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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-65
30-18 12-12 20-20 26-15
Position#2
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#16
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2021
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD v PAO
upcoming
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A11/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
88-83
88
83
+5
no box
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
70-63
70
63
+7
59avg 76
H19/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
86-58
86
58
+28
79avg 76
A24/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-68
78
68
+10
64avg 76
H26/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
82-69
82
69
+13
82avg 76
H30/09
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 76
H03/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 76
A08/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 76
A10/10
ACB
Monaco
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
96avg 76
H13/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
17-16
17-16
24-17
22-23
18-23
22-25
26-12
21-18
15-16
19-18
15-11
21-14
17-16
26-14
22-14
20-13
16-17
15-21
27-17
32-15
18-20
18-13
14-21
25-18
15-17
18-19
28-23
10-13
26-22
16-19
16-20
20-23
22-16
22-21
29-19
30-12
21-27
21-26
22-21
154.4Avg total
81.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.376.3157.7+5.067%
Season at home (2)88.077.5165.5+10.5100%
Season away (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)81.772.7154.4+9.090%
Last 5 (5)84.677.0161.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.485.9162.2-9.538%
vs Similar (5)83.277.6160.8+5.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.376.0160.3+8.388%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#2
W
100-72
100
72
+28
105avg 81
H03/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
no box
A05/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
103-74
103
74
+29
108avg 81
H07/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
81avg 81
A10/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#4
W
74-61
74
61
+13
no box
H25/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#2
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
H26/09
Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
47avg 81
A30/09
Euroleague
Aris
#7
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A03/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#13
W
91-87
91
87
+4
82avg 81
H07/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
L
79-81
79
81
-2
69avg 81
A12/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-8
28-26
27-13
21-25
18-28
22-13
23-15
18-25
24-20
20-10
27-27
32-17
28-22
13-9
24-21
17-14
23-21
23-8
7-17
21-15
26-23
27-16
23-24
16-20
15-22
13-16
16-18
19-19
20-15
23-9
14-31
14-26
20-21
25-25
19-21
27-20
17-15
18-25
24-21
20-20
161.8Avg total
84.4Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.781.0158.7-3.333%
Season at home (1)91.087.0178.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)84.477.4161.8+7.060%
Last 5 (5)79.281.4160.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.891.2173.0-9.333%
vs Similar (2)78.587.0165.5-8.50%
vs Weaker (21)90.573.9164.3+16.686%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H19/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A24/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H30/09
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A10/10
ACB
Monaco
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H13/10
Euroleague
76.0Avg total
40.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.378.0+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.636.777.3+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.939.978.8-1.160%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.076.0+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.680.4+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.640.476.0-4.838%-
vs Similar (5)43.038.681.6+4.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.337.278.6+4.181%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#2
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H03/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A05/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A10/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#4
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H25/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#2
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H26/09
Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A30/09
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A03/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/10
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
42.7Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.382.3+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.684.7+7.580%-
Last 30 away (15)42.037.979.9+4.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.735.277.9+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.478.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.045.882.8-8.80%-
vs Similar (2)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (21)46.335.381.6+11.090%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.9
53.2%
52.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.7
31.6%
35.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.414.8
76.3%
77.2%14.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.2
53.8%
52.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.1
31.8%
35.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.814.4
80.9%
77.2%14.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWWW
Panathinaikos
LWLLWWWWLW
#2
League position
#16
+7.2
Net rating
+8.1
110.7
Offensive rating
118.1
103.4
Defensive rating
110.0
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.1%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
37.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.6%
3-point %
31.8%
58.0%
Assist %
55.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 118.1Defence103.4 · 110.0Shooting50.9% · 51.4%3-point %31.6% · 31.8%Ball care16.5% · 14.1%Off. rebounds32.4% · 37.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/21HMonaco94-86
10/10/21AValencia93-79
08/10/21AOlympiacos68-74
03/10/21HTenerife86-77
30/09/21HAnadolu Efes82-69
26/09/21HObradoiro CAB78-68
24/09/21AMoraBanc Andorra86-58
19/09/21HSan Pablo Burgos70-63
12/09/21ABarcelona88-83
11/09/21ATenerife72-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/21ABaskonia79-81
07/10/21HFenerbahce91-87
03/10/21AAris71-81
30/09/21AMonaco63-75
26/09/21HPromitheas92-83
25/09/21HLavrio74-61
10/06/21ALavrio82-66
07/06/21HLavrio103-74
05/06/21ALavrio89-94 OT
03/06/21HLavrio100-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.388.068.0
Allowed / game76.377.574.0
Point differential+5.0+10.5-6.0
Avg total157.7165.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.791.071.0
Allowed / game81.087.078.0
Point differential-3.3+4.0-7.0
Avg total158.7178.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona440100%85.073.8+11.2
2 Olimpia Milano440100%80.070.2+9.8
3 Olympiacos43175%77.566.2+11.2
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne43175%79.877.2+2.5
5 CSKA Moscow43175%82.280.8+1.5
6 Zenit Petersburg43175%71.570.2+1.2
7 Real Madrid32167%81.376.3+5.0
8 Fenerbahce42250%74.568.2+6.2
9 Crvena zvezda42250%70.265.8+4.5
10 Monaco42250%82.580.5+2.0
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv42250%74.277.8-3.5
12 Baskonia42250%68.877.0-8.2
13 Panathinaikos31233%77.781.0-3.3
14 Alba Berlin41325%72.879.2-6.5
15 Unics Kazan41325%65.877.0-11.2
16 Bayern4040%70.275.2-5.0
17 Anadolu Efes4040%77.283.0-5.8
18 Zalgiris Kaunas4040%67.278.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid3012202688
Panathinaikos1812201565
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