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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 113-97
33-29 24-21 27-35 29-12
Position#13
Record41-30
FormLWWLL
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game110.0
vs
Position#7
Record47-21
FormWLWLW
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game106.8
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
14 Aug 2021
DAL85
DEN89
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
06 Oct 2015
DAL86
DEN96
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
107-111
107
111
-4
A23/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
139-123
139
123
+16
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
W
109-103
109
103
+6
A27/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
118-126
118
126
-8
A29/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
111-91
111
91
+20
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
107-109
107
109
-2
A03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
127-123 OT
127
123
+4
H05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
121-96
121
96
+25
H07/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
109-112
109
112
-3
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
L
109-119
109
119
-10
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-21
31-37
20-19
21-34
41-27
40-38
29-31
29-27
36-20
23-29
29-28
21-26
31-31
24-32
38-25
25-38
28-24
35-20
18-21
30-26
29-19
29-29
17-33
32-28
24-22
33-33
30-30
25-27
33-28
28-21
34-16
26-31
26-31
26-24
32-31
25-26
29-27
30-27
26-29
24-36
227.0Avg total
115.7Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)115.8110.0225.9+5.858%
Season at home (35)115.7109.5225.3+6.254%
Season away (36)115.9110.5226.4+5.461%
Last 10 (10)115.7111.3227.0+4.450%
Last 5 (5)114.6111.8226.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)112.3114.9227.2-2.631%
vs Weaker (17)119.0109.8228.8+9.271%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
116-120 OT
116
120
-4
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
101-113
101
113
-12
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
128-116
128
116
+12
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
115-98
115
98
+17
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
103-132
103
132
-29
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
133-118
133
118
+15
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
100-116
100
116
-16
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
114-112
114
112
+2
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-104
102
104
-2
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
109-95
109
95
+14
H10/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
24-38
32-23
24-27
17-27
31-21
29-30
24-35
43-38
30-27
24-22
31-29
29-23
30-23
23-26
33-26
27-37
29-29
23-32
24-34
40-32
33-37
27-27
33-22
25-26
33-23
23-33
19-34
31-34
29-17
20-31
34-30
33-23
28-35
22-27
19-19
39-24
23-30
14-17
33-24
224.5Avg total
112.1Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)110.5106.8217.3+3.769%
Season at home (34)111.3105.3216.5+6.076%
Season away (34)109.7108.3218.0+1.462%
Last 10 (10)112.1112.4224.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)111.6109.0220.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)121.2112.0233.2+9.275%
vs Similar ◀ (14)109.9109.5219.4+0.464%
vs Weaker (12)113.6112.1225.7+1.558%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A23/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A27/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A29/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
63-44
63
44
+19
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H07/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A11/03
NBA
115.1Avg total
61.1Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.456.5116.9+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.358.8117.1-0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)62.254.5116.8+7.881%-
Last 10 (10)61.154.0115.1+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)57.452.2109.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)54.359.3113.6-5.031%-
vs Weaker (17)65.154.4119.4+10.794%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H10/03
NBA
117.2Avg total
60.5Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.656.2112.7+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.053.2111.2+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)55.358.8114.1-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)60.556.7117.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)62.856.2119.0+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.562.8125.2-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.855.1108.9-1.336%-
vs Weaker (12)57.855.2113.1+2.667%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 115.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.225.9
56.1%
52.3%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.916.2
36.1%
35.7%48.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
77.2%15.3
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.332.9
57.4%
52.3%65.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.4
37.0%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.615.1
77.0%
77.2%15.1
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLWWLWLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWLWWLL
#13
League position
#7
+4.2
Net rating
-0.3
110.1
Offensive rating
112.6
105.9
Defensive rating
112.9
55.1%
Effective FG%
56.8%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
18.2%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.1%
3-point %
37.0%
61.0%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 112.6Defence105.9 · 112.9Shooting55.1% · 56.8%3-point %36.1% · 37.0%Ball care12.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds18.2% · 23.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/20ASan Antonio Spurs109-119
08/03/20HIndiana Pacers109-112
07/03/20HMemphis Grizzlies121-96
05/03/20HNew Orleans Pelicans127-123 OT
03/03/20AChicago Bulls107-109
01/03/20AMinnesota Timberwolves111-91
29/02/20AMiami Heat118-126
27/02/20ASan Antonio Spurs109-103
25/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves139-123
23/02/20AAtlanta Hawks107-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks109-95
08/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers102-104
06/03/20ACharlotte Hornets114-112
04/03/20HGolden State Warriors100-116
01/03/20HToronto Raptors133-118
29/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers103-132
26/02/20HDetroit Pistons115-98
23/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves128-116
22/02/20AOklahoma City Thunder101-113
13/02/20HLos Angeles Lakers116-120 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeWWWWL54%
AwayWLWLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %58%54%61%
Points / game115.8115.7115.9
Allowed / game110.0109.5110.5
Point differential+5.8+6.2+5.4
Avg total225.9225.3226.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%29%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (22)25% (12)30% (10)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayWLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %69%76%62%
Points / game110.5111.3109.7
Allowed / game106.8105.3108.3
Point differential+3.7+6.0+1.4
Avg total217.3216.5218.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%35%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)57% (7)62% (13)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks70581283%118.8107.2+11.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers69521775%113.7106.6+7.1
3 Toronto Raptors68482071%113.1107.0+6.1
4 Boston Celtics68472169%112.9105.7+7.2
5 Denver Nuggets68472169%110.5106.8+3.7
6 Los Angeles Clippers67442366%115.1109.6+5.5
7 Miami Heat70452564%112.4108.5+3.9
8 Houston Rockets69432662%118.5114.8+3.7
9 Oklahoma City Thunder67412661%110.4108.5+1.9
10 Philadelphia 76ers69422761%109.4106.6+2.8
11 Indiana Pacers69422761%109.9107.6+2.3
12 Utah Jazz68412760%111.2109.1+2.2
13 Dallas Mavericks71413058%115.8110.0+5.8
14 Memphis Grizzlies68333549%112.3113.7-1.5
15 New Orleans Pelicans69333648%116.9117.1-0.2
16 Brooklyn Nets67323548%110.5111.1-0.6
17 Orlando Magic71333846%105.9106.7-0.8
18 Sacramento Kings68303844%109.5111.2-1.7
19 Portland Trail Blazers70304043%113.5115.3-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs68293943%112.5114.7-2.2
21 Phoenix Suns69284141%112.3113.6-1.3
22 Washington Wizards68264238%115.2118.7-3.5
23 Chicago Bulls70244634%106.9109.8-2.8
24 Charlotte Hornets70244634%102.9109.4-6.5
25 Detroit Pistons71234832%107.1110.8-3.7
26 New York Knicks70224831%105.7112.0-6.3
27 Minnesota Timberwolves68204829%113.1117.7-4.6
28 Atlanta Hawks72215129%110.6119.2-8.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers68194928%106.2114.8-8.6
30 Golden State Warriors70175324%106.7115.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks33242729113
Denver Nuggets2921351297
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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