PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 96-95
28-18 27-21 24-36 17-20
Position#24
Record16-27
FormLWWLL
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game104.1
vs
Position#19
Record21-22
FormWLLWW
Points / game99.9
Allowed / game101.1
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks
29 Mar 2027
MIL v DAL
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
MIL123
DAL99
05 Mar 2025
MIL137
DAL107
18 Nov 2023
MIL132
DAL125
27 Nov 2022
MIL124
DAL115
14 Jul 2022
MIL100
DAL89
03 Apr 2022
MIL112
DAL118
15 Oct 2021
MIL103
DAL114
15 Jan 2021
MIL112
DAL109
14 Dec 2020
MIL112
DAL128
12 Dec 2020
MIL102
DAL112
16 Dec 2019
MIL116
DAL120
21 Jan 2019
MIL116
DAL106
08 Jul 2018
MIL78
DAL81
08 Dec 2017
MIL109
DAL102
02 Apr 2017
MIL105
DAL109
08 Oct 2016
MIL88
DAL74
08 Jan 2016
MIL96
DAL95
03 Dec 2014
MIL105
DAL107
09 Nov 2013
MIL83
DAL91
12 Mar 2013
MIL108
DAL115
01 Jan 2011
MIL99
DAL87
16 Nov 2009
MIL113
DAL115
21 Jan 2009
MIL133
DAL99
10 Oct 2008
MIL79
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
112-121
112
121
-9
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
101-95
101
95
+6
A20/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
113-100
113
100
+13
H24/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
90-111
90
111
-21
H26/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
93-103
93
103
-10
A29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
123-131
123
131
-8
A30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
120-116
120
116
+4
A31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A03/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-123
98
123
-25
H05/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
106-117
106
117
-11
A06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-33
34-25
23-27
19-36
27-26
18-27
25-18
31-24
35-18
30-28
27-24
21-30
17-22
35-34
27-20
11-35
24-34
27-26
21-19
21-24
31-30
23-35
34-27
35-39
33-24
26-28
30-25
31-39
15-28
29-19
28-23
23-15
30-29
19-31
26-30
23-33
28-36
33-31
28-27
17-23
215.3Avg total
105.1Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)98.4104.1202.5-5.737%
Season at home (19)100.0101.8201.8-1.853%
Season away (24)97.1105.8203.0-8.725%
Last 10 (10)105.1110.2215.3-5.140%
Last 5 (5)108.4114.4222.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)96.8105.6202.4-8.828%
vs Similar ◀ (10)98.9102.6201.5-3.740%
vs Weaker (2)104.0106.5210.5-2.550%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
99-103
99
103
-4
A23/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
119-118 OT
119
118
+1
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-111
118
111
+7
H27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H29/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
114-91
114
91
+23
H31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
82-106
82
106
-24
A02/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
98-105
98
105
-7
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
117-116 OT
117
116
+1
H06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
100-91
100
91
+9
A07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
30-23
20-17
22-22
16-32
20-17
31-23
32-31
32-26
32-27
17-34
27-21
33-26
26-34
31-29
28-22
34-24
26-27
19-21
24-21
27-21
33-21
27-26
27-23
10-22
35-36
16-22
21-26
25-26
22-22
19-26
32-31
27-24
22-19
29-27
20-28
22-24
27-26
22-18
29-23
206.9Avg total
104.7Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)99.9101.1201.0-1.249%
Season at home (20)100.298.4198.6+1.855%
Season away (23)99.6103.4203.0-3.843%
Last 10 (10)104.7102.2206.9+2.570%
Last 5 (5)102.2101.8204.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)104.1101.0205.1+3.143%
vs Similar ◀ (20)102.2102.6204.8-0.360%
vs Weaker (3)100.395.3195.7+5.0100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
Milwaukee BucksDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H24/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H26/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H05/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A06/01
NBA
111.4Avg total
55.0Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.052.6102.6-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (12)52.449.1101.5+3.367%-
Last 30 away (18)48.454.9103.3-6.517%-
Last 10 (10)55.056.4111.4-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)53.458.2111.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)48.451.299.6-2.839%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)51.855.4107.2-3.630%-
vs Weaker (2)55.550.5106.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A23/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H29/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A02/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A07/01
NBA
102.7Avg total
52.4Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.449.8100.2+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.048.7100.7+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)49.150.799.8-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)52.450.3102.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)50.048.298.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.050.697.6-3.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)51.150.1101.2+1.045%-
vs Weaker (3)53.745.799.3+8.0100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀68%
🏀🏀🏀16%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers71.6 pts a game · 68% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.835.8
51.3%
49.0%71.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.85.7
38.5%
35.3%17.1
🏀 Free throws22.216.4
73.9%
75.5%16.4
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 17% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.327.6
48.2%
49.0%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.3
39.2%
35.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.6
78.4%
75.5%15.6
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWLLLWWL
Dallas Mavericks
WWLLWWWWLW
#24
League position
#19
-5.2
Net rating
+2.6
106.7
Offensive rating
107.3
111.9
Defensive rating
104.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.4%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.5%
3-point %
39.2%
58.1%
Assist %
59.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 107.3Defence111.9 · 104.8Shooting52.4% · 51.7%3-point %38.5% · 39.2%Ball care14.6% · 12.4%Off. rebounds25.1% · 20.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/16AChicago Bulls106-117
05/01/16HSan Antonio Spurs98-123
03/01/16AMinnesota Timberwolves95-85
31/12/15AIndiana Pacers120-116
30/12/15AOklahoma City Thunder123-131
29/12/15ADallas Mavericks93-103
26/12/15HToronto Raptors90-111
24/12/15HPhiladelphia 76ers113-100
20/12/15APhoenix Suns101-95
19/12/15AGolden State Warriors112-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/16ANew Orleans Pelicans100-91
06/01/16HSacramento Kings117-116 OT
03/01/16HNew Orleans Pelicans98-105
02/01/16AMiami Heat82-106
31/12/15HGolden State Warriors114-91
29/12/15HMilwaukee Bucks103-93
27/12/15HChicago Bulls118-111
24/12/15ABrooklyn Nets119-118 OT
23/12/15AToronto Raptors99-103
19/12/15HMemphis Grizzlies97-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL37%
HomeLWWLL53%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431924
Win %37%53%25%
Points / game98.4100.097.1
Allowed / game104.1101.8105.8
Point differential-5.7-1.8-8.7
Avg total202.5201.8203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%32%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW49%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %49%55%43%
Points / game99.9100.299.6
Allowed / game101.198.4103.4
Point differential-1.2+1.8-3.8
Avg total201.0198.6203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)25% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %7%5%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4236686%112.0102.2+9.8
2 San Antonio Spurs43331077%102.390.3+12.0
3 Oklahoma City Thunder41291271%108.2100.0+8.2
4 Cleveland Cavaliers40251562%100.096.3+3.7
5 Toronto Raptors45281762%99.295.5+3.7
6 Los Angeles Clippers42261662%102.9100.7+2.3
7 Chicago Bulls42261662%102.0100.7+1.3
8 Indiana Pacers42251760%102.298.3+3.9
9 Atlanta Hawks44261859%101.099.5+1.5
10 Miami Heat43251858%97.095.0+2.0
11 Orlando Magic44251957%99.298.6+0.7
12 Boston Celtics41231856%102.098.2+3.8
13 Charlotte Hornets43241956%101.398.6+2.7
14 Memphis Grizzlies43241956%94.896.4-1.6
15 Detroit Pistons44232152%101.598.7+2.8
16 New York Knicks42212150%98.199.1-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks43212249%99.9101.1-1.2
18 Sacramento Kings42202248%105.6106.6-1.0
19 Houston Rockets45212447%104.5105.9-1.4
20 Washington Wizards40182245%101.9104.2-2.3
21 Utah Jazz42182443%96.897.7-0.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers45182740%101.3102.2-0.9
23 Denver Nuggets43172640%99.0102.3-3.3
24 Phoenix Suns44172739%102.8105.2-2.5
25 Milwaukee Bucks43162737%98.4104.1-5.7
26 New Orleans Pelicans41142734%101.8106.3-4.6
27 Minnesota Timberwolves43142933%98.3102.8-4.4
28 Brooklyn Nets41122929%96.1101.8-5.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers44103423%96.7105.8-9.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers4563913%93.4105.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2827241796
Dallas Mavericks1821362095
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.