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Brasilia vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 105-90
22-18 28-26 22-22 33-24
Position#5
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#19
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game84.5
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brasilia v Cearense
04 Dec 2025
BRAS105
CEAR90
05 Nov 2024
BRAS73
CEAR72
11 Apr 2024
BRAS69
CEAR68
09 Jan 2023
BRAS80
CEAR82
11 Jan 2022
BRAS82
CEAR75
09 Feb 2021
BRAS87
CEAR67
25 Mar 2020
BRAS v CEAR
upcoming
05 Feb 2019
BRAS80
CEAR87
03 Feb 2017
BRAS88
CEAR52
12 Feb 2016
BRAS82
CEAR95
22 Dec 2014
BRAS81
CEAR68
21 Nov 2013
BRAS88
CEAR75
15 Jan 2013
BRAS92
CEAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-57
109
57
+52
110avg 72
H25/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
71-54
71
54
+17
66avg 72
H30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 72
H01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
104avg 72
A05/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
79avg 72
A07/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
74avg 72
H10/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
79-65
79
65
+14
66avg 72
H14/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
82-70
82
70
+12
74avg 72
A18/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
83avg 72
A20/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
81-59
81
59
+22
85avg 72
A23/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
22-14
27-12
29-10
20-13
20-18
14-14
17-9
18-26
14-9
16-18
19-16
26-16
24-23
24-19
22-6
25-22
16-13
16-19
22-25
20-19
21-20
14-22
25-17
23-13
25-15
18-18
13-19
25-22
15-19
19-12
23-17
18-27
23-15
19-24
25-17
19-19
20-9
21-12
21-19
153.2Avg total
83.8Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.269.8153.0+13.482%
Season at home (6)80.566.2146.7+14.383%
Season away (5)86.474.2160.6+12.280%
Last 10 (10)83.869.4153.2+14.480%
Last 5 (5)81.471.0152.4+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.082.5153.5-11.50%
vs Similar (17)73.775.1148.8-1.441%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.369.4156.7+17.990%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
88-78
88
78
+10
74avg 68
A18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
84-80
84
80
+4
84avg 68
A20/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
73-102
73
102
-29
61avg 68
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 68
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
82-98
82
98
-16
59avg 68
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 68
H10/11
NBB
Pato
#17
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 68
A14/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 68
H18/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
85avg 68
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 68
H23/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
23-15
20-20
26-26
22-26
14-19
27-13
21-22
25-19
18-22
13-33
17-28
12-29
24-18
19-17
16-21
24-27
14-24
22-30
22-17
21-17
16-27
19-13
20-23
19-21
18-26
13-12
29-23
23-27
23-19
20-14
11-26
21-22
20-23
26-12
24-15
16-18
20-21
14-17
20-26
163.6Avg total
79.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.184.5163.6-5.430%
Season at home (5)79.283.6162.8-4.420%
Season away (5)79.085.4164.4-6.440%
Last 10 (10)79.184.5163.6-5.430%
Last 5 (5)78.680.4159.0-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)76.782.5159.1-5.824%
vs Similar (9)77.477.2154.7+0.256%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
BrasiliaCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A05/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A07/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H14/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A18/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A23/11
NBB
77.8Avg total
42.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.276.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.637.577.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)38.836.875.6+2.154%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.377.8+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.677.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.546.078.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (17)36.837.974.6-1.135%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.334.078.3+10.390%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H10/11
NBB
Pato
#17
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H18/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/11
NBB
82.9Avg total
39.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.679.1-2.127%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.541.079.5-2.515%-
Last 30 away (17)38.640.378.9-1.735%-
Last 10 (10)39.243.782.9-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.283.6-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.339.879.1-0.533%-
vs Similar (9)36.842.479.2-5.711%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.4
54.4%
52.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.310.8
31.5%
32.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.015.6
78.0%
72.8%15.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.4
47.3%
52.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
72.8%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WWWWWLWLWW
Cearense
LWLLLLLLWW
#5
League position
#19
+19.1
Net rating
-7.0
109.7
Offensive rating
100.7
90.6
Defensive rating
107.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
47.8%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
20.8%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.5%
3-point %
32.3%
76.2%
Assist %
60.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 100.7Defence90.6 · 107.7Shooting50.7% · 47.8%3-point %31.5% · 32.3%Ball care16.0% · 20.8%Off. rebounds29.3% · 32.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Brasilia   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brasilia wins
4
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Cearense v Brasilia62-84
05/11/24Brasilia v Cearense73-72
11/04/24Brasilia v Cearense69-68
29/12/23Cearense v Brasilia83-73
09/01/23Brasilia v Cearense80-82
19/10/22Cearense v Brasilia62-75
15/04/22Cearense v Brasilia77-65
11/01/22Brasilia v Cearense82-75
09/02/21Brasilia v Cearense87-67
06/12/20Cearense v Brasilia71-63
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25AVasco81-59
20/11/25AFlamengo85-83
18/11/25ABotafogo82-70
14/11/25HCruzeiro79-65
10/11/25HMinas80-78
07/11/25AUniao Corinthians88-95 OT
05/11/25ACaxias do Sul96-64
01/11/25HPinheiros67-69
30/10/25HPaulistano71-54
25/10/25HRio Claro109-57
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HFranca70-82
20/11/25HBauru91-72
18/11/25HSao Jose77-86
14/11/25APato79-82
10/11/25HMogi76-80
05/11/25HCorinthians Paulista82-98
31/10/25AUnifacisa71-85
23/10/25AFlamengo73-102
20/10/25ABotafogo84-80
18/10/25AVasco88-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game83.280.586.4
Allowed / game69.866.274.2
Point differential+13.4+14.3+12.2
Avg total153.0146.7160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game79.179.279.0
Allowed / game84.583.685.4
Point differential-5.4-4.4-6.4
Avg total163.6162.8164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1311285%87.374.4+12.9
2 Minas1311285%86.276.8+9.5
3 Brasilia119282%83.269.8+13.4
4 Pinheiros119282%84.275.6+8.5
5 Franca1310377%85.672.8+12.8
6 Mogi129375%83.666.2+17.3
7 Corinthians Paulista118373%83.575.1+8.5
8 Sao Jose117464%78.775.8+2.9
9 Paulistano138562%81.576.0+5.5
10 Unifacisa116555%79.678.9+0.7
11 Caxias do Sul115645%72.277.1-4.9
12 Uniao Corinthians115645%76.784.3-7.5
13 Bauru135838%73.676.8-3.2
14 Cearense103730%79.184.5-5.4
15 Osasco1441029%75.585.9-10.4
16 Botafogo1331023%71.281.6-10.4
17 Rio Claro1331023%76.888.6-11.8
18 Cruzeiro1431121%76.486.7-10.4
19 Pato1221017%70.381.0-10.7
20 Vasco120120%66.080.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia22282233105
Cearense1826222490
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