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Caserta vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 82-86
23-22 20-26 23-18 16-20
Position#13
Record7-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game84.5
Caserta
Italy
vs
Avellino 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record9-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game74.6
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Avellino
01 Jan 2017
KAS82
AVE86
17 Apr 2016
KAS87
AVE92
26 Dec 2014
KAS91
AVE105
02 Mar 2014
KAS76
AVE57
21 Apr 2013
KAS75
AVE85
15 Apr 2012
KAS76
AVE67
17 Apr 2011
KAS75
AVE83
18 Apr 2010
KAS81
AVE79
10 May 2009
KAS65
AVE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
W
74-65
74
65
+9
98avg 109
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
107avg 109
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
108avg 109
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
111avg 109
A13/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
115avg 109
H20/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
92-98 OT
92
98
-6
no box
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
117avg 109
H04/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
103avg 109
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
110avg 109
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
72-100
72
100
-28
no box
A27/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
19-18
13-19
20-15
12-28
24-27
25-20
19-25
23-17
18-19
22-13
21-18
24-28
17-18
12-13
30-23
25-19
22-18
11-22
33-27
22-14
12-19
16-21
20-16
29-27
17-22
23-13
20-21
24-19
16-27
23-21
14-13
15-10
21-26
26-20
20-31
16-29
26-27
14-15
16-29
167.2Avg total
82.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.484.5166.8-2.154%
Season at home (6)83.077.2160.2+5.883%
Season away (7)81.990.7172.6-8.929%
Last 10 (10)82.484.8167.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)82.489.6172.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.487.1166.5-7.718%
vs Similar (19)76.977.7154.7-0.858%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
H23/11
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
107avg 110
H27/11
Lega A
Juventus
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
A29/11
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
107avg 110
H04/12
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
85-61
85
61
+24
no box
H07/12
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
98avg 110
A12/12
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
57-63
57
63
-6
no box
A14/12
Champions League
Cremona
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
110avg 110
A18/12
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
75-57
75
57
+18
no box
H21/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
94-65
94
65
+29
127avg 110
H27/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
16-11
21-17
21-21
20-15
20-15
16-19
20-24
21-24
18-19
19-22
27-10
14-21
21-13
14-23
29-23
21-15
16-18
22-10
26-18
17-28
20-10
20-9
17-28
12-15
8-21
17-14
20-13
16-21
19-18
26-16
25-18
25-17
16-12
23-21
11-7
30-17
17-15
24-20
23-13
148.3Avg total
78.5Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.474.6155.0+5.869%
Season at home (7)84.376.1160.4+8.171%
Season away (6)75.872.8148.7+3.067%
Last 10 (10)78.569.8148.3+8.760%
Last 5 (5)77.266.6143.8+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.583.0156.5-9.50%
vs Similar (13)78.874.2153.0+4.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.971.2152.1+9.686%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.4+4.4
CasertaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H20/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
Lega A
82.9Avg total
40.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.678.7-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.438.177.5+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.943.079.9-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.582.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.083.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.744.282.9-5.527%-
vs Similar (19)37.838.576.3-0.647%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/11
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H27/11
Lega A
Juventus
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
Champions League
Venezia
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/12
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/12
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A12/12
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A14/12
Champions League
Cremona
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A18/12
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H27/12
Lega A
71.6Avg total
36.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.774.2+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.235.875.1+3.459%-
Last 30 away (13)35.237.873.1-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.271.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.870.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.541.074.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (13)35.536.772.2-1.231%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.835.875.6+4.064%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.1
54.6%
51.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.3
37.8%
35.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.913.6
76.0%
74.0%13.6
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.5
54.6%
51.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.0
37.2%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
74.0%13.7
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LLLWLWWWLW
Avellino
WWWLLWLWWL
#13
League position
#3
+1.7
Net rating
+11.9
106.0
Offensive rating
110.3
104.2
Defensive rating
98.4
55.5%
Effective FG%
55.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.8%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.8%
3-point %
37.2%
60.9%
Assist %
63.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 110.3Defence104.2 · 98.4Shooting55.5% · 55.1%3-point %37.8% · 37.2%Ball care18.9% · 18.8%Off. rebounds21.2% · 32.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Caserta   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Caserta wins
5
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
17/04/16Caserta v Avellino87-92
23/12/15Avellino v Caserta62-70
19/04/15Avellino v Caserta70-74
26/12/14Caserta v Avellino91-105
02/03/14Caserta v Avellino76-57
16/11/13Avellino v Caserta76-70
21/04/13Caserta v Avellino75-85
30/12/12Avellino v Caserta84-86 OT
15/04/12Caserta v Avellino76-67
27/12/11Avellino v Caserta84-74
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/16ABrindisi72-100
18/12/16HPesaro82-87
11/12/16ATorino77-80
04/12/16HBrescia89-83
27/11/16AVenezia92-98 OT
20/11/16HCapo d'Orlando91-86
13/11/16ACantu83-82
06/11/16HTrento84-67
30/10/16AOlimpia Milano80-100
24/10/16HPistoia74-65
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/16HCapo d'Orlando94-65
21/12/16HCibona75-57
18/12/16ACremona86-73
14/12/16AStrasbourg57-63
12/12/16ACantu74-75
07/12/16HMega Bemax85-61
04/12/16HVenezia78-80
29/11/16AJuventus85-75
27/11/16HBrindisi76-73
23/11/16HTenerife75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL54%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game82.483.081.9
Allowed / game84.577.290.7
Point differential-2.1+5.8-8.9
Avg total166.8160.2172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW69%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game80.484.375.8
Allowed / game74.676.172.8
Point differential+5.8+8.1+3.0
Avg total155.0160.4148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1311285%89.479.4+10.0
2 Venezia1410471%81.178.5+2.6
3 Avellino139469%80.474.6+5.8
4 Reggiana139469%82.980.7+2.2
5 Brindisi137654%83.880.6+3.2
6 Capo d'Orlando137654%77.976.9+1.0
7 Caserta137654%82.484.5-2.1
8 Sassari147750%77.374.4+2.9
9 Trento136746%76.175.6+0.5
10 Pistoia136746%75.077.7-2.7
11 Torino136746%81.584.5-3.1
12 Brescia135838%80.081.5-1.5
13 Cantu135838%77.883.2-5.3
14 Pesaro134931%74.677.9-3.3
15 Varese134931%75.880.1-4.3
16 Cremona1321115%75.581.9-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta2320231682
Avellino2226182086
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