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Rostock vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 70-85
24-18 5-18 25-27 16-22
Position#15
Record9-23
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game93.1
vs
Position#17
Record7-25
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game92.9
GermanyBBLRound 33· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Crailsheim Merlins
08 May 2024
ROS70
CME85
12 Mar 2023
ROS86
CME79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 76
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
no box
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
64-99
64
99
-35
51avg 76
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 76
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
71-96
71
96
-25
19avg 76
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
95avg 76
A20/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
65avg 76
A24/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
89-112
89
112
-23
64avg 76
A27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
58avg 76
H30/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 76
A05/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
26-17
18-12
24-37
34-20
14-19
22-27
12-16
21-20
15-25
19-24
9-30
27-13
28-22
21-15
16-25
21-15
15-28
24-24
11-29
21-26
22-17
21-21
31-22
20-21
20-21
11-24
23-25
24-27
20-31
23-26
22-28
20-14
22-18
20-21
29-32
22-15
20-25
14-20
14-16
172.9Avg total
82.3Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.793.1180.8-5.428%
Season at home (16)89.194.2183.4-5.138%
Season away (16)86.291.9178.1-5.619%
Last 10 (10)82.390.6172.9-8.330%
Last 5 (5)83.890.0173.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)84.693.2177.8-8.621%
vs Similar (6)90.792.2182.8-1.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.681.8171.4+7.880%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
76avg 69
H09/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
89avg 69
A16/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
74avg 69
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 69
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 69
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 69
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
98avg 69
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
66-86
66
86
-20
67avg 69
H27/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
88-94
88
94
-6
78avg 69
A30/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
82-109
82
109
-27
72avg 69
H04/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
25-22
19-26
24-29
21-26
20-34
26-24
26-14
26-19
19-21
8-10
27-26
24-24
20-31
20-22
22-13
21-26
25-24
25-17
31-26
17-27
23-21
25-20
23-30
25-20
24-19
23-20
26-30
12-18
20-28
13-21
21-19
24-16
12-30
31-21
21-27
16-30
24-24
22-31
20-24
179.5Avg total
86.5Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.192.9174.0-11.922%
Season at home (16)82.490.4172.9-8.038%
Season away (16)79.795.4175.1-15.86%
Last 10 (10)86.593.0179.5-6.530%
Last 5 (5)84.495.2179.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)79.194.0173.2-14.912%
vs Similar (6)89.287.7176.8+1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
RostockCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A20/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H30/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A05/05
BBL
84.6Avg total
43.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.144.888.9-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.644.689.2+0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)43.645.088.6-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.684.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.085.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)42.445.988.4-3.526%-
vs Similar (6)46.847.294.0-0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.437.484.8+10.0100%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A16/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H27/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H04/05
BBL
89.2Avg total
41.2Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.546.786.2-7.220%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.344.684.9-4.327%-
Last 30 away (15)38.748.887.5-10.113%-
Last 10 (10)41.248.089.2-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.686.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.346.685.9-7.317%-
vs Similar (6)40.347.287.5-6.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.0
52.9%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.8
32.1%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.315.1
82.5%
76.0%15.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.2
54.9%
54.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.0
39.3%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.5
78.1%
76.0%12.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWLLWLWLLL
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLWLWLWLL
#15
League position
#17
-10.7
Net rating
-7.6
102.4
Offensive rating
107.6
113.0
Defensive rating
115.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
56.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
21.2%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.1%
3-point %
39.3%
63.3%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 107.6Defence113.0 · 115.2Shooting50.9% · 56.6%3-point %32.1% · 39.3%Ball care19.1% · 21.2%Off. rebounds23.9% · 25.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Rostock   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rostock wins
1
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24ABasketball Braunschweig70-76
30/04/24HLudwigsburg91-85
27/04/24ABonn89-112
24/04/24AAlba Berlin74-91
20/04/24AWurzburg95-86
14/04/24HUlm71-96
05/04/24ATubingen92-75
31/03/24HOldenburg64-99
22/03/24HBamberg91-98 OT
16/03/24AHeidelberg86-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HBamberg82-109
30/04/24AHamburg88-94
27/04/24HUlm66-86
20/04/24HBonn98-89
13/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig88-98
06/04/24HVechta102-93
30/03/24AHeidelberg86-90
23/03/24HGottingen80-76
16/03/24ASyntainics MBC93-98
09/03/24HChemnitz82-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL28%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayWWLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %28%38%19%
Points / game87.789.186.2
Allowed / game93.194.291.9
Point differential-5.4-5.1-5.6
Avg total180.8183.4178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %16%19%12%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWWWLL38%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %22%38%6%
Points / game81.182.479.7
Allowed / game92.990.495.4
Point differential-11.9-8.0-15.8
Avg total174.0172.9175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3126584%88.776.5+12.2
2 Alba Berlin3124777%90.282.0+8.2
3 Chemnitz3224875%89.379.6+9.8
4 Wurzburg3223972%87.280.0+7.2
5 Ulm32221069%90.984.0+6.8
6 Vechta32201262%88.782.4+6.3
7 Bonn32191359%90.286.2+4.0
8 Ludwigsburg32181456%88.682.7+5.9
9 Oldenburg32171553%85.483.6+1.8
10 Hamburg32151747%85.687.1-1.6
11 Basketball Braunschweig32151747%82.484.7-2.3
12 Bamberg32141844%88.590.1-1.6
13 Gottingen32102231%85.893.0-7.2
14 Syntainics MBC32102231%85.893.3-7.4
15 Rostock3292328%87.793.1-5.4
16 Heidelberg3282425%82.593.7-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins3272522%81.192.9-11.9
18 Tubingen3262619%82.595.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock245251670
Crailsheim Merlins1818272285
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