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Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 83-103
17-20 25-32 18-32 23-19
Position#4
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game96.3
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game94.9
Allowed / game91.6
AustraliaNBLRound 6· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Sydney
04 Dec 2026
ILLA v SYDN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
ILLA82
SYDN108
13 Feb 2026
ILLA94
SYDN120
16 Nov 2025
ILLA71
SYDN98
07 Feb 2025
ILLA95
SYDN75
16 Nov 2024
ILLA86
SYDN79
03 Nov 2023
ILLA83
SYDN103
30 Sep 2023
ILLA81
SYDN96
16 Dec 2022
ILLA79
SYDN86
01 Oct 2022
ILLA97
SYDN106
29 Apr 2022
ILLA79
SYDN89
14 Apr 2022
ILLA102
SYDN107
13 Jan 2022
ILLA97
SYDN89
03 Jun 2021
ILLA73
SYDN79
24 Apr 2021
ILLA75
SYDN79
24 Jan 2020
ILLA79
SYDN102
31 Dec 2019
ILLA85
SYDN80
05 Jan 2019
ILLA78
SYDN71
16 Dec 2018
ILLA68
SYDN83
16 Nov 2017
ILLA97
SYDN93
29 Oct 2017
ILLA94
SYDN99
05 Dec 2016
ILLA93
SYDN99
13 Oct 2016
ILLA84
SYDN88
18 Dec 2015
ILLA102
SYDN83
25 Nov 2015
ILLA96
SYDN90
13 Dec 2014
ILLA82
SYDN77
07 Nov 2014
ILLA53
SYDN82
21 Mar 2014
ILLA100
SYDN87
07 Dec 2013
ILLA73
SYDN69
15 Mar 2013
ILLA81
SYDN74
05 Oct 2012
ILLA79
SYDN76
09 Mar 2012
ILLA81
SYDN92
31 Dec 2011
ILLA83
SYDN86
27 Mar 2011
ILLA86
SYDN70
26 Nov 2010
ILLA89
SYDN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Perth
#6
L
86-106
86
106
-20
no box
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
63-87
63
87
-24
no box
H04/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
81-96
81
96
-15
65avg 68
H30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
85avg 68
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
62avg 68
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
80-89
80
89
-9
60avg 68
A14/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
91-101
91
101
-10
67avg 68
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
71avg 68
H26/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
68avg 68
A29/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
30-25
23-34
8-22
30-21
20-13
9-29
22-28
15-25
20-21
12-22
16-19
24-26
15-25
25-23
17-22
26-26
34-29
22-27
31-24
19-24
10-31
25-26
19-22
25-23
15-16
20-15
20-35
22-29
29-30
12-18
28-24
24-15
20-23
17-22
23-23
29-24
22-28
18-19
15-25
179.4Avg total
83.6Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.696.3182.9-9.729%
Season at home (4)92.296.5188.8-4.250%
Season away (3)79.096.0175.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)83.695.8179.4-12.220%
Last 5 (5)82.494.4176.8-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)83.194.8177.9-11.79%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.789.8164.5-15.217%
vs Weaker (1)113.0106.0219.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
H10/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A12/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H15/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 88
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 88
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
102avg 88
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
113-102
113
102
+11
113avg 88
A13/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
99-86
99
86
+13
98avg 88
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 88
H22/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
80-87
80
87
-7
64avg 88
A28/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
21-23
24-12
24-9
12-18
15-21
25-15
18-26
11-22
24-14
21-20
21-13
26-24
25-15
23-25
22-17
19-18
21-30
17-16
15-16
32-22
25-26
18-24
34-28
29-25
27-17
29-25
28-35
28-26
22-16
20-20
29-24
25-36
20-21
23-18
27-30
20-26
22-25
19-18
19-18
176.0Avg total
90.2Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.991.6186.4+3.357%
Season at home (3)101.097.0198.0+4.067%
Season away (4)90.287.5177.8+2.850%
Last 10 (10)90.285.8176.0+4.460%
Last 5 (5)99.296.0195.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.683.1168.7+2.550%
vs Weaker (20)97.790.3188.0+7.465%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
Illawarra HawksSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H04/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A29/10
NBL
93.3Avg total
45.4Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.647.590.2-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.348.392.5-4.033%-
Last 30 away (15)41.046.887.8-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)45.447.993.3-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.048.691.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)43.047.790.7-4.726%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.345.784.0-7.333%-
vs Weaker (1)60.055.0115.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H10/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A12/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A13/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H22/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A28/10
NBL
89.5Avg total
44.6Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.845.692.3+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.646.594.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)45.944.590.4+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.989.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)50.048.098.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.944.785.6-3.830%-
vs Weaker (20)49.746.095.7+3.760%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.122.1
48.0%
50.9%44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.7
33.7%
33.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.612.3
69.9%
73.8%12.3
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.9
56.2%
50.9%43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.3
31.7%
33.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws23.016.7
72.7%
73.8%16.7
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWLLLWLLLL
Sydney
LLWWWLWWLW
#4
League position
#7
-12.0
Net rating
+3.6
105.9
Offensive rating
112.0
117.9
Defensive rating
108.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.7%
3-point %
31.7%
47.1%
Assist %
60.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 112.0Defence117.9 · 108.5Shooting49.0% · 52.1%3-point %33.7% · 31.7%Ball care15.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.6% · 33.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Illawarra Hawks wins
8
Sydney wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AMelbourne United84-96
26/10/23HCairns Taipans84-83
20/10/23HMelbourne United91-101
14/10/23AAdelaide80-89
12/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers73-103
07/10/23HSouth East Melbourne113-106
30/09/23HSydney81-96
04/02/23HTasmania JackJumpers63-87
02/02/23HNew Zealand Breakers81-91
27/01/23APerth86-106
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23ACairns Taipans80-87
22/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers95-105
15/10/23HPerth99-86
13/10/23ABrisbane Bullets113-102
08/10/23HAdelaide109-100
06/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers72-80
30/09/23AIllawarra Hawks96-81
15/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers77-69
12/03/23ANew Zealand Breakers70-80
10/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers91-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game86.692.279.0
Allowed / game96.396.596.0
Point differential-9.7-4.2-17.0
Avg total182.9188.8175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game94.9101.090.2
Allowed / game91.697.087.5
Point differential+3.3+4.0+2.8
Avg total186.4198.0177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United98189%88.980.6+8.3
2 Sydney74357%94.991.6+3.3
3 South East Melbourne95456%93.692.4+1.1
4 Brisbane Bullets95456%88.488.9-0.4
5 Tasmania JackJumpers84450%89.685.2+4.4
6 Cairns Taipans63350%85.786.5-0.8
7 Adelaide83538%85.088.0-3.0
8 New Zealand Breakers62433%91.092.3-1.3
9 Perth72529%86.691.4-4.9
10 Illawarra Hawks72529%86.696.3-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks1725182383
Sydney20323219103
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