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Brescia vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-63
27-14 12-20 16-13 17-16
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game100.0
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Trento
Italy
Position#9
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game69.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Brescia v Trento
11 Oct 2025
BRE72
TRE63
11 Jan 2025
BRE83
TRE77
28 Oct 2023
BRE82
TRE90
07 Jan 2023
BRE73
TRE78
03 Apr 2022
BRE86
TRE62
15 Nov 2020
BRE73
TRE80
13 Oct 2019
BRE92
TRE66
10 Mar 2019
BRE79
TRE84
04 Feb 2018
BRE70
TRE78
27 Dec 2016
BRE74
TRE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
82avg 81
A24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
93-92
93
92
+1
90avg 81
A30/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 81
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
83avg 81
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
82avg 81
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 81
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
60avg 81
H17/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
77avg 81
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 81
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#14
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
71avg 81
A05/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
22-29
23-15
16-18
34-26
23-19
16-21
20-26
27-14
25-29
15-17
18-17
23-30
24-12
24-27
21-17
23-20
22-21
22-22
20-27
21-22
11-17
19-19
14-17
15-28
13-22
23-26
23-20
20-26
12-19
30-14
26-16
24-28
20-19
11-22
21-21
28-30
23-18
10-24
23-12
172.3Avg total
85.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)102.0100.0202.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)102.0100.0202.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.486.9172.3-1.560%
Last 5 (5)81.087.2168.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)83.684.0167.6-0.456%
vs Weaker (9)99.487.1186.6+12.378%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
84-63
84
63
+21
78avg 77
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
114-89
114
89
+25
122avg 77
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
59avg 77
H17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
70-67
70
67
+3
67avg 77
H19/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
79-107
79
107
-28
65avg 77
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 77
A24/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
70avg 77
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
JL Bourg
#1
L
48-79
48
79
-31
34avg 77
H01/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
109-69
109
69
+40
82avg 77
H05/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#6
W
107-96
107
96
+11
105avg 77
A08/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
21-19
16-16
20-16
22-19
25-20
36-28
31-22
24-21
15-25
16-9
15-18
23-20
16-15
23-19
8-13
19-24
28-32
11-27
21-24
22-20
13-28
29-15
18-26
26-20
19-12
14-30
16-26
10-23
20-17
10-17
8-22
24-15
22-15
29-12
34-27
25-21
28-35
30-12
24-28
165.8Avg total
83.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.069.0178.0+40.0100%
Season at home (1)109.069.0178.0+40.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.882.0165.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)84.284.2168.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.087.5162.5-12.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.281.5162.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (12)92.176.8168.9+15.292%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
BresciaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A30/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H17/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#14
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/10
Lega A
87.0Avg total
42.6Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.186.7+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.041.785.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)45.342.487.7+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.487.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.883.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.047.091.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.642.285.7+1.461%-
vs Weaker (9)48.742.090.7+6.778%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H19/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A24/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
JL Bourg
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H01/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H05/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#6
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A08/10
Eurocup
84.2Avg total
42.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.183.8+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.638.079.6+3.671%-
Last 30 away (13)44.145.289.3-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.384.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.283.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.045.582.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.743.886.4-1.142%-
vs Weaker (12)44.537.682.1+6.992%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.9
52.8%
54.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.2
37.4%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.118.6
80.5%
76.1%18.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.0
53.8%
54.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.6
36.9%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.914.7
82.1%
76.1%14.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLWLLLWWWW
Trento
WWLLLLWLWW
#4
League position
#9
-3.8
Net rating
+3.6
115.3
Offensive rating
110.8
119.1
Defensive rating
107.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.2%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.4%
3-point %
36.9%
56.6%
Assist %
54.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 110.8Defence119.1 · 107.3Shooting54.1% · 54.4%3-point %37.4% · 36.9%Ball care15.9% · 17.2%Off. rebounds29.2% · 26.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Brescia   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brescia wins
4
Trento wins
DateGameScore
27/09/25Trento v Brescia75-88
30/03/25Trento v Brescia75-78
11/01/25Brescia v Trento83-77
20/01/24Trento v Brescia69-93
28/10/23Brescia v Trento82-90
05/03/23Trento v Brescia83-76
07/01/23Brescia v Trento73-78
03/04/22Brescia v Trento86-62
16/02/22Trento v Brescia73-78
06/11/21Trento v Brescia78-72
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25ATreviso102-100 OT
28/09/25HOlimpia Milano76-90
27/09/25ATrento88-75
17/06/25HVirtus Bologna74-96
14/06/25AVirtus Bologna65-75
12/06/25AVirtus Bologna87-90
04/06/25HTrapani92-86
01/06/25ATrapani85-77
30/05/25ATrapani93-92
24/05/25ATrieste92-88 OT
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25ABuducnost107-96
05/10/25HCantu109-69
01/10/25HJL Bourg48-79
27/09/25HBrescia75-88
24/05/25AOlimpia Milano82-89
22/05/25AOlimpia Milano79-107
19/05/25HOlimpia Milano70-67
17/05/25HOlimpia Milano70-73
10/05/25ABasket Napoli114-89
03/05/25HReggiana84-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game102.0-102.0
Allowed / game100.0-100.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total202.0-202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Trento
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game109.0109.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+40.0+40.0-
Avg total178.0178.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento110100%109.069.0+40.0
2 Virtus Bologna110100%105.088.0+17.0
3 Venezia110100%82.075.0+7.0
4 Reggiana110100%76.071.0+5.0
5 Trapani110100%91.087.0+4.0
6 Tortona110100%74.071.0+3.0
7 Brescia110100%102.0100.0+2.0
8 Olimpia Milano21150%82.567.5+15.0
9 Varese21150%83.098.0-15.0
10 Treviso1010%100.0102.0-2.0
11 Sassari1010%102.0105.0-3.0
12 Trieste1010%87.091.0-4.0
13 Udine1010%71.076.0-5.0
14 Cremona1010%75.082.0-7.0
15 Basket Napoli1010%88.0105.0-17.0
16 Cantu1010%69.0109.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2712161772
Trento1420131663
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