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Bayern vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-71
14-21 23-15 20-19 19-16
Position#5
Record17-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.7
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#16
Record9-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2020
Meetings · Bayern v Panathinaikos
18 Dec 2026
BAY v PAO
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
BAY85
PAO78
27 Dec 2024
BAY69
PAO80
05 Apr 2024
BAY75
PAO82
05 Jan 2023
BAY84
PAO68
18 Nov 2021
BAY81
PAO78
04 Mar 2021
BAY76
PAO71
16 Oct 2018
BAY80
PAO79
23 Oct 2014
BAY81
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
74-70
74
70
+4
63avg 77
A03/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#15
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
no box
H05/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
93-92
93
92
+1
86avg 77
A07/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
77avg 77
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
84-58
84
58
+26
80avg 77
H12/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
83-85
83
85
-2
75avg 77
A14/02
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 77
A19/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
72-70
72
70
+2
69avg 77
H25/02
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
97-76
97
76
+21
86avg 77
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 77
A02/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
16-16
22-20
25-17
10-26
23-17
25-23
29-21
17-23
28-23
22-26
26-20
21-23
19-15
18-16
23-23
21-20
24-4
22-21
17-13
21-28
24-18
26-13
12-26
18-21
17-23
17-22
27-21
18-21
19-17
14-20
21-12
27-25
18-15
27-15
25-21
15-10
16-25
19-22
28-19
162.8Avg total
84.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.177.7156.8+1.463%
Season at home (13)80.975.7156.6+5.277%
Season away (14)77.479.5156.9-2.150%
Last 10 (10)84.278.6162.8+5.680%
Last 5 (5)81.878.8160.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.076.0153.0+1.067%
vs Similar (14)80.680.3160.9+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.077.8164.8+9.285%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Aris
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 78
A17/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#18
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 78
H21/01
Euroleague
Larisa
#11
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 78
A24/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#7
L
66-76
66
76
-10
54avg 78
A27/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
92avg 78
H29/01
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
77avg 78
H31/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#12
W
88-77
88
77
+11
87avg 78
A05/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
65-74
65
74
-9
62avg 78
A26/02
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
94-72
94
72
+22
94avg 78
H28/02
Basket League
Barcelona
#2
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-16
25-25
21-14
23-20
23-13
24-18
24-27
23-25
33-24
18-17
24-23
12-25
15-24
23-15
16-12
22-20
26-14
20-18
23-20
16-14
20-29
22-12
20-25
21-18
17-17
23-19
27-23
17-11
17-17
19-22
12-24
19-19
24-15
27-14
24-24
17-26
22-21
11-12
27-26
162.2Avg total
84.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.982.3162.2-2.436%
Season at home (13)82.879.5162.3+3.446%
Season away (12)76.785.4162.1-8.825%
Last 10 (10)84.477.8162.2+6.660%
Last 5 (5)80.477.6158.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.284.4164.7-4.233%
vs Similar (9)77.981.3159.2-3.433%
vs Weaker (12)86.973.2160.1+13.883%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
BayernPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A03/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#15
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H05/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H12/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A14/02
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H25/02
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A02/03
Euroleague
77.0Avg total
38.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.579.8+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.477.8+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.442.281.6-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.777.0-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.679.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.741.080.7-1.333%-
vs Similar (14)40.040.680.6-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.837.978.8+2.946%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A17/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#18
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H21/01
Euroleague
Larisa
#11
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#7
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A27/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/01
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H31/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A26/02
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H28/02
Basket League
Barcelona
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H02/03
Euroleague
80.2Avg total
41.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.978.1+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.078.8+2.867%-
Last 30 away (15)37.539.977.3-2.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.880.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.475.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.942.078.9-5.122%-
vs Similar (9)35.640.175.7-4.644%-
vs Weaker (12)43.535.879.2+7.892%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.9
54.2%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.76.5
34.8%
38.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.716.9
81.6%
79.3%16.9
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.6
54.1%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.7
37.3%
38.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.315.1
78.2%
79.3%15.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWLLWWWWW
Panathinaikos
LWLWLWLWWW
#5
League position
#16
+6.3
Net rating
+9.0
107.4
Offensive rating
117.6
101.1
Defensive rating
108.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.9%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
20.3%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
43.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.8%
3-point %
37.3%
41.9%
Assist %
62.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 117.6Defence101.1 · 108.6Shooting53.6% · 54.9%3-point %34.8% · 37.3%Ball care16.6% · 20.3%Off. rebounds26.6% · 43.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayern wins
3
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
27/11/20Panathinaikos v Bayern83-76
09/01/19Panathinaikos v Bayern77-67
16/10/18Bayern v Panathinaikos80-79
28/11/14Panathinaikos v Bayern87-72
23/10/14Bayern v Panathinaikos81-75
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/21ACrvena zvezda78-76
28/02/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg97-76
25/02/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv72-70
19/02/21ALyon-Villeurbanne79-87
14/02/21AChemnitz83-85
12/02/21HFrankfurt84-58
09/02/21AUlm81-77
07/02/21ABamberg93-92
05/02/21HAlba Berlin101-95 OT
03/02/21As.Oliver Wurzburg74-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/21HBarcelona77-85
28/02/21HAris94-72
26/02/21AAlba Berlin65-74
05/02/21AOlympiacos88-77
31/01/21HPromitheas78-80
29/01/21HValencia91-72
27/01/21AReal Madrid66-76
24/01/21ALarisa98-89
21/01/21HKhimki M.94-78
17/01/21AAris93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW63%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %63%77%50%
Points / game79.180.977.4
Allowed / game77.775.779.5
Point differential+1.4+5.2-2.1
Avg total156.8156.6156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)60% (5)67% (9)
Overtime %11%23%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL36%
HomeLWWWL46%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%46%25%
Points / game79.982.876.7
Allowed / game82.379.585.4
Point differential-2.4+3.4-8.8
Avg total162.2162.3162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2719870%81.173.8+7.3
2 CSKA Moscow2718967%83.180.1+3.0
3 Anadolu Efes27171063%82.276.2+6.0
4 Olimpia Milano27171063%82.078.5+3.6
5 Bayern27171063%79.177.7+1.4
6 Real Madrid28171161%79.876.8+3.1
7 Zenit Petersburg27161159%77.275.3+1.9
8 Fenerbahce27161159%79.680.0-0.4
9 Zalgiris Kaunas27151256%77.977.0+0.9
10 Baskonia27141352%80.476.8+3.7
11 Valencia28141450%82.282.5-0.3
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne27121544%77.079.7-2.7
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv26111542%79.178.8+0.2
14 Olympiacos27111641%78.381.1-2.8
15 Panathinaikos2591636%79.982.3-2.4
16 Alba Berlin2791833%77.082.7-5.7
17 Crvena zvezda2772026%73.578.8-5.3
18 Khimki M.2632312%78.490.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1423201976
Panathinaikos2115191671
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