Caxias do Sul vs Pato Result & Analysis

Caxias do Sul faces Pato in the NBB on 12 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 65% to win against Pato's 35% chance, a contest the forecast sees as a 75-71 win for Caxias do Sul and a total of 145.8 points. Caxias do Sul is 0-6 this season, averaging 62.7 points and conceding 79.7, while Pato sits 1-5, scoring 73.3 and allowing 84.7; the last five games for Caxias show five straight defeats, including a 55-76 loss to Brasilia at home, and for Pato one win and four losses, with a 68-76 loss to Cruzeiro away. In their ten meetings the teams are even 5-5, the most recent being a 91-85 win for Caxias on 9 January 2026. The home team's line is -4.0 with a 52% chance to cover, the total is 146.5 with a 48% probability of the over, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. Caxias do Sul's recent home record is 0-3, scoring 60.7 and allowing 75.3, while Pato's road record is 0-2, scoring 66.5 and conceding 81.0. The projected score of 75-71 reflects the model's assessment of the teams' current form.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winLost

64.6%fair 1.55

Best odds1.59

Implied58.7%

Edge+5.9pp

Pato winWon

35.4%fair 2.83

Best odds2.30

Implied41.3%

Edge-5.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do Sul Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSul

Date

Competition

Brasilia

64-73

-9

57avg 66

A22/04

NBB

Brasilia

70-78

-8

59avg 66

H25/04

NBB

Brasilia

66-63

52avg 66

H27/04

NBB

Brasilia

70-71

-1

62avg 66

A30/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

61-72

-11

45avg 66

H17/10

NBB

Minas

66-78

-12

52avg 66

H20/10

NBB

Botafogo

#14

82-84

-2

76avg 66

A28/10

NBB

Flamengo

59-77

-18

no box

A30/10

NBB

Pinheiros

53-91

-38

no box

A02/11

NBB

Brasilia

55-76

-21

no box

H07/11

NBB

15-23

20-11

15-19

14-20

23-20

14-26

20-17

13-15

20-20

8-11

20-17

18-15

24-15

9-22

18-19

19-15

20-21

19-12

9-19

13-20

20-25

13-18

10-18

23-17

24-22

16-14

21-25

21-23

15-17

12-18

9-28

23-14

6-25

15-20

14-23

18-23

12-22

11-26

19-23

13-5

140.9Avg total

64.6Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	62.7	79.7	142.3	-17.0	0%
Season at home (3)	60.7	75.3	136.0	-14.7	0%
Season away (3)	64.7	84.0	148.7	-19.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	64.6	76.3	140.9	-11.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	63.0	81.2	144.2	-18.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	66.9	77.1	144.1	-10.2	16%
vs Similar (5)	76.6	75.6	152.2	+1.0	40%
vs Weaker (6)	82.0	75.0	157.0	+7.0	67%

This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPato

Date

Competition

Franca

64-100

100

-36

58avg 61

A09/04

NBB

Osasco

#18

68-77

-9

69avg 61

A11/04

NBB

Pinheiros

55-88

-33

50avg 61

A16/04

NBB

Paulistano

71-92

-21

58avg 61

A18/04

NBB

Paulistano

#12

74-80

-6

58avg 61

H21/10

NBB

Botafogo

#14

89-88

36avg 61

H24/10

NBB

Minas

65-86

-21

52avg 61

A27/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

68-76

-8

48avg 61

A29/10

NBB

Flamengo

66-80

-14

no box

H07/11

NBB

Bauru

#10

78-98

-20

no box

H09/11

NBB

16-30

12-23

11-23

25-24

19-14

20-21

14-23

15-19

12-25

16-19

16-27

11-17

15-24

18-27

18-28

20-13

10-13

18-20

13-30

33-17

22-26

16-22

27-13

24-27

14-24

18-24

16-23

17-15

17-17

18-21

10-19

23-19

18-24

19-16

13-24

16-16

26-28

16-26

19-19

17-25

156.3Avg total

69.8Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	73.3	84.7	158.0	-11.3	17%
Season at home (4)	76.8	86.5	163.2	-9.8	25%
Season away (2)	66.5	81.0	147.5	-14.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.8	86.5	156.3	-16.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	85.6	158.8	-12.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	69.8	83.3	153.0	-13.5	5%
vs Similar (8)	77.1	76.8	153.9	+0.4	38%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 140Actual: Over 140

Over 140

63.6%

@ 1.47+0.1pp

Under 140

36.4%

@ 2.55-0.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.47

Under

Bet365

2.55

Over/Under 145 · main lineActual: Over 145

Over 145

51.4%

@ 1.86+1.1pp

Under 145

48.6%

@ 1.88-1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.86

SBO

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Marathon Be

1.82

Bet365

1.80

Under

Pinnacle

1.88

Bet365

1.86

SBO

1.85

1xBet

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Over/Under 150Actual: Over 150

Over 150

39.1%

@ 2.40+0.4pp

Under 150

60.9%

@ 1.56-0.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Under

Marathon Be

1.56

Bet365

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Caxias do Sul total 70Actual: Caxias do Sul over 70

Over 70

69.6%

Under 70

30.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Caxias do Sul total 74 · main lineActual: Caxias do Sul over 74

Over 74

54.2%

@ 1.79+3.8pp

Under 74

45.8%

@ 1.85-3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.79

1xBet

1.72

Under

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.72

Caxias do Sul total 78Actual: Caxias do Sul under 78

Over 78

38.0%

Under 78

62.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Pato total 67.5Actual: Pato over 67.5

Over 67.5

62.2%

@ 1.47+0.0pp

Under 67.5

37.8%

@ 2.45-0.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.41

Under

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.28

Pato total 71.5 · main lineActual: Pato over 71.5

Over 71.5

46.9%

@ 1.90-1.5pp

Under 71.5

53.1%

@ 1.83+1.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.88

BetVictor

1.88

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.80

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

Marathon Be

1.76

1xBet

1.66

Pato total 75.5Actual: Pato over 75.5

Over 75.5

32.1%

@ 2.65-2.5pp

Under 75.5

67.9%

@ 1.40+2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.54

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.35

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Caxias do Sul -6.5Actual: Pato +6.5

CAXI -6.5

42.7%

@ 2.40+1.0pp

PATO +6.5

57.3%

@ 1.59-1.0pp

Best 5 market prices

CAXI

Bet365

2.40

1xBet

2.27

Pinnacle

2.22

Betano

2.20

PATO

Pinnacle

1.59

Betano

1.57

Bet365

1.54

Marathon Be

1.53

1xBet

1.45

Spread Caxias do Sul -3.5 · main lineActual: Pato +3.5

CAXI -3.5

54.2%

@ 1.85+3.8pp

PATO +3.5

45.8%

@ 1.88-3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

CAXI

Pinnacle

1.85

1xBet

1.84

SBO

1.84

Marathon Be

1.84

Betfair

1.83

PATO

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.86

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.83

Spread Caxias do Sul -0.5Actual: Pato +0.5

CAXI -0.5

64.6%

PATO +0.5

35.4%

Best 5 market prices

CAXI

No market prices yet.

PATO

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Caxias do SulPato

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.5
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	40%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	29%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.5	54%	62%
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	15.4	22.2	37.6	-6.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.4	42%	58%
vs Similar (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	20%	80%
vs Weaker (6)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.2	50%	67%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.5
Last 30 (30)	17.7	21.2	38.9	-3.5	23%	70%
Last 30 at home (18)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.8	28%	72%
Last 30 away (12)	17.0	21.7	38.7	-4.7	17%	67%
Last 10 (10)	16.9	22.5	39.4	-5.6	10%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.8	43.2	-4.4	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	16.5	21.7	38.2	-5.1	9%	68%
vs Similar (8)	20.8	19.9	40.6	+0.9	62%	75%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 35
Last 30 (30)	16.1	18.2	34.3	-2.1	30%	30%
Last 30 at home (17)	16.1	18.5	34.5	-2.4	29%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	16.2	17.8	34.0	-1.7	31%	15%
Last 10 (10)	13.7	17.8	31.5	-4.1	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	13.4	19.2	32.6	-5.8	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	14.5	18.3	32.7	-3.8	26%	21%
vs Similar (5)	16.8	16.6	33.4	+0.2	40%	20%
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	33%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 35
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	37%	70%
Last 30 at home (18)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.8	56%	61%
Last 30 away (12)	18.1	21.7	39.8	-3.6	8%	83%
Last 10 (10)	17.1	21.9	39.0	-4.8	10%	70%
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.3	27%	73%
vs Similar (8)	20.2	17.5	37.8	+2.8	62%	62%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

35-34

A22/04

NBB

Brasilia

37-46

-9

H25/04

NBB

Brasilia

28-31

-3

H27/04

NBB

Brasilia

33-37

-4

A30/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

39-33

H17/10

NBB

Minas

33-43

-10

H20/10

NBB

Botafogo

#14

40-36

A28/10

NBB

Flamengo

27-35

-8

A30/10

NBB

Pinheiros

21-45

-24

A02/11

NBB

Brasilia

23-48

-25

H07/11

NBB

70.4Avg total

31.6Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 72.75
Last 30 (30)	34.1	37.9	72.0	-3.8	40%	37%
Last 30 at home (17)	33.3	39.1	72.4	-5.8	29%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	35.2	36.4	71.6	-1.2	54%	31%
Last 10 (10)	31.6	38.8	70.4	-7.2	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	28.8	41.4	70.2	-12.6	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	32.6	37.8	70.4	-5.2	42%	37%
vs Similar (5)	34.0	38.8	72.8	-4.8	20%	20%
vs Weaker (6)	39.0	37.5	76.5	+1.5	50%	50%

This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

28-53

-25

A09/04

NBB

Osasco

#18

39-35

A11/04

NBB

Pinheiros

28-44

-16

A16/04

NBB

Paulistano

33-51

-18

A18/04

NBB

Paulistano

#12

28-33

-5

H21/10

NBB

Botafogo

#14

38-48

-10

H24/10

NBB

Minas

32-48

-16

A27/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

35-38

-3

A29/10

NBB

Flamengo

37-40

-3

H07/11

NBB

Bauru

#10

42-54

-12

H09/11

NBB

78.4Avg total

34.0Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 72.75
Last 30 (30)	36.2	40.6	76.8	-4.5	30%	80%
Last 30 at home (18)	36.9	38.8	75.7	-1.9	33%	72%
Last 30 away (12)	35.1	43.3	78.4	-8.2	25%	92%
Last 10 (10)	34.0	44.4	78.4	-10.4	10%	80%
Last 5 (5)	36.8	45.6	82.4	-8.8	0%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	34.4	41.8	76.2	-7.4	14%	77%
vs Similar (8)	41.0	37.4	78.4	+3.6	75%	88%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Caxias do Sul win

CAXI win

no forecast

@ 1.68

PATO win

no forecast

@ 2.28

1st half Spread Caxias do Sul -2 · main lineActual: Caxias do Sul -2

CAXI -2

no forecast

@ 1.91

PATO +2

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 72.75 · main lineActual: Over 72.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

Caxias do Sul 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Caxias do Sul over 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Pato 1st half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Pato under 35.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: CAXI + total 73.5

CAXI & over

no forecast

@ 3.30

CAXI & under

no forecast

@ 3.45

1st half: Draw + total 73.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PATO + total 73.5

PATO & over

no forecast

@ 4.00

PATO & under

no forecast

@ 4.20

1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Over 71.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half Over/Under 74Actual: Over 74

Over

no forecast

@ 1.94

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Caxias do Sul -3Actual: Caxias do Sul -3

CAXI -3

no forecast

@ 2.10

PATO +3

no forecast

@ 1.77

1st half Spread Caxias do Sul -1Actual: Caxias do Sul -1

CAXI -1

no forecast

@ 1.74

PATO +1

no forecast

@ 2.03

1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.64

1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.41

Under

no forecast

@ 2.70

1st half Spread Caxias do Sul 0Actual: Caxias do Sul 0

CAXI 0

no forecast

@ 1.57

PATO 0

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Pato (regulation)

CAXI

no forecast

@ 1.74

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

PATO

no forecast

@ 2.30

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 34.75
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.4	37.9	-2.8	27%	67%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.3	19.4	37.6	-1.1	41%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	16.6	21.7	38.3	-5.1	8%	69%
Last 10 (10)	15.5	20.8	36.3	-5.3	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	14.6	23.4	38.0	-8.8	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.3	21.9	38.2	-5.6	16%	63%
vs Similar (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	40%	80%
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.3	50%	67%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 34.75
Last 30 (30)	16.9	20.4	37.3	-3.5	17%	70%
Last 30 at home (18)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	22%	78%
Last 30 away (12)	14.5	21.6	36.1	-7.1	8%	58%
Last 10 (10)	15.7	22.9	38.6	-7.2	10%	80%
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.4	9%	64%
vs Similar (8)	19.2	17.6	36.9	+1.6	38%	88%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.7	36.8	+1.5	50%	50%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.2	16.6	34.8	+1.6	53%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	46%	62%
Last 10 (10)	17.5	16.7	34.2	+0.8	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.6	47%	47%
vs Similar (5)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+4.0	60%	80%
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.2	50%	33%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.8	37.9	-1.6	33%	53%
Last 30 at home (18)	18.7	20.3	38.9	-1.6	33%	67%
Last 30 away (12)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	33%	33%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.6	19.0	37.7	-0.4	36%	50%
vs Similar (8)	16.9	21.8	38.6	-4.9	25%	62%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 71
Last 30 (30)	36.7	38.0	74.8	-1.3	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	36.5	35.9	72.5	+0.6	59%	47%
Last 30 away (13)	37.0	40.8	77.8	-3.8	38%	62%
Last 10 (10)	33.0	37.5	70.5	-4.5	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	34.2	39.8	74.0	-5.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	34.3	39.3	73.6	-5.0	32%	42%
vs Similar (5)	42.6	36.8	79.4	+5.8	100%	80%
vs Weaker (6)	39.5	35.0	74.5	+4.5	67%	67%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 71
Last 30 (30)	35.1	40.2	75.3	-5.1	23%	63%
Last 30 at home (18)	37.2	39.9	77.1	-2.8	33%	72%
Last 30 away (12)	31.9	40.6	72.5	-8.7	8%	50%
Last 10 (10)	35.8	42.1	77.9	-6.3	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	36.4	40.0	76.4	-3.6	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	34.7	40.5	75.2	-5.8	14%	59%
vs Similar (8)	36.1	39.4	75.5	-3.2	50%	75%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

CAXI win + total 145.5

🔒 Pro

PATO win + total 145.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CAXI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PATO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (CAXI:PATO): CAXI wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Caxias do Sul +5.5	79.4%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +7.5	84.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +5	78.8%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +6.5	81.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +17.5	96.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +4	75.9%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +3	72.9%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +16.5	95.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +4.5	76.6%	1.32	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +12.5	92.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +21.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +3.5	73.7%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +11.5	90.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +2.5	71.0%	1.40	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +22.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Caxias do Sul over 68.5	73.9%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Pato +23.5	94.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Caxias do Sul over 69.5	70.6%	1.38	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Pato under 90.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Pato +22.5	94.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Pato under 88.5	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 94.5	97.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 93.5	96.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Caxias do Sul over 67.5	77.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 91.5	94.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Pato under 86.5	93.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Pato under 91.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Pato under 80.5	82.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Pato under 81.5	84.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.0%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Pato under 84.5	90.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 89.5	92.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Pato under 82.5	87.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Pato +18.5	89.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Caxias do Sul over 65.5	82.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Pato under 76.5	71.2%	1.33	Bet365 1.36	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Lost
Pato under 78.5	77.3%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Lost
Under 170.5	92.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Pato +11.5	73.9%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Pato +12.5	76.7%	1.25	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Pato +17.5	87.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 87.5	89.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Pato +13.5	79.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 85.5	84.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 84.5	82.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 83.5	79.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Over 130.5	82.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Under 165.5	88.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Pato +10.5	71.0%	1.31	Betano 1.32	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Under 160.5	81.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
Pato over 62.5	78.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Pato +11	73.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Under 155.5	72.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Lost
Over 135.5	73.1%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 81.5	73.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Pato over 64.5	72.7%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
Pato +10	70.0%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Pato over 63.5	75.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	29.8	14.0	47.0%	49.8%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	10.4	34.2%	31.6%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	15.4	11.1	72.1%	71.3%	11.1

They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 61.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.1 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	15.6	47.3%	49.8%	31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	7.6	25.7%	31.6%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	11.3	7.1	62.8%	71.3%	7.1

They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	18.8	54.5%	49.8%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.1	33.5%	31.6%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	15.3	11.6	75.8%	71.3%	11.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	16.7	47.0%	49.8%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	11.4	37.5%	31.6%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.9	69.8%	71.3%	13.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.9	15.8	49.4%	49.8%	31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.6	34.3%	31.6%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.9	72.2%	71.3%	12.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	16.8	49.5%	49.8%	33.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	8.8	28.6%	31.6%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	16.0	10.6	66.2%	71.3%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	19.5	54.3%	49.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.0	32.2%	31.6%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	17.4	12.6	72.4%	71.3%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.0	51.2%	49.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	9.5	33.0%	31.6%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.5	71.1%	71.3%	15.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Caxias do Sul

LLLLLLLWLL

Pato

LLLLWLLLLL

#18

League position

#15

-4.0

Net rating

-23.7

88.6

Offensive rating

70.9

92.7

Defensive rating

94.5

49.2%

Effective FG%

43.1%

52.7%

Opp. effective FG%

51.3%

15.1%

Turnover %

20.2%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.18

34.2%

3-point %

25.7%

63.9%

Assist %

75.4%

10%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Caxias do Sul ■ Pato

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caxias do Sul wins

Pato wins

Date	Game	Score
09/01/26	Pato v Caxias do Sul	85-91 OT
21/10/25	Caxias do Sul v Pato	70-63
20/01/25	Pato v Caxias do Sul	78-65
31/10/24	Caxias do Sul v Pato	81-80
12/04/24	Caxias do Sul v Pato	68-85
29/12/23	Pato v Caxias do Sul	78-74
06/02/23	Pato v Caxias do Sul	88-80
06/12/22	Caxias do Sul v Pato	73-84
08/04/22	Pato v Caxias do Sul	59-68
28/12/21	Caxias do Sul v Pato	80-67

Caxias do Sullast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Brasilia	55-76
02/11/26	A	Pinheiros	53-91
30/10/26	A	Flamengo	59-77
28/10/26	A	Botafogo	82-84
20/10/26	H	Minas	66-78
17/10/26	H	Cruzeiro	61-72
30/04/26	A	Brasilia	70-71
27/04/26	H	Brasilia	66-63
25/04/26	H	Brasilia	70-78
22/04/26	A	Brasilia	64-73

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	H	Bauru	78-98
07/11/26	H	Flamengo	66-80
29/10/26	A	Cruzeiro	68-76
27/10/26	A	Minas	65-86
24/10/26	H	Botafogo	89-88
21/10/26	H	Paulistano	74-80
18/04/26	A	Paulistano	71-92
16/04/26	A	Pinheiros	55-88
11/04/26	A	Osasco	68-77
09/04/26	A	Franca	64-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	62.7	60.7	64.7
Allowed / game	79.7	75.3	84.0
Point differential	-17.0	-14.7	-19.3
Avg total	142.3	136.0	148.7
Over 145	17%	0%	33%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pato

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	17%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	17%	25%	0%
Points / game	73.3	76.8	66.5
Allowed / game	84.7	86.5	81.0
Point differential	-11.3	-9.8	-14.5
Avg total	158.0	163.2	147.5
Over 145	83%	100%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	7	7	0	100%	86.3	65.7	+20.6
2	Mogi	6	5	1	83%	81.5	73.7	+7.8
3	Pinheiros	7	5	2	71%	84.4	72.3	+12.1
4	Flamengo	7	5	2	71%	80.9	73.4	+7.4
5	Unifacisa	7	5	2	71%	79.4	75.1	+4.3
6	Franca	7	4	3	57%	78.3	73.3	+5.0
7	Brasilia	8	4	4	50%	80.6	79.8	+0.9
8	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
9	Paulistano	6	3	3	50%	70.3	73.0	-2.7
10	Uniao Corinthians	6	3	3	50%	73.2	76.8	-3.7
11	Bauru	7	3	4	43%	76.7	77.7	-1.0
12	Corinthians Paulista	5	2	3	40%	79.4	77.6	+1.8
13	Botafogo	5	2	3	40%	80.0	83.0	-3.0
14	Sao Jose	6	2	4	33%	80.5	84.5	-4.0
15	Osasco	4	1	3	25%	79.5	86.0	-6.5
16	Pato	6	1	5	17%	73.3	84.7	-11.3
17	Cearense	6	1	5	17%	66.0	84.8	-18.8
18	Caxias do Sul	6	0	6	0%	62.7	79.7	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caxias do Sul	21	19	22	15	77
Pato	15	20	15	29	79

← all games of the day

Caxias do Sul vs Pato Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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