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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-101
27-17 21-31 30-29 35-24
Position#6
Record33-22
FormWWLLW
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game108.0
vs
Position#9
Record38-17
FormWWWWL
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game106.7
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
140-111
140
111
+29
139avg 100
H25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
113-104
113
104
+9
108avg 100
A26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
97-107
97
107
-10
90avg 100
H28/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-100
120
100
+20
120avg 100
A30/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
111-107
111
107
+4
98avg 100
A01/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
109-103
109
103
+6
100avg 100
H06/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
108-101
108
101
+7
104avg 100
H08/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
111-112
111
112
-1
95avg 100
H09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
106-114
106
114
-8
91avg 100
H12/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
123-118
123
118
+5
115avg 100
A14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-30
33-28
38-32
36-21
28-22
24-26
39-24
22-32
22-25
25-34
30-29
20-19
23-16
36-31
37-29
24-24
25-27
28-25
26-29
32-26
29-28
32-25
23-28
25-22
29-24
23-23
26-21
30-33
32-28
29-24
23-32
27-28
14-25
27-24
36-30
29-35
29-30
37-28
32-35
25-25
221.5Avg total
113.8Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)110.6108.0218.7+2.660%
Season at home (29)113.1109.7222.8+3.459%
Season away (26)107.8106.2214.1+1.662%
Last 10 (10)113.8107.7221.5+6.170%
Last 5 (5)111.4109.6221.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)111.6115.2226.8-3.640%
vs Similar ◀ (17)112.8108.6221.4+4.171%
vs Weaker (8)115.1104.6219.8+10.5100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
W
117-110
117
110
+7
109avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
96-104
96
104
-8
86avg 103
A29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
106-100
106
100
+6
100avg 103
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
127-115
127
115
+12
122avg 103
A01/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
123-128 OT
123
128
-5
118avg 103
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
127-99
127
99
+28
126avg 103
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
98-95
98
95
+3
91avg 103
A06/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
117-108
117
108
+9
112avg 103
A09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
127-120
127
120
+7
130avg 103
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
116-120 OT
116
120
-4
113avg 103
H13/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-36
30-23
33-30
27-21
18-31
32-32
16-19
30-22
21-23
22-25
33-22
30-30
35-43
25-24
40-24
27-24
44-30
21-38
24-22
22-21
37-28
27-10
36-36
27-25
25-32
24-25
23-18
26-20
28-37
27-17
28-24
34-30
30-40
23-27
36-26
38-27
31-23
24-38
32-23
24-27
225.3Avg total
115.4Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)110.4106.7217.1+3.869%
Season at home (28)110.3104.7215.0+5.675%
Season away (27)110.6108.7219.3+1.963%
Last 10 (10)115.4109.9225.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)117.0108.4225.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)121.2110.8232.0+10.575%
vs Similar ◀ (18)111.8110.1221.9+1.772%
vs Weaker (8)114.1112.4226.5+1.862%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H28/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A30/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A01/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H06/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H08/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A14/02
NBA
108.1Avg total
55.8Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.855.6110.4-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.257.6111.8-3.441%-
Last 30 away (13)55.652.9108.5+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)55.852.3108.1+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)56.251.8108.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.861.6115.4-7.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.854.6108.4-0.947%-
vs Weaker (8)57.853.8111.5+4.088%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A01/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
64-38
64
38
+26
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A06/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H13/02
NBA
113.3Avg total
55.1Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.856.0110.8-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.351.9106.2+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)55.359.5114.8-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)55.158.2113.3-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)55.255.4110.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.058.2117.2+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)53.655.6109.2-2.039%-
vs Weaker (8)55.555.6111.1-0.150%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.930.2
52.2%
52.3%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.8
38.8%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws25.221.0
83.3%
77.2%21.0
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.029.8
53.2%
52.3%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.013.3
40.3%
35.7%39.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.9
79.9%
77.2%15.9
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLWWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWLWWLW
#6
League position
#9
+6.1
Net rating
+5.5
114.1
Offensive rating
114.5
108.0
Defensive rating
109.0
54.1%
Effective FG%
55.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
11.1%
Turnover %
12.1%
18.6%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.8%
3-point %
40.3%
56.6%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 114.5Defence108.0 · 109.0Shooting54.1% · 55.9%3-point %38.8% · 40.3%Ball care11.1% · 12.1%Off. rebounds18.6% · 23.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/20ANew Orleans Pelicans123-118
12/02/20HSan Antonio Spurs106-114
09/02/20HBoston Celtics111-112
08/02/20HDetroit Pistons108-101
06/02/20HCleveland Cavaliers109-103
01/02/20APhoenix Suns111-107
30/01/20ASacramento Kings120-100
28/01/20HDallas Mavericks97-107
26/01/20AMinnesota Timberwolves113-104
25/01/20HAtlanta Hawks140-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/20HLos Angeles Lakers116-120 OT
11/02/20HSan Antonio Spurs127-120
09/02/20APhoenix Suns117-108
06/02/20AUtah Jazz98-95
05/02/20HPortland Trail Blazers127-99
02/02/20ADetroit Pistons123-128 OT
01/02/20AMilwaukee Bucks127-115
31/01/20HUtah Jazz106-100
29/01/20AMemphis Grizzlies96-104
26/01/20HHouston Rockets117-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeLWWLL59%
AwayWWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552926
Win %60%59%62%
Points / game110.6113.1107.8
Allowed / game108.0109.7106.2
Point differential+2.6+3.4+1.6
Avg total218.7222.8214.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%24%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)50% (8)58% (12)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %69%75%63%
Points / game110.4110.3110.6
Allowed / game106.7104.7108.7
Point differential+3.8+5.6+1.9
Avg total217.1215.0219.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)57% (7)60% (10)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks5547885%119.7107.5+12.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers53411277%114.7107.3+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors56411573%113.0106.5+6.5
4 Boston Celtics54381670%113.1106.2+6.9
5 Denver Nuggets55381769%110.4106.7+3.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers55371867%115.9110.3+5.6
7 Utah Jazz54361867%111.3107.2+4.1
8 Houston Rockets55352064%118.5114.3+4.2
9 Miami Heat55352064%111.9108.7+3.2
10 Philadelphia 76ers56352162%108.7106.2+2.5
11 Dallas Mavericks56342261%116.5110.4+6.2
12 Oklahoma City Thunder55332260%110.6108.0+2.6
13 Indiana Pacers56332359%109.7107.4+2.2
14 Memphis Grizzlies55282751%113.2114.7-1.5
15 Brooklyn Nets54252946%110.4111.0-0.6
16 Portland Trail Blazers56253145%113.4115.3-1.9
17 Orlando Magic56243243%104.0105.7-1.8
18 San Antonio Spurs54233143%113.2114.5-1.3
19 New Orleans Pelicans55233242%115.8117.3-1.5
20 Sacramento Kings55223340%108.3111.1-2.8
21 Phoenix Suns56223439%112.2113.7-1.5
22 Washington Wizards54203437%115.5119.7-4.2
23 Charlotte Hornets55193635%102.9109.9-7.0
24 Chicago Bulls56193734%106.1109.4-3.2
25 Detroit Pistons58193933%107.9110.8-2.9
26 New York Knicks56173930%104.6111.6-7.0
27 Minnesota Timberwolves53163730%112.4115.9-3.5
28 Atlanta Hawks57164128%110.5119.0-8.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers55154027%106.3114.9-8.6
30 Golden State Warriors56124421%106.3115.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder27213035113
Denver Nuggets17312924101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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