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Breogan vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 70-86
26-29 11-11 21-23 12-23
Position#13
Record10-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#10
Record10-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.9
SpainACBRound 24· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Breogan v Murcia
03 Jan 2027
BRE v MUR
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
BRE95
MUR106
22 Mar 2025
BRE70
MUR86
17 Dec 2023
BRE74
MUR83
07 May 2023
BRE60
MUR65
31 Oct 2021
BRE94
MUR89
10 Feb 2019
BRE77
MUR73
09 Jan 2011
BRE73
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
73avg 69
H02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
101avg 69
A04/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
83-80
83
80
+3
73avg 69
H12/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
82avg 69
A19/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
71avg 69
H25/01
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
82avg 69
A02/02
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 69
H08/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
79-102
79
102
-23
75avg 69
A02/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
94-74
94
74
+20
98avg 69
H08/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
106-98
106
98
+8
108avg 69
A16/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
19-19
16-22
27-24
26-23
29-20
26-16
20-34
22-16
14-22
21-22
26-20
18-22
22-18
26-30
25-27
12-15
14-22
26-16
24-18
21-21
20-28
19-30
23-17
17-20
17-22
28-19
19-18
33-21
11-27
15-24
20-30
18-14
22-17
27-19
27-24
33-23
29-18
29-36
15-21
175.1Avg total
87.3Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.385.9165.2-6.743%
Season at home (11)79.279.5158.7-0.455%
Season away (12)79.391.8171.1-12.433%
Last 10 (10)87.387.8175.1-0.560%
Last 5 (5)88.689.8178.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)76.783.0159.7-6.336%
vs Similar (7)85.685.9171.4-0.371%
vs Weaker (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#12
W
95-84
95
84
+11
91avg 73
H29/01
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
88-79
88
79
+9
81avg 73
A01/02
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 73
A04/02
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 73
H08/02
ACB
Granada
#17
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 73
A01/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
104-90 OT
104
90
+14
101avg 73
A05/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 73
A09/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
85-63
85
63
+22
80avg 73
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 73
H15/03
ACB
Nanterre
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
63avg 73
A19/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
34-19
27-20
18-21
24-13
20-17
19-17
25-32
17-14
18-25
20-24
15-22
20-21
22-20
21-20
14-17
18-22
22-19
24-21
24-20
22-19
24-19
12-17
17-20
28-23
15-14
16-21
16-22
14-17
20-17
27-14
24-15
19-22
14-15
15-16
16-23
20-16
9-21
17-27
25-12
161.0Avg total
81.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.381.9162.2-1.543%
Season at home (12)79.282.0161.2-2.842%
Season away (11)81.581.7163.3-0.245%
Last 10 (10)81.779.3161.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)79.877.0156.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.288.4167.6-9.20%
vs Similar (10)78.681.6160.2-3.030%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.775.0158.7+8.787%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
BreoganMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A04/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H25/01
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A02/02
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H08/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A02/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H08/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A16/03
ACB
82.5Avg total
41.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.477.8-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.174.5+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.781.0-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.182.5+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.286.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.539.576.0-3.036%-
vs Similar (7)45.039.784.7+5.357%-
vs Weaker (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H29/01
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A01/02
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/02
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/02
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A01/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
ACB
Nanterre
#12
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/03
Champions League
77.3Avg total
39.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.676.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.337.575.9+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.676.5+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.777.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.673.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.443.281.6-4.820%-
vs Similar (10)37.537.775.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.435.675.0+3.860%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.7
57.7%
54.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.7
41.9%
35.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
76.4%14.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.8
52.5%
54.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.7
30.9%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws26.418.8
71.2%
76.4%18.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WWLWLWLWWL
Murcia
LLWLWWLLWW
#13
League position
#10
-0.4
Net rating
+2.6
115.5
Offensive rating
103.8
115.9
Defensive rating
101.2
60.1%
Effective FG%
49.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.43
41.9%
3-point %
30.9%
62.2%
Assist %
61.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 103.8Defence115.9 · 101.2Shooting60.1% · 49.7%3-point %41.9% · 30.9%Ball care19.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds28.4% · 29.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Breogan   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Breogan wins
7
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Murcia v Breogan79-63
12/05/24Murcia v Breogan68-61
17/12/23Breogan v Murcia74-83
07/05/23Breogan v Murcia60-65
29/09/22Murcia v Breogan70-84
23/03/22Murcia v Breogan91-72
31/10/21Breogan v Murcia94-89
10/02/19Breogan v Murcia77-73
03/11/18Murcia v Breogan76-64
09/01/11Breogan v Murcia73-84
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25ALeyma Coruna106-98
08/03/25HMoraBanc Andorra94-74
02/03/25ABarcelona79-102
08/02/25HUnicaja81-79
02/02/25ATenerife83-96
25/01/25HBilbao76-71
19/01/25ABaskonia91-97
12/01/25HLeyma Coruna83-80
04/01/25AMoraBanc Andorra101-93
02/01/25HManresa79-88
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25ANanterre71-76
15/03/25HBasquet Girona64-76
12/03/25HSzombathely85-63
09/03/25AReal Madrid75-80
05/03/25ASzombathely104-90 OT
01/03/25AGranada88-82
08/02/25HTenerife77-78
04/02/25ANymburk70-85
01/02/25ABasket Zaragoza88-79
29/01/25HNanterre95-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%55%33%
Points / game79.379.279.3
Allowed / game85.979.591.8
Point differential-6.7-0.4-12.4
Avg total165.2158.7171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (6)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%42%45%
Points / game80.379.281.5
Allowed / game81.982.081.7
Point differential-1.5-2.8-0.2
Avg total162.2161.2163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %13%17%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2319483%87.076.6+10.3
2 Tenerife2318578%86.881.8+5.0
3 Valencia2418675%98.386.0+12.3
4 Unicaja2317674%88.282.8+5.3
5 Barcelona23131057%91.586.5+5.0
6 Manresa23131057%88.184.5+3.6
7 Joventut Badalona23131057%85.083.7+1.3
8 Gran Canaria24131154%83.082.4+0.7
9 Basket Zaragoza23111248%89.689.4+0.1
10 Baskonia23111248%86.086.8-0.8
11 Murcia23101343%80.381.9-1.5
12 Breogan23101343%79.385.9-6.7
13 Bilbao2381535%80.882.9-2.1
14 Forca Lleida2381535%83.787.8-4.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra2381535%86.791.7-4.9
16 Basquet Girona2481633%80.387.5-7.1
17 Granada2361726%80.186.3-6.2
18 Leyma Coruna2451921%85.395.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2611211270
Murcia2911232386
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