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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 128-116
43-38 30-27 24-22 31-29
Position#9
Record38-18
FormWWWLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Position#28
Record16-38
FormLWLLL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game116.1
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
96-104
96
104
-8
86avg 103
A29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
106-100
106
100
+6
100avg 103
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
127-115
127
115
+12
122avg 103
A01/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
123-128 OT
123
128
-5
118avg 103
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
127-99
127
99
+28
126avg 103
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
98-95
98
95
+3
91avg 103
A06/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
117-108
117
108
+9
112avg 103
A09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
127-120
127
120
+7
130avg 103
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
116-120 OT
116
120
-4
113avg 103
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 103
A22/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
32-32
16-19
30-22
21-23
22-25
33-22
30-30
35-43
25-24
40-24
27-24
44-30
21-38
24-22
22-21
37-28
27-10
36-36
27-25
25-32
24-25
23-18
26-20
28-37
27-17
28-24
34-30
30-40
23-27
36-26
38-27
31-23
24-38
32-23
24-27
17-27
31-21
29-30
24-35
224.0Avg total
113.8Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)110.3106.8217.1+3.568%
Season at home (28)110.3104.7215.0+5.675%
Season away (28)110.2108.9219.1+1.461%
Last 10 (10)113.8110.2224.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)111.8111.2223.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)121.2110.8232.0+10.575%
vs Similar (18)111.2110.6221.8+0.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)114.1112.4226.5+1.862%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
L
124-131
124
131
-7
119avg 102
H25/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
104-113
104
113
-9
98avg 102
H26/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
129-133 OT
129
133
-4
122avg 102
H28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
106-118
106
118
-12
97avg 102
A01/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
109-113
109
113
-4
102avg 102
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
120-127
120
127
-7
101avg 102
H06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
142-115
142
115
+27
144avg 102
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
126-137
126
137
-11
115avg 102
A11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
108-115
108
115
-7
93avg 102
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
117-127
117
127
-10
105avg 102
H22/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
34-27
24-31
40-37
22-28
26-24
24-39
32-22
37-24
31-26
29-28
22-41
32-40
23-22
31-36
20-20
20-29
30-36
34-28
25-20
24-36
32-28
21-32
43-31
40-31
41-28
31-29
30-27
36-40
39-34
19-32
32-31
36-28
30-22
21-31
21-34
20-24
33-37
35-34
29-32
241.4Avg total
118.5Scored
122.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)112.5116.1228.6-3.730%
Season at home (28)111.1115.0226.1-3.925%
Season away (26)114.0117.4231.3-3.435%
Last 10 (10)118.5122.9241.4-4.410%
Last 5 (5)122.6124.2246.8-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)111.9119.0230.9-7.17%
vs Similar (13)110.9112.5223.4-1.531%
vs Weaker (2)101.598.5200.0+3.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A01/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
64-38
64
38
+26
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A06/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A22/02
NBA
111.3Avg total
54.2Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.955.6110.5-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.051.3106.3+3.754%-
Last 30 away (17)54.958.8113.7-3.935%-
Last 10 (10)54.257.1111.3-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)52.057.4109.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.058.2117.2+0.850%-
vs Similar (18)53.854.9108.7-1.239%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)55.555.6111.1-0.150%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H25/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H26/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A01/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H22/02
NBA
121.2Avg total
61.2Scored
60.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.256.9113.1-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.955.5113.4+2.441%-
Last 30 away (13)54.158.6112.7-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)61.260.0121.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)66.261.6127.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)57.960.2118.1-2.327%-
vs Similar (13)55.254.2109.4+0.946%-
vs Weaker (2)50.549.099.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.529.6
54.3%
52.3%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.8
38.9%
35.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws20.216.2
80.2%
77.2%16.2
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.026.5
53.0%
52.3%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.714.8
36.4%
35.7%44.4
🏀 Free throws27.221.1
77.6%
77.2%21.1
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWLLLLLL
#9
League position
#28
+3.6
Net rating
-4.1
113.5
Offensive rating
111.0
109.9
Defensive rating
115.1
55.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.9%
3-point %
36.4%
63.2%
Assist %
64.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 111.0Defence109.9 · 115.1Shooting55.8% · 53.7%3-point %38.9% · 36.4%Ball care12.7% · 14.1%Off. rebounds22.5% · 21.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/20AOklahoma City Thunder101-113
13/02/20HLos Angeles Lakers116-120 OT
11/02/20HSan Antonio Spurs127-120
09/02/20APhoenix Suns117-108
06/02/20AUtah Jazz98-95
05/02/20HPortland Trail Blazers127-99
02/02/20ADetroit Pistons123-128 OT
01/02/20AMilwaukee Bucks127-115
31/01/20HUtah Jazz106-100
29/01/20AMemphis Grizzlies96-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/20HBoston Celtics117-127
13/02/20HCharlotte Hornets108-115
11/02/20AToronto Raptors126-137
09/02/20HLos Angeles Clippers142-115
06/02/20HAtlanta Hawks120-127
04/02/20ASacramento Kings109-113
01/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers106-118
28/01/20HSacramento Kings129-133 OT
26/01/20HOklahoma City Thunder104-113
25/01/20HHouston Rockets124-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLWWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %68%75%61%
Points / game110.3110.3110.2
Allowed / game106.8104.7108.9
Point differential+3.5+5.6+1.4
Avg total217.1215.0219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)57% (7)60% (10)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %30%25%35%
Points / game112.5111.1114.0
Allowed / game116.1115.0117.4
Point differential-3.7-3.9-3.4
Avg total228.6226.1231.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%14%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)0% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %13%14%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks5648886%119.7107.3+12.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers55431278%114.8107.4+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors56411573%113.0106.5+6.5
4 Boston Celtics56391770%113.3106.6+6.8
5 Denver Nuggets56381868%110.3106.8+3.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers56371966%115.7110.3+5.4
7 Houston Rockets56362064%118.5114.2+4.3
8 Utah Jazz56362064%111.1107.5+3.6
9 Miami Heat56362064%112.1108.7+3.5
10 Philadelphia 76ers57352261%108.5106.4+2.1
11 Oklahoma City Thunder56342261%110.7107.9+2.8
12 Dallas Mavericks57342360%116.4110.4+6.0
13 Indiana Pacers56332359%109.7107.4+2.2
14 Memphis Grizzlies56282850%113.1114.8-1.7
15 Brooklyn Nets55262947%110.5110.6-0.1
16 Portland Trail Blazers57253244%113.4115.5-2.1
17 San Antonio Spurs55243144%113.2114.3-1.1
18 New Orleans Pelicans56243243%116.0117.3-1.3
19 Orlando Magic56243243%104.0105.7-1.8
20 Sacramento Kings56233341%108.4110.9-2.6
21 Phoenix Suns57233440%112.2113.5-1.3
22 Washington Wizards54203437%115.5119.7-4.2
23 Charlotte Hornets56193734%102.6110.0-7.4
24 Chicago Bulls57193833%106.1109.4-3.3
25 Detroit Pistons58193933%107.9110.8-2.9
26 New York Knicks56173930%104.6111.6-7.0
27 Minnesota Timberwolves54163830%112.5116.1-3.7
28 Atlanta Hawks58174129%110.5118.8-8.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers56154127%106.2115.0-8.8
30 Golden State Warriors56124421%106.3115.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets43302431128
Minnesota Timberwolves38272229116
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