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Brescia vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 104-94
29-27 28-11 28-26 19-30
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game78.3
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game89.3
ItalyLega ARound 4· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Brescia v Cantu
26 Oct 2025
BRE104
KAN94
14 Apr 2021
BRE69
KAN74
10 Sep 2020
BRE88
KAN78
19 Apr 2020
BRE v KAN
upcoming
16 Dec 2018
BRE81
KAN63
31 Mar 2018
BRE86
KAN71
09 Oct 2016
BRE76
KAN56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 80
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
83avg 80
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
82avg 80
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 80
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
60avg 80
H17/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
77avg 80
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 80
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#14
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
71avg 80
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
63avg 80
H11/10
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 80
A19/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
25-29
15-17
18-17
23-30
24-12
24-27
21-17
23-20
22-21
22-22
20-27
21-22
11-17
19-19
14-17
15-28
13-22
23-26
23-20
20-26
12-19
30-14
26-16
24-28
20-19
11-22
21-21
28-30
23-18
10-24
23-12
27-14
12-20
16-13
17-16
16-23
28-16
21-14
16-19
164.6Avg total
82.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.078.3163.3+6.7100%
Season at home (1)72.063.0135.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)91.586.0177.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.282.4164.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)83.880.0163.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
vs Similar (19)83.082.9165.9+0.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)95.084.1179.1+10.988%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
88-63
88
63
+25
87avg 72
H20/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
83-59
83
59
+24
77avg 72
H24/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
87avg 72
H26/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
79avg 72
A29/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 72
A08/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
74-66
74
66
+8
67avg 72
A10/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
71avg 72
H13/06
Serie A2
Trento
#9
L
69-109
69
109
-40
50avg 72
A05/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 72
H12/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
52avg 72
H19/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
11-15
31-17
22-17
26-20
21-14
14-7
22-18
15-18
31-10
27-26
16-20
19-10
7-17
14-24
28-17
15-19
21-20
23-18
27-25
19-23
11-14
19-21
25-8
18-19
18-17
15-25
34-19
15-24
15-22
12-29
27-34
20-20
21-27
20-14
22-17
17-19
20-25
15-23
11-14
157.3Avg total
80.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.789.3161.0-17.733%
Season at home (2)73.079.5152.5-6.550%
Season away (1)69.0109.0178.0-40.00%
Last 10 (10)80.476.9157.3+3.580%
Last 5 (5)74.882.8157.6-8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.789.3161.0-17.733%
vs Similar (9)81.778.1159.8+3.678%
vs Weaker (18)77.072.0149.0+5.056%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.5+4.5
BresciaCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H17/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#14
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/10
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/10
Lega A
84.2Avg total
41.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.785.5+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.184.3+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)44.442.386.7+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.884.2-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.684.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.047.091.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (19)43.341.785.1+1.663%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.541.888.2+4.875%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H20/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H26/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A29/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H13/06
Serie A2
Trento
#9
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A05/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H12/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H19/10
Lega A
73.1Avg total
36.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.674.3+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.876.2+4.781%-
Last 30 away (14)34.637.572.1-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.773.1-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.842.076.8-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.045.781.7-9.70%-
vs Similar (9)37.237.274.4+0.056%-
vs Weaker (18)38.334.773.0+3.667%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.6
50.3%
54.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.8
35.6%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.319.4
79.8%
76.1%19.4
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.2
49.1%
54.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.6
35.2%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.616.6
67.5%
76.1%16.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWWLWLLLWW
Cantu
LWLWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#15
-1.5
Net rating
+5.2
113.1
Offensive rating
106.1
114.6
Defensive rating
100.9
51.6%
Effective FG%
50.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
18.2%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.6%
3-point %
35.2%
57.2%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 106.1Defence114.6 · 100.9Shooting51.6% · 50.7%3-point %35.6% · 35.2%Ball care15.5% · 18.2%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Brescia   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Brescia wins
2
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
14/04/21Brescia v Cantu69-74
20/12/20Cantu v Brescia89-92 OT
10/09/20Brescia v Cantu88-78
29/08/20Cantu v Brescia75-76
29/12/19Cantu v Brescia82-93
07/04/19Cantu v Brescia82-76
16/12/18Brescia v Cantu81-63
31/03/18Brescia v Cantu86-71
17/02/18Cantu v Brescia82-87 OT
04/12/17Cantu v Brescia84-88
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25AUdine81-72
11/10/25HTrento72-63
05/10/25ATreviso102-100 OT
28/09/25HOlimpia Milano76-90
27/09/25ATrento88-75
17/06/25HVirtus Bologna74-96
14/06/25AVirtus Bologna65-75
12/06/25AVirtus Bologna87-90
04/06/25HTrapani92-86
01/06/25ATrapani85-77
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25HTrapani63-81
12/10/25HReggiana83-78
05/10/25ATrento69-109
13/06/25HRimini85-80
10/06/25ARimini74-66
08/06/25ARimini86-82
29/05/25ASebastiani Rieti84-77 OT
26/05/25HSebastiani Rieti89-74
24/05/25HSebastiani Rieti83-59
20/05/25HFortitudo Bologna88-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.072.091.5
Allowed / game78.363.086.0
Point differential+6.7+9.0+5.5
Avg total163.3135.0177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Cantu
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game71.773.069.0
Allowed / game89.379.5109.0
Point differential-17.7-6.5-40.0
Avg total161.0152.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia330100%85.078.3+6.7
2 Trento43175%86.572.5+14.0
3 Olimpia Milano43175%85.573.8+11.8
4 Trapani43175%95.290.0+5.2
5 Tortona43175%91.088.8+2.2
6 Reggiana32167%85.777.7+8.0
7 Cremona32167%80.075.3+4.7
8 Virtus Bologna32167%85.384.7+0.7
9 Venezia42250%93.587.8+5.8
10 Basket Napoli31233%84.389.3-5.0
11 Trieste31233%79.090.7-11.7
12 Cantu31233%71.789.3-17.7
13 Varese41325%79.896.0-16.2
14 Sassari3030%83.086.7-3.7
15 Udine3030%74.379.7-5.3
16 Treviso3030%91.398.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia29282819104
Cantu2711263094
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