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Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 106-104
29-27 29-28 17-29 31-20
Position#27
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#15
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks
14 Dec 2026
DAL v MIL
upcoming
10 Nov 2025
DAL114
MIL116
01 Mar 2025
DAL117
MIL132
03 Feb 2024
DAL117
MIL129
09 Dec 2022
DAL105
MIL106
23 Dec 2021
DAL95
MIL102
08 Apr 2021
DAL116
MIL101
08 Aug 2020
DAL136
MIL132
08 Feb 2019
DAL107
MIL122
18 Nov 2017
DAL111
MIL79
02 Oct 2017
DAL106
MIL104
06 Nov 2016
DAL86
MIL75
28 Dec 2015
DAL103
MIL93
07 Dec 2014
DAL125
MIL102
14 Dec 2013
DAL106
MIL93
26 Feb 2013
DAL90
MIL95
13 Jan 2012
DAL102
MIL76
13 Dec 2010
DAL99
MIL103
26 Jan 2010
DAL108
MIL107
25 Feb 2009
DAL116
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
91-92
91
92
-1
82avg 87
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
118-121
118
121
-3
108avg 87
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
90-99
90
99
-9
76avg 87
A01/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
109-105
109
105
+4
105avg 87
A02/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
87-98
87
98
-11
77avg 87
A05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
101-112
101
112
-11
93avg 87
A06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
82avg 87
H08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
111-124
111
124
-13
95avg 87
A09/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
91-109
91
109
-18
80avg 87
H12/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
100-93
100
93
+7
92avg 87
A13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
24-10
19-22
22-35
23-27
28-36
32-26
35-32
19-21
15-34
28-18
28-26
31-28
22-25
22-25
34-27
17-22
21-14
31-32
18-30
24-35
25-27
24-28
28-22
26-21
35-29
8-25
20-27
29-40
36-28
20-36
26-20
26-23
18-34
31-26
16-26
22-27
24-28
24-19
30-19
204.2Avg total
98.7Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)98.7105.5204.2-6.820%
Last 5 (5)98.4108.0206.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)95.6104.2199.8-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (21)99.5100.2199.7-0.748%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 95
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
90-82
90
82
+8
80avg 95
A08/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
89-79
89
79
+10
90avg 95
H11/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
94-112
94
112
-18
88avg 95
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
88avg 95
A15/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
100-106
100
106
-6
87avg 95
A18/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
104-77
104
77
+27
104avg 95
H21/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 95
H22/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
93-118
93
118
-25
82avg 95
A24/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
89-92
89
92
-3
76avg 95
H27/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
29-31
23-29
16-19
23-21
19-27
25-12
23-22
18-24
25-22
18-20
28-13
36-25
20-32
22-23
16-32
30-22
16-29
29-19
22-13
25-28
27-27
31-29
17-22
32-12
25-18
21-16
26-31
19-19
22-22
17-23
18-23
20-31
28-26
25-33
20-28
24-28
14-23
23-23
28-18
186.1Avg total
92.1Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.194.0186.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)92.496.0188.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.3104.7205.0-4.367%
vs Similar ◀ (24)97.798.9196.6-1.254%
vs Weaker (3)103.094.3197.3+8.7100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
Dallas MavericksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A01/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A02/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A09/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H12/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A13/04
NBA
102.5Avg total
49.1Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.552.6102.1-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.650.7102.3+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)47.154.8101.9-7.714%-
Last 10 (10)49.153.4102.5-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)53.058.4111.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)49.256.0105.2-6.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)49.651.1100.8-1.543%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A08/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H11/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A15/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A18/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H21/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A24/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H27/04
NBA
96.5Avg total
47.3Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.050.1101.2+0.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.448.197.6+1.336%-
Last 30 away (16)52.451.9104.3+0.638%-
Last 10 (10)47.349.296.5-1.910%-
Last 5 (5)47.246.894.0+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.052.0104.0+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)50.550.5101.0+0.033%-
vs Weaker (3)54.345.7100.0+8.767%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 98.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.924.3
49.7%
51.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.511.8
34.2%
36.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.214.7
80.8%
76.5%14.7
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.025.6
46.5%
51.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.3
40.3%
36.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.0
71.8%
76.5%13.0
They take 78.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLLLLLWLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLWLWLWWL
#27
League position
#15
-7.2
Net rating
-2.0
104.2
Offensive rating
99.2
111.3
Defensive rating
101.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
12.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
18.7%
Off. rebound %
18.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.2%
3-point %
40.3%
62.9%
Assist %
63.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 99.2Defence111.3 · 101.3Shooting50.4% · 50.6%3-point %34.2% · 40.3%Ball care12.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds18.7% · 18.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies100-93
12/04/17HDenver Nuggets91-109
09/04/17APhoenix Suns111-124
08/04/17HSan Antonio Spurs89-102
06/04/17ALos Angeles Clippers101-112
05/04/17ASacramento Kings87-98
02/04/17AMilwaukee Bucks109-105
01/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies90-99
30/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans118-121
28/03/17HOklahoma City Thunder91-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/17HToronto Raptors89-92
24/04/17AToronto Raptors93-118
22/04/17HToronto Raptors76-87
21/04/17HToronto Raptors104-77
18/04/17AToronto Raptors100-106
15/04/17AToronto Raptors97-83
13/04/17ABoston Celtics94-112
11/04/17HCharlotte Hornets89-79
08/04/17APhiladelphia 76ers90-82
06/04/17AIndiana Pacers89-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks29291731106
Milwaukee Bucks27282920104
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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