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Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 133-118
40-32 33-37 27-27 33-22
Position#9
Record40-19
FormLLWWL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game107.2
vs
Position#3
Record42-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game106.0
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors
04 Nov 2026
DEN v TOR
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
DEN121
TOR115
04 Nov 2024
DEN121
TOR119
11 Mar 2024
DEN125
TOR119
06 Mar 2023
DEN118
TOR113
12 Mar 2022
DEN115
TOR127
29 Apr 2021
DEN121
TOR111
01 Mar 2020
DEN133
TOR118
16 Dec 2018
DEN95
TOR86
01 Nov 2017
DEN129
TOR111
18 Nov 2016
DEN111
TOR113
01 Feb 2016
DEN112
TOR93
28 Dec 2014
DEN102
TOR116
31 Jan 2014
DEN90
TOR100
03 Dec 2012
DEN113
TOR110
27 Jan 2012
DEN96
TOR81
21 Mar 2011
DEN123
TOR90
17 Nov 2009
DEN130
TOR112
02 Dec 2008
DEN132
TOR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
123-128 OT
123
128
-5
118avg 103
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
127-99
127
99
+28
126avg 103
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
98-95
98
95
+3
91avg 103
A06/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
117-108
117
108
+9
112avg 103
A09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
127-120
127
120
+7
130avg 103
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
116-120 OT
116
120
-4
113avg 103
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 103
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
128-116
128
116
+12
123avg 103
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
115-98
115
98
+17
121avg 103
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
103-132
103
132
-29
87avg 103
A29/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-30
21-38
24-22
22-21
37-28
27-10
36-36
27-25
25-32
24-25
23-18
26-20
28-37
27-17
28-24
34-30
30-40
23-27
36-26
38-27
31-23
24-38
32-23
24-27
17-27
31-21
29-30
24-35
43-38
30-27
24-22
31-29
29-23
30-23
23-26
33-26
27-37
29-29
23-32
24-34
228.4Avg total
115.5Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)110.5107.2217.7+3.368%
Season at home (30)111.0104.9215.9+6.277%
Season away (29)110.0109.7219.7+0.359%
Last 10 (10)115.5112.9228.4+2.660%
Last 5 (5)112.6115.8228.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)115.0117.8232.8-2.850%
vs Similar (17)111.1110.6221.6+0.565%
vs Weaker (9)116.3112.6228.9+3.867%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
129-102
129
102
+27
130avg 105
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
119-118
119
118
+1
112avg 105
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
115-106
115
106
+9
108avg 105
A08/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
119-118
119
118
+1
108avg 105
H09/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
137-126
137
126
+11
134avg 105
H11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
91-101
91
101
-10
76avg 105
A13/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
118-101
118
101
+17
119avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
127-81
127
81
+46
132avg 105
H23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
97-108
97
108
-11
80avg 105
H26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
96-99
96
99
-3
75avg 105
H29/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
28-34
35-22
34-17
30-20
18-43
34-23
37-32
36-31
28-32
23-20
28-23
33-36
33-18
34-34
19-30
40-36
34-39
32-19
31-32
19-23
21-29
25-23
26-26
31-23
36-20
26-35
25-23
34-12
29-20
22-23
42-26
27-25
25-25
19-34
26-24
23-25
18-27
25-21
30-26
220.8Avg total
114.8Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)112.7106.0218.7+6.771%
Season at home (32)115.9107.2223.1+8.772%
Season away (27)108.9104.5213.4+4.470%
Last 10 (10)114.8106.0220.8+8.870%
Last 5 (5)105.898.0203.8+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)97.0101.8198.8-4.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)116.0106.7222.7+9.377%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
Denver NuggetsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
64-38
64
38
+26
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A06/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A29/02
NBA
114.7Avg total
57.7Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.556.4111.8-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.151.9108.1+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)54.960.2115.1-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)57.757.0114.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)58.257.2115.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)59.261.5120.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (17)53.655.3108.9-1.635%-
vs Weaker (9)57.256.1113.3+1.156%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
48-63
48
63
-15
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A08/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H09/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A13/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H22/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H29/02
NBA
112.2Avg total
57.5Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.452.5108.9+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.151.4108.6+5.756%-
Last 30 away (14)55.553.7109.2+1.857%-
Last 10 (10)57.554.7112.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)52.645.898.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)49.250.299.5-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)57.552.8110.3+4.658%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.533.3
57.9%
52.3%66.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.9
38.2%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.916.2
77.5%
77.2%16.2
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.926.8
53.7%
52.3%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.114.8
37.9%
35.7%44.4
🏀 Free throws21.116.8
79.6%
77.2%16.8
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLWWWWL
Toronto Raptors
LLWWLWWWWW
#9
League position
#3
+2.6
Net rating
+8.5
115.9
Offensive rating
111.5
113.3
Defensive rating
102.9
57.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.5%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.2%
3-point %
37.9%
61.5%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 111.5Defence113.3 · 102.9Shooting57.7% · 55.1%3-point %38.2% · 37.9%Ball care13.2% · 13.5%Off. rebounds23.3% · 21.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers103-132
26/02/20HDetroit Pistons115-98
23/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves128-116
22/02/20AOklahoma City Thunder101-113
13/02/20HLos Angeles Lakers116-120 OT
11/02/20HSan Antonio Spurs127-120
09/02/20APhoenix Suns117-108
06/02/20AUtah Jazz98-95
05/02/20HPortland Trail Blazers127-99
02/02/20ADetroit Pistons123-128 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20HCharlotte Hornets96-99
26/02/20HMilwaukee Bucks97-108
23/02/20HIndiana Pacers127-81
22/02/20HPhoenix Suns118-101
13/02/20ABrooklyn Nets91-101
11/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves137-126
09/02/20HBrooklyn Nets119-118
08/02/20AIndiana Pacers115-106
06/02/20HIndiana Pacers119-118
02/02/20HChicago Bulls129-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL68%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLWWLL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %68%77%59%
Points / game110.5111.0110.0
Allowed / game107.2104.9109.7
Point differential+3.3+6.2+0.3
Avg total217.7215.9219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)57% (7)60% (10)
Overtime %10%7%14%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL71%
HomeWWWLL72%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593227
Win %71%72%70%
Points / game112.7115.9108.9
Allowed / game106.0107.2104.5
Point differential+6.7+8.7+4.4
Avg total218.7223.1213.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)60% (10)83% (6)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks6052887%119.6106.8+12.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers58451378%114.4107.0+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors59421771%112.7106.0+6.7
4 Boston Celtics59411869%113.4106.6+6.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers60411968%116.2110.0+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets59401968%110.5107.2+3.3
7 Houston Rockets59392066%118.8114.1+4.7
8 Miami Heat60382263%112.8109.5+3.3
9 Utah Jazz59372263%111.3108.2+3.1
10 Oklahoma City Thunder60372362%110.8108.5+2.4
11 Dallas Mavericks61372461%116.6110.4+6.1
12 Philadelphia 76ers61372461%109.1107.0+2.1
13 Indiana Pacers60362460%109.3107.1+2.2
14 Memphis Grizzlies60293148%112.5114.7-2.2
15 Orlando Magic60273345%105.3106.5-1.3
16 Brooklyn Nets59263344%110.6111.2-0.6
17 New Orleans Pelicans59263344%115.8116.8-0.9
18 San Antonio Spurs58253343%112.9114.5-1.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers61263543%113.0115.4-2.4
20 Sacramento Kings59253442%108.3110.5-2.1
21 Phoenix Suns61243739%112.0113.3-1.4
22 Washington Wizards58213736%115.8120.1-4.3
23 Charlotte Hornets60213935%102.0109.5-7.5
24 Chicago Bulls60204033%106.8110.0-3.2
25 Detroit Pistons61204133%107.8110.9-3.0
26 Atlanta Hawks62194331%111.5119.1-7.6
27 New York Knicks60184230%105.1111.8-6.8
28 Minnesota Timberwolves59174229%112.8117.2-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers60174328%106.5114.7-8.2
30 Golden State Warriors60134722%105.8114.8-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets40332733133
Toronto Raptors32372722118
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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