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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 118-110
37-26 24-30 37-35 20-19
Position#4
Record22-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game107.3
vs
Position#6
Record18-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game119.0
Allowed / game117.6
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
102-94
102
94
+8
96avg 108
H07/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
127-103
127
103
+24
130avg 108
A09/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
107-121
107
121
-14
99avg 108
A12/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
119-101
119
101
+18
115avg 108
A15/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
127-109
127
109
+18
126avg 108
H17/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
112-108
112
108
+4
110avg 108
A19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
113-127
113
127
-14
106avg 108
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
118-111
118
111
+7
114avg 108
H22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
110-98
110
98
+12
109avg 108
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
106-129
106
129
-23
98avg 108
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
21-31
25-18
31-23
33-31
27-24
38-24
29-24
29-29
23-30
34-31
21-31
26-30
33-30
28-22
32-19
23-20
34-35
38-23
32-31
22-33
32-33
23-17
35-25
24-28
36-36
27-26
26-37
36-32
27-27
24-24
31-28
28-20
31-27
22-23
29-28
35-40
25-26
31-36
15-27
224.2Avg total
114.1Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)113.3107.3220.6+5.976%
Season at home (13)113.0101.1214.1+11.992%
Season away (16)113.5112.4225.9+1.162%
Last 10 (10)114.1110.1224.2+4.070%
Last 5 (5)111.8114.6226.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)111.5110.5222.0+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)113.9110.2224.1+3.771%
vs Weaker (14)112.6104.4216.9+8.279%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
120-113
120
113
+7
117avg 107
A12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
127-125
127
125
+2
119avg 107
H13/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
101-119
101
119
-18
89avg 107
H15/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
131-120
131
120
+11
124avg 107
A17/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
104-130
104
130
-26
87avg 107
A19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
111-120
111
120
-9
94avg 107
H21/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
96-122
96
122
-26
73avg 107
A23/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
144-119
144
119
+25
137avg 107
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
128-114
128
114
+14
123avg 107
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
110-113
110
113
-3
96avg 107
H28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
38-27
29-28
24-34
34-26
37-35
22-34
34-30
30-26
30-33
22-28
19-32
36-39
38-24
36-36
21-21
20-28
39-40
21-30
24-32
22-35
34-32
27-18
28-35
17-23
22-33
21-33
36-33
40-29
32-37
45-20
27-33
36-24
28-30
27-38
37-22
39-27
30-27
21-28
20-31
236.7Avg total
117.2Scored
119.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)119.0117.6236.6+1.458%
Season at home (15)120.7117.8238.5+2.953%
Season away (16)117.4117.4234.9+0.062%
Last 10 (10)117.2119.5236.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)117.8117.6235.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0126.0246.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)114.6118.9233.5-4.344%
vs Weaker (11)125.5114.6240.2+10.982%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H07/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A09/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A12/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A15/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H17/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A27/12
NBA
115.4Avg total
57.0Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.556.0113.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.253.5110.8+3.769%-
Last 30 away (17)57.657.9115.5-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)57.058.4115.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)59.260.4119.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.551.5101.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)58.057.7115.7+0.343%-
vs Weaker (14)58.154.9113.0+3.171%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
67-51
67
51
+16
A12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H13/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H15/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A17/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H21/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A23/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H28/12
NBA
123.0Avg total
63.1Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.659.3119.9+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.859.5120.3+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)60.459.1119.5+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)63.159.9123.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)60.059.4119.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.072.0128.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)58.759.0117.7-0.344%-
vs Weaker (11)64.158.6122.7+5.564%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.928.8
54.4%
54.4%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.8
39.4%
36.3%38.4
🏀 Free throws22.118.1
81.9%
78.2%18.1
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.228.1
56.0%
54.4%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.914.4
35.2%
36.3%43.2
🏀 Free throws22.817.8
78.1%
78.2%17.8
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLWWWLWW
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLLLWLWW
#4
League position
#6
+4.0
Net rating
-2.2
114.2
Offensive rating
114.6
110.2
Defensive rating
116.8
56.2%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
11.3%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.4%
3-point %
35.2%
65.6%
Assist %
56.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 114.6Defence110.2 · 116.8Shooting56.2% · 54.6%3-point %39.4% · 35.2%Ball care14.7% · 11.3%Off. rebounds25.4% · 22.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23AOklahoma City Thunder106-129
24/12/23ASacramento Kings110-98
22/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers118-111
21/12/23APhiladelphia 76ers113-127
19/12/23AMiami Heat112-108
17/12/23HIndiana Pacers127-109
15/12/23ADallas Mavericks119-101
12/12/23ANew Orleans Pelicans107-121
09/12/23AMemphis Grizzlies127-103
07/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs102-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HCleveland Cavaliers110-113
26/12/23APhoenix Suns128-114
24/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs144-119
23/12/23AHouston Rockets96-122
21/12/23HLos Angeles Clippers111-120
19/12/23ADenver Nuggets104-130
17/12/23APortland Trail Blazers131-120
15/12/23HMinnesota Timberwolves101-119
13/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers127-125
12/12/23AMemphis Grizzlies120-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL76%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %76%92%62%
Points / game113.3113.0113.5
Allowed / game107.3101.1112.4
Point differential+5.9+11.9+1.1
Avg total220.6214.1225.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %3%8%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeWLLWL53%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %58%53%62%
Points / game119.0120.7117.4
Allowed / game117.6117.8117.4
Point differential+1.4+2.9+0.0
Avg total236.6238.5234.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%20%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2924583%120.6109.9+10.7
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2922776%113.3107.3+5.9
3 Milwaukee Bucks2922776%124.7118.8+5.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers3021970%121.6110.6+11.0
5 Oklahoma City Thunder2920969%121.3113.6+7.7
6 Denver Nuggets32221069%115.1110.2+5.0
7 Sacramento Kings28171161%117.4117.5-0.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers30181260%116.6112.4+4.2
9 Orlando Magic30181260%112.9110.7+2.2
10 Miami Heat30181260%113.4111.9+1.5
11 New York Knicks29171259%115.0111.8+3.2
12 Dallas Mavericks31181358%119.0117.6+1.4
13 Cleveland Cavaliers31181358%112.1111.8+0.3
14 New Orleans Pelicans29161355%116.2112.6+3.7
15 Houston Rockets29151452%111.8109.0+2.8
16 Phoenix Suns29151452%115.4114.8+0.6
17 Golden State Warriors30151550%117.1115.9+1.2
18 Brooklyn Nets31151648%116.2116.3-0.1
19 Los Angeles Lakers29141548%113.7115.9-2.2
20 Indiana Pacers27131448%126.4126.2+0.2
21 Chicago Bulls32141844%110.2112.4-2.2
22 Utah Jazz31131842%113.5119.3-5.8
23 Atlanta Hawks30121840%122.3122.8-0.4
24 Toronto Raptors30121840%113.1114.4-1.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies29101934%107.3112.4-5.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers2982128%108.7114.7-5.9
27 Charlotte Hornets2872125%110.2120.6-10.4
28 Washington Wizards3052517%116.6126.8-10.2
29 San Antonio Spurs2942514%110.9123.2-12.3
30 Detroit Pistons312296%109.7121.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves37243720118
Dallas Mavericks26303519110
← all games of the day
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