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Varese vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-77
24-22 14-16 24-20 22-19
Position#13
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game99.5
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game93.0
ItalyLega A - Super CupRound 3
Other2020
Meetings · Varese v Cantu
07 Feb 2027
VAR v KAN
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
VAR91
KAN82
11 Oct 2020
VAR80
KAN90
04 Sep 2020
VAR84
KAN77
05 Apr 2020
VAR v KAN
upcoming
25 Dec 2018
VAR89
KAN71
16 Oct 2017
VAR95
KAN64
03 Dec 2016
VAR82
KAN92
03 Jan 2016
VAR79
KAN66
12 Oct 2014
VAR93
KAN84
15 Dec 2013
VAR77
KAN82
29 Oct 2012
VAR77
KAN73
30 Dec 2011
VAR67
KAN83
22 May 2011
VAR69
KAN75
16 Jan 2011
VAR82
KAN65
09 Jan 2010
VAR81
KAN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
99avg 75
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-60
91
60
+31
94avg 75
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
69avg 75
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
84avg 75
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
81avg 75
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 75
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
no box
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
31-30
26-20
21-13
24-18
17-29
16-24
15-22
26-14
18-19
24-15
23-12
16-20
20-26
17-19
28-21
23-17
14-27
22-11
25-24
25-28
18-22
27-25
17-18
20-20
22-18
33-21
16-26
20-24
28-20
13-20
15-15
16-32
25-27
19-33
17-18
31-22
20-25
22-19
15-23
171.1Avg total
85.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.599.5182.0-17.00%
Season at home (1)77.0110.0187.0-33.00%
Season away (1)88.089.0177.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)85.086.1171.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.891.2175.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.390.7167.0-14.30%
vs Similar (10)81.487.3168.7-5.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.174.3158.4+9.964%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
74avg 65
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
85avg 65
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
no box
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 65
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-101
71
101
-30
no box
A27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-102
62
102
-40
no box
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
27-18
17-13
22-24
28-23
18-27
19-31
17-12
22-19
26-17
13-26
28-21
21-24
22-23
29-20
12-17
18-18
17-28
12-19
26-20
22-21
17-20
21-16
21-20
16-17
20-21
19-15
16-26
18-26
20-28
16-24
17-23
14-15
32-17
11-20
18-24
18-24
13-30
15-27
16-21
164.4Avg total
78.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.393.0162.3-23.70%
Season at home (2)68.589.0157.5-20.50%
Season away (1)71.0101.0172.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)78.386.1164.4-7.830%
Last 5 (5)72.087.0159.0-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.785.1161.8-8.431%
vs Similar (10)79.877.8157.6+2.060%
vs Weaker (4)78.574.8153.2+3.850%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
VareseCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
90.1Avg total
43.9Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.782.1+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.981.7+3.873%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.582.5-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.946.290.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.692.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.046.584.5-8.517%-
vs Similar (10)40.041.581.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.937.681.5+6.271%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
84.3Avg total
41.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.581.2+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.280.1-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.982.4+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.384.3-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.881.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.942.482.3-2.631%-
vs Similar (10)40.938.679.5+2.350%-
vs Weaker (4)43.537.881.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.0
56.9%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.4
38.2%
-37.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.9
81.4%
-14.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.024.3
63.9%
-48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
-26.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
-12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLWLWLWLW
Cantu
LLLLWLLWLW
#13
League position
#15
+6.7
Net rating
+10.5
122.5
Offensive rating
128.2
115.8
Defensive rating
117.8
57.1%
Effective FG%
59.1%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
38.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.2%
3-point %
34.6%
59.5%
Assist %
43.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
08/12/19Cantu v Varese74-67
20/04/19Cantu v Varese84-75
25/12/18Varese v Cantu89-71
05/02/18Cantu v Varese85-89
16/10/17Varese v Cantu95-64
02/04/17Cantu v Varese72-85
03/12/16Varese v Cantu82-92
04/05/16Cantu v Varese89-79
03/01/16Varese v Cantu79-66
26/01/15Cantu v Varese91-83
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/20ABrescia88-89
29/08/20HOlimpia Milano77-110
26/01/20AFortitudo Bologna76-79
19/01/20HTrieste91-85
12/01/20ASassari87-93
05/01/20ATreviso84-79
29/12/19HTrento81-86
26/12/19HPistoia91-60
21/12/19ACremona72-93
15/12/19HPesaro103-87
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/20HOlimpia Milano62-102
29/08/20HBrescia75-76
27/08/20AOlimpia Milano71-101
09/02/20ATrento71-79
02/02/20HVenezia81-77
25/01/20AReggiana73-85
12/01/20HBrindisi92-93 OT
05/01/20AOlimpia Milano89-83
29/12/19HBrescia82-93
26/12/19APesaro87-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.577.088.0
Allowed / game99.5110.089.0
Point differential-17.0-33.0-1.0
Avg total182.0187.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.368.571.0
Allowed / game93.089.0101.0
Point differential-23.7-20.5-30.0
Avg total162.3157.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari110100%114.071.0+43.0
2 Olimpia Milano440100%98.569.2+29.2
3 Virtus Bologna220100%83.070.5+12.5
4 Pesaro110100%83.071.0+12.0
5 Venezia220100%83.074.0+9.0
6 Trieste220100%83.580.0+3.5
7 Brescia32167%77.381.3-4.0
8 Fortitudo Bologna21150%90.583.5+7.0
9 Reggiana31233%78.079.7-1.7
10 Cremona31233%72.784.0-11.3
11 Trento2020%78.081.5-3.5
12 Treviso2020%76.085.0-9.0
13 Brindisi1010%71.083.0-12.0
14 Varese2020%82.599.5-17.0
15 Cantu3030%69.393.0-23.7
16 Virtus Roma1010%71.0114.0-43.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2414242284
Cantu2216201977
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