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Varese vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 75-70
15-11 20-14 21-22 19-23
Position#10
Record5-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game81.7
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#7
Record10-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game76.1
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Pistoia
27 Oct 2024
VAR102
PIS95
04 Oct 2023
VAR83
PIS82
26 Dec 2019
VAR91
PIS60
05 May 2019
VAR98
PIS70
29 Oct 2017
VAR81
PIS73
27 Feb 2017
VAR75
PIS70
03 Apr 2016
VAR91
PIS78
04 Jan 2015
VAR67
PIS71
23 Mar 2014
VAR84
PIS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
H04/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
111avg 102
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
74-61
74
61
+13
no box
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
95avg 102
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
53-78
53
78
-25
no box
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
110avg 102
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
109avg 102
H05/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
58-80
58
80
-22
84avg 102
A12/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-17
20-26
11-19
19-18
18-28
22-26
23-16
29-21
20-21
14-15
16-29
24-27
17-17
22-10
11-7
24-17
21-20
24-19
16-21
24-25
18-17
19-20
15-21
12-21
10-18
25-25
6-14
28-21
19-22
19-19
20-18
21-25
19-29
24-19
18-25
18-17
16-21
9-21
15-21
156.2Avg total
74.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.681.7157.4-6.126%
Season at home (10)78.981.1160.0-2.230%
Season away (9)72.082.4154.4-10.422%
Last 10 (10)74.681.6156.2-7.030%
Last 5 (5)71.083.8154.8-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.182.9154.0-11.918%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.979.6154.5-4.738%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
89-73
89
73
+16
125avg 103
H04/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
64-79
64
79
-15
84avg 103
A11/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
no box
H19/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
59-57
59
57
+2
87avg 103
A27/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
85-71
85
71
+14
117avg 103
H02/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
79-97
79
97
-18
104avg 103
A08/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
64-59
64
59
+5
93avg 103
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
85-86
85
86
-1
113avg 103
A29/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
67-59
67
59
+8
92avg 103
H05/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
77-64
77
64
+13
113avg 103
H13/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
25-16
19-22
25-13
22-19
10-22
22-21
10-17
20-19
16-24
15-21
29-16
13-7
13-16
16-19
17-15
20-20
26-18
17-12
22-21
20-21
16-18
22-31
21-27
9-19
15-13
20-12
20-15
20-23
25-14
19-26
21-23
14-22
13-13
16-6
24-18
29-22
11-18
18-11
19-13
149.5Avg total
76.3Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.476.1151.5-0.753%
Season at home (10)81.470.5151.9+10.990%
Season away (9)68.782.3151.0-13.711%
Last 10 (10)76.373.2149.5+3.170%
Last 5 (5)74.473.0147.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.890.7167.5-13.817%
vs Similar ◀ (22)74.774.8149.5-0.145%
vs Weaker (2)76.572.0148.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
VaresePistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H05/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A12/02
Lega A
82.2Avg total
39.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.342.178.4-5.820%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.841.779.5-3.925%-
Last 30 away (14)34.642.677.2-8.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.582.2-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.280.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.743.678.3-8.96%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.440.278.6-1.838%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H04/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A11/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H19/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A27/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H05/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/02
Lega A
72.3Avg total
35.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.175.2-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.037.374.3-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.340.876.1-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.672.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.671.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.746.884.5-9.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)36.237.573.7-1.341%-
vs Weaker (2)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.0
45.9%
51.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.6
33.9%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.312.9
74.6%
74.0%12.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.3
48.8%
51.1%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.2
28.8%
35.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws13.210.1
76.5%
74.0%10.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLWLLWWLLL
Pistoia
WWLWLWWWLW
#10
League position
#7
-11.5
Net rating
-0.9
97.6
Offensive rating
96.0
109.1
Defensive rating
96.9
47.6%
Effective FG%
47.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
21.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.9%
3-point %
28.8%
44.0%
Assist %
58.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 96.0Defence109.1 · 96.9Shooting47.6% · 47.0%3-point %33.9% · 28.8%Ball care21.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds31.5% · 27.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
4
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
30/10/16Pistoia v Varese97-64
03/04/16Varese v Pistoia91-78
13/12/15Pistoia v Varese67-65
03/05/15Pistoia v Varese87-103
04/01/15Varese v Pistoia67-71
23/03/14Varese v Pistoia84-73
08/12/13Pistoia v Varese89-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/17ABrindisi58-80
05/02/17HOlimpia Milano82-98
29/01/17ACaserta86-80
24/01/17AOldenburg53-78
22/01/17HSassari76-83
18/01/17HUsak Sportif85-77
10/01/17AHydroTruck Radom74-61
07/01/17HTorino79-86
04/01/17HVentspils82-88
02/01/17ACremona71-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/17HCaserta77-64
05/02/17HAvellino67-59
29/01/17ABrindisi85-86
22/01/17HCremona64-59
08/01/17ABrescia79-97
02/01/17HReggiana85-71
27/12/16APesaro59-57
19/12/16HCantu94-87 OT
11/12/16ACapo d'Orlando64-79
04/12/16HTorino89-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%30%22%
Points / game75.678.972.0
Allowed / game81.781.182.4
Point differential-6.1-2.2-10.4
Avg total157.4160.0154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW53%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%90%11%
Points / game75.481.468.7
Allowed / game76.170.582.3
Point differential-0.7+10.9-13.7
Avg total151.5151.9151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2017385%88.179.2+8.9
2 Avellino2013765%79.774.7+5.0
3 Venezia2012860%81.579.8+1.6
4 Sassari2011955%77.073.2+3.9
5 Trento2011955%75.572.0+3.5
6 Capo d'Orlando2011955%78.278.0+0.3
7 Reggiana2011955%81.081.5-0.5
8 Pistoia1910953%75.476.1-0.7
9 Brescia20101050%80.980.0+0.8
10 Torino20101050%82.285.5-3.3
11 Brindisi2091145%83.282.8+0.3
12 Caserta2091145%80.784.0-3.4
13 Pesaro2071335%73.777.8-4.2
14 Cantu2071335%76.681.5-4.8
15 Cremona2061430%77.579.3-1.8
16 Varese1951426%75.681.7-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1520211975
Pistoia1114222370
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