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Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 111-105
29-27 24-30 25-25 33-23
Position#3
Record18-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game110.2
vs
Position#13
Record11-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game112.5
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Nov 2026
BOS v MIL
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
BOS107
MIL79
06 Dec 2024
BOS111
MIL105
28 Oct 2024
BOS119
MIL108
20 Mar 2024
BOS122
MIL119
22 Nov 2023
BOS119
MIL116
25 Dec 2022
BOS139
MIL118
15 May 2022
BOS109
MIL81
11 May 2022
BOS107
MIL110
03 May 2022
BOS109
MIL86
01 May 2022
BOS89
MIL101
13 Dec 2021
BOS117
MIL103
12 Nov 2021
BOS122
MIL113
23 Dec 2020
BOS122
MIL121
30 Oct 2019
BOS116
MIL105
06 May 2019
BOS101
MIL113
03 May 2019
BOS116
MIL123
21 Dec 2018
BOS107
MIL120
01 Nov 2018
BOS117
MIL113
28 Apr 2018
BOS112
MIL96
24 Apr 2018
BOS92
MIL87
17 Apr 2018
BOS120
MIL106
15 Apr 2018
BOS113
MIL107
04 Dec 2017
BOS111
MIL100
18 Oct 2017
BOS100
MIL108
12 Apr 2017
BOS112
MIL94
29 Mar 2017
BOS100
MIL103
08 Apr 2016
BOS124
MIL109
25 Feb 2016
BOS112
MIL107
03 Apr 2015
BOS101
MIL110
03 Dec 2013
BOS108
MIL100
01 Nov 2013
BOS98
MIL105
21 Dec 2012
BOS94
MIL99
02 Nov 2012
BOS88
MIL99
26 Apr 2012
BOS87
MIL74
29 Feb 2012
BOS102
MIL96
13 Mar 2011
BOS87
MIL56
03 Nov 2010
BOS105
MIL102
14 Apr 2010
BOS95
MIL106
08 Dec 2009
BOS98
MIL89
07 Nov 2008
BOS101
MIL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
139-114
139
114
+25
138avg 113
A14/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
126-123 OT
126
123
+3
116avg 113
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
120-117
120
117
+3
119avg 113
H20/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
108-96
108
96
+12
97avg 113
A23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
107-105
107
105
+2
97avg 113
H24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
126-94
126
94
+32
127avg 113
H26/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
138-129
138
129
+9
129avg 113
A30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
111-115
111
115
-4
94avg 113
A01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
108-89
108
89
+19
105avg 113
H03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
130-120
130
120
+10
122avg 113
H05/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
33-26
38-29
36-25
28-26
28-28
30-31
28-29
26-20
39-28
28-40
27-29
29-27
20-24
26-21
33-24
24-27
31-25
29-21
23-32
27-20
51-29
21-29
27-16
39-30
28-37
29-29
42-33
24-28
25-23
35-21
27-43
28-25
32-20
25-18
23-26
39-24
33-34
31-30
27-32
231.5Avg total
121.3Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)120.5110.2230.7+10.382%
Season at home (11)118.5109.5228.0+9.182%
Season away (11)122.5111.0233.5+11.582%
Last 10 (10)121.3110.2231.5+11.190%
Last 5 (5)122.6109.4232.0+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)115.5116.0231.5-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)116.9107.6224.5+9.386%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
127-120 OT
127
120
+7
119avg 108
H14/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
114-115
114
115
-1
108avg 108
A16/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
101-100
101
100
+1
92avg 108
H19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
122-106
122
106
+16
123avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
129-117
129
117
+12
129avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
125-119
125
119
+6
117avg 108
H24/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
106-103
106
103
+3
102avg 108
A27/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
124-114
124
114
+10
120avg 108
H01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
128-107
128
107
+21
124avg 108
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
104-119
104
119
-15
94avg 108
H05/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
23-33
38-24
26-27
39-33
24-26
27-27
24-29
27-28
30-17
26-35
18-20
36-30
33-27
29-33
24-16
34-22
24-22
35-35
36-38
28-28
31-23
37-34
29-34
31-20
34-31
20-29
21-23
28-29
35-29
29-28
32-28
36-31
42-28
32-29
18-19
35-38
24-32
28-29
17-20
230.0Avg total
118.0Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)113.6112.5226.0+1.152%
Season at home (12)116.3111.7228.0+4.767%
Season away (9)109.9113.6223.4-3.733%
Last 10 (10)118.0112.0230.0+6.080%
Last 5 (5)117.4112.4229.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)109.8117.4227.2-7.60%
vs Similar (18)111.0112.9223.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (7)115.9108.1224.0+7.771%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Boston CelticsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A14/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H20/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H26/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
D
67-67
67
67
+0
A30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H05/12
NBA
115.1Avg total
61.6Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.155.1115.2+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.550.9111.4+9.780%-
Last 30 away (15)59.759.3119.0+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)61.653.5115.1+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)65.254.0119.2+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)57.049.5106.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)60.455.5115.8+4.964%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H14/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A16/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H21/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H23/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H24/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A27/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
78-59
78
59
+19
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H05/12
NBA
117.2Avg total
61.8Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.056.9114.8+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.954.4114.4+5.575%-
Last 30 away (14)55.759.6115.4-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)61.855.4117.2+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)64.857.8122.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)59.862.8122.6-3.060%-
vs Similar (18)57.856.9114.8+0.950%-
vs Weaker (7)57.052.4109.4+4.671%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 121.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers59.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.8
56.7%
54.3%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.219.9
38.9%
35.9%59.7
🏀 Free throws20.416.0
78.4%
77.8%16.0
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 51.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.425.8
54.4%
54.3%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.616.5
43.9%
35.9%49.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
77.8%16.9
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWLWWWWWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#13
+11.1
Net rating
+5.9
121.6
Offensive rating
116.8
110.4
Defensive rating
110.9
57.6%
Effective FG%
59.5%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
10.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
19.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.9%
3-point %
43.9%
63.9%
Assist %
62.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence121.6 · 116.8Defence110.4 · 110.9Shooting57.6% · 59.5%3-point %38.9% · 43.9%Ball care10.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds24.5% · 19.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boston Celtics wins
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HDetroit Pistons130-120
03/12/24HMiami Heat108-89
01/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers111-115
30/11/24AChicago Bulls138-129
26/11/24HLos Angeles Clippers126-94
24/11/24HMinnesota Timberwolves107-105
23/11/24AWashington Wizards108-96
20/11/24HCleveland Cavaliers120-117
17/11/24HToronto Raptors126-123 OT
14/11/24ABrooklyn Nets139-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HAtlanta Hawks104-119
04/12/24ADetroit Pistons128-107
01/12/24HWashington Wizards124-114
27/11/24AMiami Heat106-103
24/11/24HCharlotte Hornets125-119
23/11/24HIndiana Pacers129-117
21/11/24HChicago Bulls122-106
19/11/24HHouston Rockets101-100
16/11/24ACharlotte Hornets114-115
14/11/24HDetroit Pistons127-120 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %82%82%82%
Points / game120.5118.5122.5
Allowed / game110.2109.5111.0
Point differential+10.3+9.1+11.5
Avg total230.7228.0233.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%45%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %14%18%9%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %52%67%33%
Points / game113.6116.3109.9
Allowed / game112.5111.7113.6
Point differential+1.1+4.7-3.7
Avg total226.0228.0223.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%42%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers2320387%122.0111.4+10.6
2 Boston Celtics2218482%120.5110.2+10.3
3 Oklahoma City Thunder2217577%115.5103.5+12.0
4 Memphis Grizzlies2315865%121.1113.1+8.0
5 Dallas Mavericks2315865%118.9111.2+7.7
6 Houston Rockets2315865%113.5106.6+6.9
7 Orlando Magic2516964%107.3103.0+4.3
8 New York Knicks2214864%118.3110.7+7.5
9 Golden State Warriors2113862%115.3109.4+5.9
10 Los Angeles Clippers24141058%108.8107.0+1.8
11 Phoenix Suns2112957%113.2113.5-0.2
12 Denver Nuggets2011955%117.8116.8+1.1
13 Los Angeles Lakers22121055%111.5115.7-4.3
14 Minnesota Timberwolves21111052%110.9107.4+3.5
15 Milwaukee Bucks21111052%113.6112.5+1.1
16 Atlanta Hawks23121152%116.6118.4-1.8
17 Miami Heat20101050%111.3109.0+2.3
18 San Antonio Spurs22111150%110.9111.7-0.9
19 Sacramento Kings23101343%114.3113.9+0.4
20 Chicago Bulls23101343%119.8123.3-3.5
21 Brooklyn Nets23101343%110.0113.7-3.7
22 Indiana Pacers2391439%113.4118.2-4.8
23 Detroit Pistons2491538%110.1113.1-3.0
24 Portland Trail Blazers2281436%107.1115.3-8.1
25 Toronto Raptors2371630%112.3117.0-4.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers2161529%105.0110.6-5.5
27 Charlotte Hornets2261627%107.0112.6-5.5
28 New Orleans Pelicans2351822%104.3116.4-12.1
29 Utah Jazz2141719%108.2118.6-10.3
30 Washington Wizards2021810%106.7123.5-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics29242533111
Milwaukee Bucks27302523105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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