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Caserta vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 74-78
20-17 15-20 19-17 20-24
Position#13
Record9-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game84.3
Caserta
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record16-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game79.5
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Olimpia Milano
26 Feb 2017
KAS74
MIL78
25 Oct 2015
KAS70
MIL80
06 Apr 2015
KAS78
MIL82
27 Oct 2013
KAS77
MIL81
20 Jan 2013
KAS69
MIL78
27 Nov 2011
KAS91
MIL80
01 May 2011
KAS74
MIL85
10 Jun 2010
KAS59
MIL65
04 Jun 2010
KAS76
MIL68
02 Jun 2010
KAS80
MIL90
25 Oct 2009
KAS104
MIL100
26 Oct 2008
KAS70
MIL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H04/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A13/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
17-22
23-13
20-21
24-19
16-27
23-21
14-13
15-10
21-26
26-20
20-31
16-29
26-27
14-15
16-29
23-22
20-26
23-18
16-20
17-20
17-23
26-31
17-21
22-21
15-24
23-18
16-13
21-28
22-19
19-19
18-20
14-20
16-22
16-15
33-18
22-29
18-11
11-18
13-19
164.2Avg total
78.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.084.3165.3-3.347%
Season at home (9)82.178.9161.0+3.267%
Season away (10)80.089.2169.2-9.230%
Last 10 (10)78.885.4164.2-6.630%
Last 5 (5)77.283.6160.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.989.6169.5-9.78%
vs Similar (18)77.779.4157.1-1.756%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A27/01
Euroleague
Avellino
#3
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A30/01
Lega A
Darussafaka
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H02/02
Euroleague
Varese
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A05/02
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A09/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H12/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H18/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H19/02
Italian Cup
Barcelona
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H23/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
31-24
24-23
16-25
15-30
21-17
15-16
17-17
20-24
18-27
23-22
28-14
25-21
29-19
19-24
25-18
27-15
27-25
20-29
12-21
23-21
19-16
28-21
23-21
28-18
17-26
16-17
16-14
18-26
27-19
14-19
28-20
11-19
23-17
22-18
28-20
22-22
23-19
10-24
23-18
167.7Avg total
84.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.679.5168.1+9.284%
Season at home (9)91.878.0169.8+13.8100%
Season away (10)85.880.8166.6+5.070%
Last 10 (10)84.982.8167.7+2.160%
Last 5 (5)83.879.0162.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.286.3164.5-8.120%
vs Similar (9)83.085.6168.6-2.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.278.9168.1+10.390%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
CasertaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/02
Lega A
84.3Avg total
39.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.280.3-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.441.480.7-2.036%-
Last 30 away (16)36.943.079.9-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)39.145.284.3-6.10%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.480.2-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.446.184.5-7.717%-
vs Similar (18)37.839.777.4-1.933%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/01
Euroleague
Avellino
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A30/01
Lega A
Darussafaka
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H02/02
Euroleague
Varese
#10
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A05/02
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A09/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H12/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H16/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H18/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H19/02
Italian Cup
Barcelona
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/02
Euroleague
86.9Avg total
44.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.084.6-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.141.583.6+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)40.944.885.7-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.786.9+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.682.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.343.181.4-4.830%-
vs Similar (9)41.844.986.7-3.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.241.285.4+3.060%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.5
50.6%
51.1%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.5
37.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.214.8
69.8%
74.0%14.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.124.8
58.9%
51.1%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.68.3
40.3%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.813.1
73.6%
74.0%13.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LWLWLLLLLW
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWLWWLL
#13
League position
#2
-5.6
Net rating
+6.2
101.5
Offensive rating
115.9
107.1
Defensive rating
109.7
52.8%
Effective FG%
59.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
19.7%
Turnover %
19.4%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.1%
3-point %
40.3%
61.5%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 115.9Defence107.1 · 109.7Shooting52.8% · 59.4%3-point %37.1% · 40.3%Ball care19.7% · 19.4%Off. rebounds22.7% · 31.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Caserta   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Caserta wins
10
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
30/10/16Olimpia Milano v Caserta100-80
10/03/16Olimpia Milano v Caserta91-86
25/10/15Caserta v Olimpia Milano70-80
06/04/15Caserta v Olimpia Milano78-82
14/12/14Olimpia Milano v Caserta78-71
02/02/14Olimpia Milano v Caserta61-43
27/10/13Caserta v Olimpia Milano77-81
20/01/13Caserta v Olimpia Milano69-78
30/09/12Olimpia Milano v Caserta97-71
18/03/12Olimpia Milano v Caserta95-89
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/17APistoia64-77
05/02/17HCremona79-75
29/01/17HVarese80-86
22/01/17AReggiana86-85 OT
08/01/17ASassari77-95
01/01/17HAvellino82-86
27/12/16ABrindisi72-100
18/12/16HPesaro82-87
11/12/16ATorino77-80
04/12/16HBrescia89-83
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/17HBarcelona78-83
19/02/17HSassari84-74
18/02/17HReggiana87-84
16/02/17HBrindisi77-75
12/02/17HBrescia93-79
09/02/17AAnadolu Efes86-90
05/02/17AVarese98-82
02/02/17HDarussafaka89-87
30/01/17AAvellino68-80
27/01/17AReal Madrid89-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game81.082.180.0
Allowed / game84.378.989.2
Point differential-3.3+3.2-9.2
Avg total165.3161.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %84%100%70%
Points / game88.691.885.8
Allowed / game79.578.080.8
Point differential+9.2+13.8+5.0
Avg total168.1169.8166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1916384%88.679.5+9.2
2 Avellino2013765%79.774.7+5.0
3 Venezia2012860%81.579.8+1.6
4 Sassari2011955%77.073.2+3.9
5 Trento2011955%75.572.0+3.5
6 Capo d'Orlando2011955%78.278.0+0.3
7 Reggiana2011955%81.081.5-0.5
8 Pistoia1910953%75.476.1-0.7
9 Brescia20101050%80.980.0+0.8
10 Torino20101050%82.285.5-3.3
11 Caserta1991047%81.084.3-3.3
12 Brindisi2091145%83.282.8+0.3
13 Pesaro2071335%73.777.8-4.2
14 Cantu2071335%76.681.5-4.8
15 Cremona2061430%77.579.3-1.8
16 Varese1951426%75.681.7-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta2015192074
Olimpia Milano1720172478
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