8+6.760%
Last 10 (10)113.0107.0220.0+6.060%
Last 5 (5)112.2108.8221.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)107.2109.4216.6-2.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)119.2109.4228.6+9.876%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 105
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
105-101
105
101
+4
101avg 105
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
104-108
104
108
-4
100avg 105
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
106-139
106
139
-33
96avg 105
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
86avg 105
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
112-110
112
110
+2
110avg 105
A19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
102-122
102
122
-20
101avg 105
H22/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
100-102
100
102
-2
94avg 105
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
122-139
122
139
-17
116avg 105
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
99-109
99
109
-10
85avg 105
A30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
22-33
29-34
31-22
24-25
37-27
25-25
19-24
23-27
29-35
22-23
30-23
20-38
25-38
33-30
28-33
27-31
26-35
16-40
32-13
20-19
34-19
26-34
32-38
18-38
33-31
26-30
25-23
21-21
21-27
21-30
37-24
34-42
28-29
33-35
27-33
23-25
20-32
29-25
27-27
223.3Avg total
106.4Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)111.8115.8227.7-4.039%
Season at home (21)115.1117.2232.3-2.143%
Season away (25)109.1114.6223.7-5.636%
Last 10 (10)106.4116.9223.3-10.520%
Last 5 (5)107.0116.4223.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)109.0115.5224.5-6.629%
vs Similar (6)106.7107.7214.3-1.067%
vs Weaker (3)112.7117.3230.0-4.70%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
Boston CelticsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
82-51
82
51
+31
A18/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A20/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H22/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H27/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-46
72
46
+26
H31/01
NBA
110.9Avg total
58.6Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.754.6115.3+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.250.8108.9+7.469%-
Last 30 away (17)62.757.5120.2+5.271%-
Last 10 (10)58.652.3110.9+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)55.450.0105.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)55.854.4110.2+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)61.754.6116.3+7.172%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
45-76
45
76
-31
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H22/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A30/01
NBA
111.9Avg total
51.6Scored
60.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.859.0113.8-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (12)53.262.5115.7-9.38%-
Last 30 away (18)55.856.7112.5-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)51.660.3111.9-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)50.456.6107.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)53.760.7114.4-7.019%-
vs Similar (6)57.352.7110.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker (3)57.060.0117.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.927.2
53.4%
54.8%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.214.6
35.4%
35.8%43.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.8
79.6%
78.1%14.8
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.825.6
53.6%
54.8%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.213.9
37.4%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws19.213.5
70.3%
78.1%13.5
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLWLWWLWWL
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLWLLLWL
#5
League position
#21
+6.0
Net rating
-10.6
113.3
Offensive rating
107.8
107.3
Defensive rating
118.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
12.3%
Turnover %
13.0%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
18.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.4%
3-point %
37.4%
57.7%
Assist %
67.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 107.8Defence107.3 · 118.5Shooting53.3% · 54.6%3-point %35.4% · 37.4%Ball care12.3% · 13.0%Off. rebounds27.1% · 18.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HSacramento Kings112-93
29/01/26HAtlanta Hawks106-117
27/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers102-94
25/01/26AChicago Bulls111-114
24/01/26ABrooklyn Nets130-126 OT
22/01/26HIndiana Pacers119-104
20/01/26ADetroit Pistons103-104
18/01/26AAtlanta Hawks132-106
16/01/26AMiami Heat119-114
13/01/26AIndiana Pacers96-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26AWashington Wizards99-109
28/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers122-139
24/01/26HDenver Nuggets100-102
22/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder102-122
19/01/26AAtlanta Hawks112-110
16/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs101-119
14/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves106-139
12/01/26ADenver Nuggets104-108
10/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-101
08/01/26AGolden State Warriors113-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeLWWLW65%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %62%65%60%
Points / game116.3115.8116.8
Allowed / game109.7109.4110.0
Point differential+6.6+6.4+6.7
Avg total226.0225.2226.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%35%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)33% (6)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeLWLLL43%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462125
Win %39%43%36%
Points / game111.8115.1109.1
Allowed / game115.8117.2114.6
Point differential-4.0-2.1-5.6
Avg total227.7232.3223.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)40% (5)44% (9)
Overtime %4%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder47371079%120.1108.3+11.9
2 Detroit Pistons47351274%117.1110.4+6.7
3 Denver Nuggets49331667%120.1115.6+4.5
4 San Antonio Spurs46301665%116.8112.0+4.8
5 Houston Rockets47301764%116.0109.9+6.0
6 Los Angeles Lakers46291763%116.4116.1+0.3
7 Boston Celtics48301862%116.3109.7+6.6
8 Phoenix Suns48301862%114.8110.7+4.0
9 Minnesota Timberwolves50311962%119.3114.1+5.2
10 New York Knicks46281861%117.4112.4+5.0
11 Toronto Raptors49292059%114.0112.3+1.6
12 Cleveland Cavaliers50292158%119.1116.3+2.8
13 Philadelphia 76ers48272156%116.7115.8+0.9
14 Golden State Warriors50272354%116.7114.0+2.7
15 Orlando Magic45242153%115.6115.5+0.1
16 Miami Heat49262353%120.0118.4+1.6
17 Chicago Bulls49242549%117.8119.7-1.9
18 Atlanta Hawks51242747%117.2118.3-1.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers49232647%115.1117.6-2.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers47222547%112.6113.0-0.4
21 Charlotte Hornets50222844%116.2114.6+1.7
22 Milwaukee Bucks46182839%111.8115.8-4.0
23 Dallas Mavericks49193039%114.1116.6-2.5
24 Memphis Grizzlies47182938%114.6116.6-2.0
25 Utah Jazz49153431%118.4127.4-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets47133428%107.7114.4-6.7
27 Indiana Pacers49133627%110.7118.4-7.8
28 Washington Wizards47123526%112.2122.7-10.5
29 New Orleans Pelicans51133825%114.4120.9-6.5
30 Sacramento Kings50123824%110.1120.5-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics26302229107
Milwaukee Bucks2616191879
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