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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 129-106
40-35 26-25 36-31 27-15
Position#2
Record18-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game113.6
vs
Position#4
Record22-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game106.6
USANBA· Paycom Center (Oklahoma)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Mar 2027
OKC v MIN
upcoming
25 Nov 2026
OKC v MIN
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OKC116
MIN103
26 Nov 2025
OKC113
MIN105
28 May 2025
OKC124
MIN94
22 May 2025
OKC118
MIN103
20 May 2025
OKC114
MIN88
24 Feb 2025
OKC128
MIN131
31 Dec 2024
OKC113
MIN105
29 Jan 2024
OKC101
MIN107
26 Dec 2023
OKC129
MIN106
16 Dec 2022
OKC110
MIN112
23 Oct 2022
OKC106
MIN116
04 Mar 2022
OKC101
MIN138
07 Jan 2022
OKC105
MIN135
06 Feb 2021
OKC120
MIN118
05 Feb 2021
OKC103
MIN106
13 Mar 2020
OKC v MIN
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
OKC139
MIN127
08 Jan 2019
OKC117
MIN119
23 Dec 2018
OKC112
MIN114
01 Dec 2017
OKC111
MIN107
22 Oct 2017
OKC113
MIN115
25 Dec 2016
OKC112
MIN100
05 Nov 2016
OKC112
MIN92
11 Mar 2016
OKC96
MIN99
15 Jan 2016
OKC113
MIN93
13 Mar 2015
OKC113
MIN99
26 Jan 2015
OKC92
MIN84
05 Feb 2014
OKC106
MIN97
01 Dec 2013
OKC113
MIN103
22 Feb 2013
OKC127
MIN111
09 Jan 2013
OKC106
MIN84
23 Mar 2012
OKC149
MIN140
25 Mar 2011
OKC111
MIN103
22 Nov 2010
OKC117
MIN107
04 Apr 2010
OKC116
MIN108
26 Feb 2010
OKC109
MIN92
28 Nov 2008
OKC103
MIN105
02 Nov 2008
OKC88
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
133-110
133
110
+23
130avg 110
H01/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
126-120
126
120
+6
114avg 110
A03/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
101-110
101
110
-9
83avg 110
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
138-136 OT
138
136
+2
118avg 110
H09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
134-120
134
120
+14
130avg 110
H12/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
123-128
123
128
-5
108avg 110
A15/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
118-117
118
117
+1
110avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
116-97
116
97
+19
116avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
134-115
134
115
+19
136avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
120-129
120
129
-9
108avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-37
42-23
36-28
25-22
33-27
39-29
35-28
19-36
22-32
28-23
24-25
27-30
19-28
37-34
33-22
29-34
34-20
32-32
45-23
23-45
30-29
23-30
39-41
31-28
27-31
27-25
31-31
33-30
34-26
34-27
26-13
22-31
35-29
29-30
45-33
25-23
39-36
20-35
32-36
29-22
242.5Avg total
124.3Scored
118.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)120.7113.6234.3+7.167%
Season at home (15)123.7116.7240.4+6.967%
Season away (12)117.0109.8226.8+7.267%
Last 10 (10)124.3118.2242.5+6.170%
Last 5 (5)122.2117.2239.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)107.9114.1222.0-6.343%
vs Weaker (23)123.3113.3236.7+10.074%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
123-117
123
117
+6
118avg 108
A02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
102-94
102
94
+8
96avg 108
H07/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
127-103
127
103
+24
130avg 108
A09/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
107-121
107
121
-14
99avg 108
A12/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
119-101
119
101
+18
115avg 108
A15/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
127-109
127
109
+18
126avg 108
H17/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
112-108
112
108
+4
110avg 108
A19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
113-127
113
127
-14
106avg 108
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
118-111
118
111
+7
114avg 108
H22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
110-98
110
98
+12
109avg 108
A24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
32-36
26-28
35-30
25-22
21-31
25-18
31-23
33-31
27-24
38-24
29-24
29-29
23-30
34-31
21-31
26-30
33-30
28-22
32-19
23-20
34-35
38-23
32-31
22-33
32-33
23-17
35-25
24-28
36-36
27-26
26-37
36-32
27-27
24-24
31-28
28-20
31-27
22-23
29-28
224.7Avg total
115.8Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)113.5106.6220.1+7.079%
Season at home (13)113.0101.1214.1+11.992%
Season away (15)114.0111.3225.3+2.767%
Last 10 (10)115.8108.9224.7+6.980%
Last 5 (5)116.0110.6226.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.3109.7222.0+2.767%
vs Similar ◀ (13)114.5108.8223.3+5.877%
vs Weaker (14)112.6104.4216.9+8.279%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
Oklahoma City ThunderMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H01/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A03/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H12/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A15/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A17/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H24/12
NBA
119.7Avg total
61.4Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.555.5114.0+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.855.8115.6+4.062%-
Last 30 away (14)56.955.1112.1+1.843%-
Last 10 (10)61.458.3119.7+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)59.659.6119.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)52.655.7108.3-3.129%-
vs Weaker (23)60.355.4115.7+4.861%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H07/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A09/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A12/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A15/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H17/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A24/12
NBA
114.9Avg total
57.2Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.5112.6+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.653.4110.0+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)57.557.4114.9+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)57.257.7114.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)58.658.2116.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.051.7100.7-2.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.857.1114.9+0.846%-
vs Weaker (14)58.154.9113.0+3.171%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 124.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.533.5
57.3%
54.4%67.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.012.3
35.1%
36.3%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.820.4
85.7%
78.2%20.4
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.629.8
55.6%
54.4%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.7
38.6%
36.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws21.918.1
82.6%
78.2%18.1
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWLWWLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#4
+5.8
Net rating
+6.9
118.7
Offensive rating
115.9
112.9
Defensive rating
109.0
55.6%
Effective FG%
56.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
9.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.1%
3-point %
38.6%
57.4%
Assist %
65.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 115.9Defence112.9 · 109.0Shooting55.6% · 56.5%3-point %35.1% · 38.6%Ball care9.9% · 13.7%Off. rebounds22.1% · 25.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers120-129
22/12/23HLos Angeles Clippers134-115
19/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies116-97
17/12/23ADenver Nuggets118-117
15/12/23ASacramento Kings123-128
12/12/23HUtah Jazz134-120
09/12/23HGolden State Warriors138-136 OT
07/12/23AHouston Rockets101-110
03/12/23ADallas Mavericks126-120
01/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers133-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23ASacramento Kings110-98
22/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers118-111
21/12/23APhiladelphia 76ers113-127
19/12/23AMiami Heat112-108
17/12/23HIndiana Pacers127-109
15/12/23ADallas Mavericks119-101
12/12/23ANew Orleans Pelicans107-121
09/12/23AMemphis Grizzlies127-103
07/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs102-94
02/12/23ACharlotte Hornets123-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game120.7123.7117.0
Allowed / game113.6116.7109.8
Point differential+7.1+6.9+7.2
Avg total234.3240.4226.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %79%92%67%
Points / game113.5113.0114.0
Allowed / game106.6101.1111.3
Point differential+7.0+11.9+2.7
Avg total220.1214.1225.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%62%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2823582%120.4109.5+10.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2822679%113.5106.6+7.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks2821775%124.0118.7+5.3
4 Philadelphia 76ers2920969%122.0111.2+10.7
5 Denver Nuggets32221069%115.1110.2+5.0
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2718967%120.7113.6+7.1
7 Sacramento Kings27171063%117.6117.1+0.5
8 Orlando Magic29181162%113.6110.7+3.0
9 New York Knicks28171161%114.8111.2+3.6
10 Dallas Mavericks30181260%119.3117.8+1.6
11 Miami Heat30181260%113.4111.9+1.5
12 Los Angeles Clippers29171259%116.7112.7+4.0
13 New Orleans Pelicans28161257%116.2112.4+3.8
14 Cleveland Cavaliers30171357%112.0111.9+0.2
15 Houston Rockets27151256%111.6107.7+3.8
16 Golden State Warriors30151550%117.1115.9+1.2
17 Brooklyn Nets30151550%116.0115.4+0.6
18 Phoenix Suns28141450%114.9114.8+0.1
19 Los Angeles Lakers29141548%113.7115.9-2.2
20 Indiana Pacers26121446%126.6126.6+0.0
21 Chicago Bulls31131842%110.0112.4-2.4
22 Atlanta Hawks29121741%122.7122.9-0.3
23 Utah Jazz30121840%113.0119.4-6.4
24 Toronto Raptors29111838%112.4114.8-2.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies2891932%107.0112.4-5.3
26 Charlotte Hornets2772026%110.4120.9-10.4
27 Portland Trail Blazers2872125%108.0114.7-6.8
28 Washington Wizards2952417%117.1126.6-9.5
29 San Antonio Spurs2842414%110.6123.0-12.4
30 Detroit Pistons302287%109.3120.8-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder40263627129
Minnesota Timberwolves35253115106
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