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Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 95-122
24-32 22-24 26-28 23-38
Position#19
Record17-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game109.6
Houston Rockets
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record24-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game107.8
USANBA· Toyota Center (Houston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Jan 2027
HOU v MIN
upcoming
04 Nov 2026
HOU v MIN
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
HOU132
MIN136
16 Jan 2026
HOU110
MIN105
21 Feb 2025
HOU121
MIN115
27 Dec 2024
HOU112
MIN113
05 Jan 2024
HOU95
MIN122
23 Jan 2023
HOU119
MIN114
08 Jan 2023
HOU96
MIN104
03 Apr 2022
HOU132
MIN139
09 Jan 2022
HOU123
MIN141
27 Apr 2021
HOU107
MIN114
10 Mar 2020
HOU117
MIN111
11 Jan 2020
HOU139
MIN109
17 Mar 2019
HOU117
MIN102
25 Apr 2018
HOU122
MIN104
18 Apr 2018
HOU102
MIN82
15 Apr 2018
HOU104
MIN101
23 Feb 2018
HOU120
MIN102
18 Jan 2018
HOU116
MIN98
12 Apr 2017
HOU123
MIN118
25 Feb 2017
HOU142
MIN130
18 Mar 2016
HOU116
MIN111
13 Jan 2016
HOU107
MIN104
27 Mar 2015
HOU120
MIN110
23 Feb 2015
HOU113
MIN102
20 Mar 2014
HOU129
MIN106
23 Nov 2013
HOU112
MIN101
15 Mar 2013
HOU108
MIN100
17 Feb 2012
HOU98
MIN111
30 Jan 2012
HOU108
MIN120
08 Feb 2011
HOU108
MIN112
07 Nov 2010
HOU120
MIN94
13 Jan 2010
HOU120
MIN114
20 Mar 2009
HOU107
MIN88
07 Feb 2009
HOU107
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
119-128
119
128
-9
110avg 105
A18/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
130-135 OT
130
135
-5
124avg 105
A19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
127-134
127
134
-7
118avg 105
H21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
122-96
122
96
+26
118avg 105
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
106-104
106
104
+2
96avg 105
A24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
117-123
117
123
-6
102avg 105
H27/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
113-129
113
129
-16
90avg 105
H28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
127-131
127
131
-4
122avg 105
H30/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
136-113
136
113
+23
134avg 105
H02/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
112-101
112
101
+11
113avg 105
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-33
32-38
31-29
28-28
34-33
25-24
39-42
24-23
29-39
36-38
35-21
27-36
23-17
33-22
33-21
33-36
26-24
21-27
32-33
27-20
33-33
34-31
23-37
27-22
24-30
31-43
29-31
29-25
32-26
31-36
34-28
30-41
31-29
28-26
47-25
30-33
26-22
23-28
38-25
25-26
240.3Avg total
120.9Scored
119.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)113.0109.6222.6+3.553%
Season at home (19)114.8105.3220.1+9.574%
Season away (13)110.5115.8226.2-5.323%
Last 10 (10)120.9119.4240.3+1.540%
Last 5 (5)121.0119.4240.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)110.0101.0211.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (22)113.6111.7225.3+1.941%
vs Weaker (7)114.3100.9215.1+13.4100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
127-109
127
109
+18
126avg 108
H17/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
112-108
112
108
+4
110avg 108
A19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
113-127
113
127
-14
106avg 108
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
118-111
118
111
+7
114avg 108
H22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
110-98
110
98
+12
109avg 108
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
106-129
106
129
-23
98avg 108
A27/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
118-110
118
110
+8
113avg 108
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
108-106
108
106
+2
108avg 108
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
106-112
106
112
-6
95avg 108
A01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
106-117
106
117
-11
94avg 108
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
34-35
38-23
32-31
22-33
32-33
23-17
35-25
24-28
36-36
27-26
26-37
36-32
27-27
24-24
31-28
28-20
31-27
22-23
29-28
35-40
25-26
31-36
15-27
37-26
24-30
37-35
20-19
29-31
32-26
21-20
26-29
32-23
17-38
29-33
28-18
24-27
22-32
25-33
35-25
225.1Avg total
112.4Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)112.8107.8220.6+5.073%
Season at home (16)112.6102.9215.5+9.688%
Season away (17)113.1112.4225.5+0.659%
Last 10 (10)112.4112.7225.1-0.360%
Last 5 (5)108.8114.8223.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)114.0109.0223.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (17)113.2110.7223.9+2.565%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)114.2104.4218.7+9.892%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Houston RocketsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A18/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-73
55
73
-18
H28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H30/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H02/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H04/01
NBA
117.9Avg total
58.0Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.254.5109.7+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (19)56.952.7109.7+4.268%-
Last 30 away (11)52.257.5109.6-5.336%-
Last 10 (10)58.059.9117.9-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)58.660.8119.4-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)55.050.0105.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (22)56.155.9112.0+0.255%-
vs Weaker (7)52.450.6103.0+1.957%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H17/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A27/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H04/01
NBA
116.0Avg total
57.0Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.056.6113.6+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.154.3111.5+2.867%-
Last 30 away (15)56.858.9115.7-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)57.059.0116.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)55.459.8115.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.055.0107.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (17)56.957.9114.8-0.941%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)57.455.0112.4+2.475%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 120.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.431.2
54.4%
54.4%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.9
39.1%
36.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws24.519.8
80.8%
78.2%19.8
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.227.7
55.2%
54.4%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.612.4
40.5%
36.3%37.2
🏀 Free throws24.419.8
81.1%
78.2%19.8
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWLLLWWLLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWWLWWLWW
#19
League position
#4
+1.5
Net rating
-0.3
118.0
Offensive rating
113.1
116.5
Defensive rating
113.4
55.9%
Effective FG%
57.3%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
11.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.1%
3-point %
40.5%
58.3%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 113.1Defence116.5 · 113.4Shooting55.9% · 57.3%3-point %39.1% · 40.5%Ball care11.4% · 15.9%Off. rebounds25.3% · 20.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Houston Rockets wins
8
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
24/01/23Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves119-114
22/01/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets113-104
09/01/23Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves96-104
06/11/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets129-117
03/04/22Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves132-139
10/01/22Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves123-141
21/10/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets124-106
28/04/21Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves107-114
28/03/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets107-129
27/03/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets107-101
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HBrooklyn Nets112-101
02/01/24HDetroit Pistons136-113
30/12/23HPhiladelphia 76ers127-131
28/12/23HPhoenix Suns113-129
27/12/23HIndiana Pacers117-123
24/12/23ANew Orleans Pelicans106-104
23/12/23HDallas Mavericks122-96
21/12/23HAtlanta Hawks127-134
19/12/23ACleveland Cavaliers130-135 OT
18/12/23AMilwaukee Bucks119-128
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans106-117
01/01/24ANew York Knicks106-112
31/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers108-106
29/12/23HDallas Mavericks118-110
27/12/23AOklahoma City Thunder106-129
24/12/23ASacramento Kings110-98
22/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers118-111
21/12/23APhiladelphia 76ers113-127
19/12/23AMiami Heat112-108
17/12/23HIndiana Pacers127-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeLLLWW74%
AwayWWLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %53%74%23%
Points / game113.0114.8110.5
Allowed / game109.6105.3115.8
Point differential+3.5+9.5-5.3
Avg total222.6220.1226.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %6%0%15%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL73%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWLWLL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %73%88%59%
Points / game112.8112.6113.1
Allowed / game107.8102.9112.4
Point differential+5.0+9.6+0.6
Avg total220.6215.5225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3327682%121.2110.0+11.2
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3324973%112.8107.8+5.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks3324973%124.3119.4+4.9
4 Denver Nuggets36251169%115.6110.2+5.3
5 Philadelphia 76ers34231168%119.8111.0+8.8
6 Oklahoma City Thunder34231168%121.8114.2+7.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers33211264%117.2112.2+4.9
8 Sacramento Kings32201262%117.8116.8+0.9
9 New Orleans Pelicans33201361%116.4111.2+5.2
10 New York Knicks34201459%115.4111.7+3.8
11 Miami Heat34201459%112.9111.5+1.4
12 Cleveland Cavaliers35201557%113.1111.4+1.7
13 Dallas Mavericks35201557%118.5117.4+1.1
14 Indiana Pacers32181456%127.8124.9+2.8
15 Orlando Magic34191556%113.6111.8+1.8
16 Phoenix Suns33181555%115.8114.3+1.5
17 Houston Rockets32171553%113.0109.6+3.5
18 Golden State Warriors34161847%117.2116.7+0.5
19 Los Angeles Lakers33151845%113.4115.7-2.4
20 Brooklyn Nets36162044%114.6116.1-1.5
21 Utah Jazz36162044%114.4119.0-4.6
22 Chicago Bulls36152142%109.2112.1-2.8
23 Toronto Raptors34142041%114.0115.1-1.0
24 Atlanta Hawks34142041%122.6123.9-1.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies34112332%106.9113.4-6.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers3392427%108.4115.3-6.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3282425%110.0120.6-10.5
28 Washington Wizards3462818%115.4126.2-10.8
29 San Antonio Spurs3452915%111.2122.9-11.6
30 Detroit Pistons343319%111.5122.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets2422262395
Minnesota Timberwolves32242838122
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