PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cearense vs Brasilia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game86.2
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cearense v Brasilia
13 Dec 2026
CEAR v BRAS
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
CEAR49
BRAS81
07 Feb 2025
CEAR62
BRAS84
29 Dec 2023
CEAR83
BRAS73
19 Oct 2022
CEAR62
BRAS75
15 Apr 2022
CEAR77
BRAS65
06 Dec 2020
CEAR71
BRAS63
06 Dec 2019
CEAR91
BRAS56
05 Dec 2018
CEAR76
BRAS63
17 Nov 2016
CEAR72
BRAS81
17 Nov 2015
CEAR81
BRAS85
13 Mar 2015
CEAR96
BRAS84
30 Jan 2014
CEAR88
BRAS77
26 Feb 2013
CEAR100
BRAS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
L
72-93
72
93
-21
54avg 61
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
76avg 61
A17/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 61
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-116
71
116
-45
56avg 61
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
94-93
94
93
+1
84avg 61
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
83-107
83
107
-24
76avg 61
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
56-87
56
87
-31
45avg 61
A14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 61
A16/04
NBB
Osasco
#13
L
69-93
69
93
-24
55avg 61
H20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
63-98
63
98
-35
40avg 61
H22/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
11-20
26-21
15-25
16-18
16-17
23-19
21-22
24-24
24-23
18-23
11-21
16-34
15-26
17-23
23-33
19-20
26-21
30-29
19-23
20-23
18-36
22-25
23-23
9-25
21-24
15-24
11-14
23-20
19-23
23-18
12-25
17-32
23-22
13-18
16-21
15-24
17-22
18-26
13-26
170.5Avg total
75.1Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)66.095.5161.5-29.50%
Season at home (2)66.095.5161.5-29.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.195.4170.5-20.310%
Last 5 (5)69.694.2163.8-24.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.493.4166.8-20.04%
vs Similar (5)80.278.2158.4+2.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
W
72-69
72
69
+3
61avg 70
H15/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 70
A18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
67-50
67
50
+17
61avg 70
H21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
70avg 70
H23/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 70
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
53avg 70
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#12
W
104-92
104
92
+12
109avg 70
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#6
W
91-73
91
73
+18
85avg 70
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
23avg 70
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
61-100
61
100
-39
20avg 70
A29/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
22-22
14-19
15-16
17-19
17-19
13-25
20-13
24-7
9-19
17-12
17-12
12-28
27-20
18-16
17-27
17-10
15-20
17-14
22-25
15-21
11-21
21-16
19-10
29-28
17-17
31-27
27-20
29-22
25-16
18-16
19-19
16-21
16-28
30-11
27-20
12-26
21-17
19-24
9-33
153.0Avg total
76.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.286.2172.5+0.075%
Season at home (2)97.582.5180.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)75.090.0165.0-15.050%
Last 10 (10)76.276.8153.0-0.660%
Last 5 (5)82.282.6164.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.176.7145.9-7.629%
vs Similar (12)86.282.1168.2+4.175%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)77.167.6144.7+9.582%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
CearenseBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/04
NBB
Osasco
#13
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H22/10
NBB
85.0Avg total
36.9Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.245.883.0-8.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.444.881.2-8.431%-
Last 30 away (14)38.246.985.1-8.721%-
Last 10 (10)36.948.185.0-11.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.450.286.6-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.847.384.1-10.520%-
vs Similar (5)39.438.477.8+1.060%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H23/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A29/10
NBB
76.5Avg total
37.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.376.5-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.677.8+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)35.939.175.1-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.376.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.481.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.137.170.3-4.043%-
vs Similar (12)41.843.284.9-1.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.633.771.4+3.964%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.718.7
44.8%
49.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
31.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.316.1
66.3%
71.2%16.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.7
50.3%
49.9%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
31.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws13.39.8
73.7%
71.2%9.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLLLWLLLL
Brasilia
LWWWLWLWLW
#18
League position
#5
-21.2
Net rating
-4.5
82.4
Offensive rating
87.1
103.6
Defensive rating
91.6
44.4%
Effective FG%
49.9%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.2%
3-point %
33.0%
54.1%
Assist %
63.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.4 · 87.1Defence103.6 · 91.6Shooting44.4% · 49.9%3-point %29.2% · 33.0%Ball care16.2% · 15.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Cearense   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cearense wins
7
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Cearense v Brasilia49-81
04/12/25Brasilia v Cearense105-90
07/02/25Cearense v Brasilia62-84
05/11/24Brasilia v Cearense73-72
11/04/24Brasilia v Cearense69-68
29/12/23Cearense v Brasilia83-73
09/01/23Brasilia v Cearense80-82
19/10/22Cearense v Brasilia62-75
15/04/22Cearense v Brasilia77-65
11/01/22Brasilia v Cearense82-75
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26HPinheiros63-98
20/10/26HOsasco69-93
16/04/26ACruzeiro77-86
14/04/26AMinas56-87
06/04/26HCaxias do Sul83-107
04/04/26HUniao Corinthians94-93
22/03/26AFranca71-116
19/03/26APaulistano77-91
17/03/26AOsasco89-90 OT
13/03/26HRio Claro72-93
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AMinas61-100
27/10/26ACruzeiro89-80
24/10/26HPaulistano91-73
22/10/26HCorinthians Paulista104-92
28/05/26AFranca66-68
26/05/26AFranca71-69
23/05/26HFranca74-91
21/05/26HFranca67-50
18/05/26AFranca67-76
15/05/26HFlamengo72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game66.066.0-
Allowed / game95.595.5-
Point differential-29.5-29.5-
Avg total161.5161.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Brasilia
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game86.297.575.0
Allowed / game86.282.590.0
Point differential+0.0+15.0-15.0
Avg total172.5180.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Paulistano43175%75.275.5-0.2
7 Flamengo32167%79.770.7+9.0
8 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
9 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
10 Bauru42250%75.277.8-2.5
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%76.079.2-3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Botafogo41325%80.884.8-4.0
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul4040%67.077.8-10.8
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.