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Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 115-122
30-28 31-22 24-32 30-40
Position#21
Record6-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game120.6
Allowed / game118.1
vs
Position#8
Record5-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game122.9
Allowed / game112.9
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets
28 Oct 2026
MIL100
HOU132
09 Nov 2025
MIL115
HOU122
18 Nov 2024
MIL101
HOU100
17 Dec 2023
MIL128
HOU119
22 Oct 2022
MIL125
HOU105
22 Dec 2021
MIL126
HOU106
07 May 2021
MIL141
HOU133
26 Mar 2019
MIL108
HOU94
07 Mar 2018
MIL99
HOU110
23 Jan 2017
MIL127
HOU114
29 Feb 2016
MIL128
HOU121
29 Nov 2014
MIL103
HOU117
08 Feb 2014
MIL95
HOU101
04 Jan 2013
MIL101
HOU115
10 Dec 2010
MIL97
HOU91
17 Feb 2010
MIL99
HOU127
09 Feb 2009
MIL124
HOU112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
118-119 OT
118
119
-1
112avg 109
A29/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
133-120
133
120
+13
128avg 109
H23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
122-116
122
116
+6
116avg 109
A24/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-118
113
118
-5
106avg 109
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
121-111
121
111
+10
120avg 109
H29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
120-110
120
110
+10
104avg 109
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
133-135
133
135
-2
130avg 109
H01/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
117-115
117
115
+2
107avg 109
A04/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
100-128
100
128
-28
91avg 109
A05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
126-110
126
110
+16
117avg 109
H08/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
17-28
28-34
28-28
40-23
32-30
29-37
32-30
27-19
25-35
34-32
36-30
31-29
25-36
28-21
29-32
27-26
32-45
35-20
27-20
34-25
26-33
27-26
33-26
47-36
24-34
31-38
31-27
31-22
25-31
28-24
33-38
29-39
25-34
26-32
20-23
23-25
30-27
32-28
41-30
238.5Avg total
120.3Scored
118.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)120.6118.1238.7+2.467%
Season at home (5)126.6117.2243.8+9.480%
Season away (4)113.0119.2232.2-6.250%
Last 10 (10)120.3118.2238.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)119.2119.6238.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)113.5117.3230.8-3.850%
vs Similar (18)116.4117.1233.6-0.750%
vs Weaker (6)124.2113.7237.8+10.583%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
115-107
115
107
+8
108avg 106
A03/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
89-103
89
103
-14
77avg 106
H05/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
124-125 OT
124
125
-1
114avg 106
A21/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
111-115
111
115
-4
94avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
137-109
137
109
+28
138avg 106
H28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
139-121
139
121
+18
143avg 106
A29/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
128-101
128
101
+27
134avg 106
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
110-102
110
102
+8
103avg 106
H04/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
124-109
124
109
+15
119avg 106
A06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
110-121
110
121
-11
103avg 106
A08/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
28-27
33-36
29-23
19-23
20-28
23-19
27-33
30-27
27-24
22-24
25-29
33-32
23-31
30-24
25-28
42-25
29-35
32-17
34-32
39-30
31-33
36-28
33-30
37-24
29-24
31-24
31-29
24-28
34-27
23-23
29-24
34-22
26-29
34-29
30-29
25-23
25-28
32-35
28-35
230.0Avg total
118.7Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)122.9112.9235.8+10.062%
Season at home (3)119.3108.7228.0+10.767%
Season away (5)125.0115.4240.4+9.660%
Last 10 (10)118.7111.3230.0+7.460%
Last 5 (5)122.2110.8233.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)124.5118.0242.5+6.550%
vs Similar (17)109.9111.9221.8-2.035%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)125.7110.5236.2+15.3100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
Milwaukee BucksHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A24/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H01/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A04/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H08/11
NBA
117.0Avg total
58.0Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.759.4116.1-2.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.460.1118.4-1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)55.258.8114.1-3.644%-
Last 10 (10)58.059.0117.0-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)58.861.2120.0-2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)53.762.3116.0-8.717%-
vs Similar (18)56.059.9115.9-3.939%-
vs Weaker (6)61.855.0116.8+6.8100%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A03/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H05/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A21/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H25/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A29/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
66-48
66
48
+18
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H04/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A08/11
NBA
112.1Avg total
58.0Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.955.0112.9+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.955.9114.8+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)57.154.1111.2+2.969%-
Last 10 (10)58.054.1112.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)60.853.6114.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.052.0115.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (17)54.854.8109.6+0.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)61.755.8117.5+5.973%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.828.4
57.0%
54.8%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.315.9
40.5%
35.8%47.7
🏀 Free throws22.715.8
69.6%
78.1%15.8
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.029.2
50.3%
54.8%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.612.1
42.3%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws31.024.0
77.4%
78.1%24.0
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWLWWLWWL
Houston Rockets
LWWWWWLLLW
#21
League position
#8
+2.0
Net rating
+7.3
115.7
Offensive rating
117.2
113.7
Defensive rating
109.9
58.6%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
40.5%
3-point %
42.3%
59.8%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 117.2Defence113.7 · 109.9Shooting58.6% · 54.7%3-point %40.5% · 42.3%Ball care13.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds21.6% · 34.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HChicago Bulls126-110
05/11/25AToronto Raptors100-128
04/11/25AIndiana Pacers117-115
01/11/25HSacramento Kings133-135
31/10/25HGolden State Warriors120-110
29/10/25HNew York Knicks121-111
26/10/25ACleveland Cavaliers113-118
24/10/25AToronto Raptors122-116
23/10/25HWashington Wizards133-120
29/04/25AIndiana Pacers118-119 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ASan Antonio Spurs110-121
06/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies124-109
04/11/25HDallas Mavericks110-102
02/11/25ABoston Celtics128-101
29/10/25AToronto Raptors139-121
28/10/25HBrooklyn Nets137-109
25/10/25HDetroit Pistons111-115
21/10/25AOklahoma City Thunder124-125 OT
05/05/25HGolden State Warriors89-103
03/05/25AGolden State Warriors115-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game120.6126.6113.0
Allowed / game118.1117.2119.2
Point differential+2.4+9.4-6.2
Avg total238.7243.8232.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game122.9119.3125.0
Allowed / game112.9108.7115.4
Point differential+10.0+10.7+9.6
Avg total235.8228.0240.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder109190%123.2109.7+13.5
2 Denver Nuggets97278%124.2111.0+13.2
3 San Antonio Spurs97278%119.1110.7+8.4
4 Detroit Pistons97278%116.7110.8+5.9
5 Cleveland Cavaliers107370%120.7115.5+5.2
6 Los Angeles Lakers107370%117.8117.1+0.7
7 Philadelphia 76ers96367%124.0119.3+4.7
8 Milwaukee Bucks96367%120.6118.1+2.4
9 Chicago Bulls96367%119.4118.1+1.3
10 Houston Rockets85362%122.9112.9+10.0
11 New York Knicks85362%118.9113.6+5.2
12 Miami Heat106460%124.1118.0+6.1
13 Minnesota Timberwolves95456%118.8115.9+2.9
14 Portland Trail Blazers95456%121.6119.8+1.8
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.3117.1+2.2
16 Atlanta Hawks105550%115.2115.0+0.2
17 Phoenix Suns105550%116.4116.7-0.3
18 Golden State Warriors105550%116.1116.7-0.6
19 Orlando Magic94544%117.0116.8+0.2
20 Boston Celtics104640%113.0110.7+2.3
21 Memphis Grizzlies104640%115.1119.1-4.0
22 Charlotte Hornets93633%119.0121.0-2.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers93633%109.7115.0-5.3
24 Sacramento Kings93633%115.1121.7-6.6
25 Utah Jazz93633%112.1120.1-8.0
26 Dallas Mavericks103730%106.5113.3-6.8
27 New Orleans Pelicans92722%109.1121.3-12.2
28 Indiana Pacers91811%110.3119.2-8.9
29 Brooklyn Nets91811%111.3124.6-13.2
30 Washington Wizards101910%111.5128.4-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks30312430115
Houston Rockets28223240122
← all games of the day
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