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Brescia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-75
23-15 19-12 7-31 28-17
Position#12
Record13-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.0
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna
Italy
Position#11
Record13-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game81.2
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Bologna
09 Feb 2026
BRE79
VIR87
17 Jun 2025
BRE74
VIR96
01 Dec 2024
BRE98
VIR97
25 Mar 2024
BRE73
VIR87
18 Dec 2022
BRE77
VIR89
14 Nov 2021
BRE74
VIR103
04 Oct 2020
BRE80
VIR81
26 Oct 2019
BRE80
VIR82
24 Apr 2019
BRE77
VIR75
18 Mar 2018
BRE66
VIR70
16 Feb 2018
BRE97
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
120avg 108
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
67-79
67
79
-12
93avg 108
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
124avg 108
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
98avg 108
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
97-80 OT
97
80
+17
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 108
A24/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
82avg 108
H31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A07/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
82avg 108
H14/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
no box
H20/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-32
22-20
16-19
24-14
26-18
15-22
8-21
18-18
17-26
26-25
26-17
23-18
22-16
20-21
10-24
27-23
22-29
24-10
19-27
12-11
20-28
21-17
30-20
20-24
16-27
22-13
24-21
25-18
20-16
17-26
20-21
19-19
25-30
14-26
21-16
26-17
13-17
25-16
22-23
16-20
168.3Avg total
84.4Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.581.0161.5-0.548%
Season at home (14)81.779.8161.5+1.964%
Season away (13)79.282.3161.5-3.131%
Last 10 (10)84.483.9168.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)86.485.0171.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.285.8165.0-6.538%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.877.7157.5+2.246%
vs Weaker (4)83.279.8163.0+3.575%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
96avg 108
A10/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H13/03
Champions League
Torino
#13
W
80-64
80
64
+16
112avg 108
A17/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 108
H23/03
Lega A
Nanterre
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A27/03
Champions League
Sassari
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
61avg 108
A31/03
Lega A
Nanterre
#10
W
73-58
73
58
+15
no box
H03/04
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
L
67-78
67
78
-11
54avg 108
H07/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
61-77
61
77
-16
85avg 108
H14/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
89-81
89
81
+8
232avg 108
A20/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
20-22
20-26
32-28
25-10
18-15
20-10
18-23
27-11
11-15
16-19
26-19
22-11
23-26
16-10
17-23
18-20
21-20
20-22
16-21
16-21
22-17
19-26
15-26
17-12
24-17
17-15
15-14
11-22
22-23
17-16
17-17
18-17
12-21
21-18
10-21
19-15
27-17
22-27
21-22
152.5Avg total
77.0Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.881.2161.0-1.448%
Season at home (13)77.877.6155.5+0.254%
Season away (14)81.684.5166.1-2.943%
Last 10 (10)77.075.5152.5+1.550%
Last 5 (5)72.476.8149.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.388.2166.5-9.817%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.875.7155.4+4.158%
vs Weaker (11)80.576.4156.8+4.155%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
BresciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H14/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H20/04
Lega A
83.7Avg total
40.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.582.2-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.741.081.7-0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)38.644.182.7-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.583.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.546.583.9-9.031%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.438.579.8+2.969%-
vs Weaker (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H13/03
Champions League
Torino
#13
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A17/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/03
Lega A
Nanterre
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/03
Champions League
Sassari
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A31/03
Lega A
Nanterre
#10
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/04
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/04
Lega A
74.7Avg total
39.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.178.2+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.278.3+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.137.978.1+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.535.274.7+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.474.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.742.382.0-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.435.875.2+3.658%-
vs Weaker (11)41.038.479.4+2.664%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.5
51.0%
51.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.4
33.6%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.716.7
77.0%
72.3%16.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.8
50.7%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.1
35.3%
35.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.914.3
68.4%
72.3%14.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLWWWLWLL
Virtus Bologna
WLLWLLWWWL
#12
League position
#11
-1.1
Net rating
-0.5
108.3
Offensive rating
104.7
109.4
Defensive rating
105.3
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
35.3%
60.2%
Assist %
53.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 104.7Defence109.4 · 105.3Shooting50.8% · 51.5%3-point %33.6% · 35.3%Ball care19.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds33.3% · 25.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
06/01/19Virtus Bologna v Brescia88-80
18/03/18Brescia v Virtus Bologna66-70
16/02/18Brescia v Virtus Bologna97-83
12/11/17Virtus Bologna v Brescia74-76
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/19HOlimpia Milano92-86 OT
14/04/19HCremona86-89
07/04/19ACantu76-82
31/03/19HPistoia87-79
24/03/19ATorino91-89
17/03/19HBrindisi97-80 OT
10/03/19HTrento79-84
03/03/19APesaro92-86
10/02/19AAvellino67-79
03/02/19HTrieste77-85
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/19AReggiana89-81
14/04/19HBrindisi61-77
07/04/19HPistoia67-78
03/04/19HNanterre73-58
31/03/19ASassari72-90
27/03/19ANanterre75-83
23/03/19HPesaro78-70
17/03/19ATorino80-64
13/03/19HLe Mans81-58
10/03/19ACantu94-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW48%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayWLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%64%31%
Points / game80.581.779.2
Allowed / game81.079.882.3
Point differential-0.5+1.9-3.1
Avg total161.5161.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)57% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeWLWLL54%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%54%43%
Points / game79.877.881.6
Allowed / game81.277.684.5
Point differential-1.4+0.2-2.9
Avg total161.0155.5166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2720774%87.179.5+7.6
2 Venezia2718967%82.075.4+6.6
3 Cremona2718967%83.378.7+4.6
4 Trieste27161159%89.083.8+5.2
5 Brindisi27161159%81.778.9+2.9
6 Trento27161159%79.980.8-0.9
7 Sassari27151256%86.181.6+4.5
8 Avellino27151256%82.281.9+0.3
9 Varese27141352%79.076.1+2.9
10 Cantu27141352%84.386.4-2.2
11 Brescia27131448%80.581.0-0.5
12 Virtus Bologna27131448%79.881.2-1.4
13 Torino2781930%82.887.4-4.6
14 Reggiana2772026%78.183.8-5.7
15 Pesaro2772026%80.191.9-11.7
16 Pistoia2762122%75.483.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia231972877
Virtus Bologna1512311775
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