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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 91-109
26-23 18-34 31-26 16-26
Position#24
Record34-53
FormWLLLL
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game101.0
vs
Position#16
Record42-46
FormWWLWL
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
14 Aug 2021
DAL85
DEN89
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
06 Oct 2015
DAL86
DEN96
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
118-121
118
121
-3
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A01/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
109-105
109
105
+4
A02/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
101-112
101
112
-11
A06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
111-124
111
124
-13
A09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
19-30
29-21
20-20
22-30
22-24
20-20
22-20
26-25
24-10
19-22
22-35
23-27
28-36
32-26
35-32
19-21
15-34
28-18
28-26
31-28
22-25
22-25
34-27
17-22
21-14
31-32
18-30
24-35
25-27
24-28
28-22
26-21
35-29
8-25
20-27
29-40
36-28
20-36
26-20
202.1Avg total
97.9Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)97.7101.0198.7-3.339%
Season at home (43)99.697.8197.4+1.853%
Season away (44)95.8104.1199.8-8.325%
Last 10 (10)97.9104.2202.1-6.320%
Last 5 (5)99.4108.2207.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)95.6102.7198.3-7.140%
vs Similar ◀ (20)100.1101.8201.9-1.840%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
126-113
126
113
+13
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
125-117
125
117
+8
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
90-115
90
115
-25
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-122
113
122
-9
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
114-122
114
122
-8
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
116-113
116
113
+3
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
134-131
134
131
+3
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
104-110
104
110
-6
A06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
122-106
122
106
+16
H08/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
105-106
105
106
-1
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-31
39-28
28-31
25-23
34-26
30-27
30-22
31-42
26-29
14-26
19-32
31-28
35-32
29-34
21-29
28-27
32-24
24-32
38-30
20-36
37-30
31-28
25-29
23-26
27-31
42-44
33-30
32-26
25-36
25-23
29-26
25-25
30-25
21-25
41-24
30-32
26-27
27-25
38-29
14-25
230.4Avg total
114.9Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (88)111.1110.8221.9+0.248%
Season at home (43)113.9110.3224.2+3.653%
Season away (45)108.4111.3219.7-3.042%
Last 10 (10)114.9115.5230.4-0.650%
Last 5 (5)116.2113.2229.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)116.2113.5229.8+2.825%
vs Similar ◀ (21)114.1112.7226.8+1.452%
vs Weaker (5)114.2102.8217.0+11.480%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A01/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A02/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A09/04
NBA
102.3Avg total
49.3Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.553.0102.5-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.251.1103.3+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)46.455.1101.5-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)49.353.0102.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)53.253.8107.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)49.855.8105.6-6.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)49.451.5100.9-2.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H08/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H09/04
NBA
117.1Avg total
58.8Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.655.7114.3+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.252.8111.0+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)59.159.1118.1+0.036%-
Last 10 (10)58.858.3117.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)58.258.8117.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.556.5119.0+6.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)58.256.9115.1+1.443%-
vs Weaker (5)57.250.2107.4+7.080%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 97.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.024.9
48.8%
50.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.3
34.8%
35.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.814.2
79.8%
77.0%14.2
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.433.8
55.0%
50.2%67.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.8
33.2%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.417.9
83.6%
77.0%17.9
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLWLLLLW
Denver Nuggets
LWLWWLLLWW
#24
League position
#16
-6.7
Net rating
-0.6
103.8
Offensive rating
113.2
110.5
Defensive rating
113.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
11.9%
Turnover %
11.4%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.8%
3-point %
33.2%
63.0%
Assist %
61.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 113.2Defence110.5 · 113.8Shooting50.1% · 53.4%3-point %34.8% · 33.2%Ball care11.9% · 11.4%Off. rebounds19.0% · 22.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/17APhoenix Suns111-124
08/04/17HSan Antonio Spurs89-102
06/04/17ALos Angeles Clippers101-112
05/04/17ASacramento Kings87-98
02/04/17AMilwaukee Bucks109-105
01/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies90-99
30/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans118-121
28/03/17HOklahoma City Thunder91-92
26/03/17HToronto Raptors86-94
24/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers97-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/17HOklahoma City Thunder105-106
08/04/17HNew Orleans Pelicans122-106
06/04/17AHouston Rockets104-110
05/04/17ANew Orleans Pelicans134-131
02/04/17AMiami Heat116-113
31/03/17ACharlotte Hornets114-122
29/03/17APortland Trail Blazers113-122
27/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans90-115
24/03/17AIndiana Pacers125-117
23/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers126-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeLWLLL53%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874344
Win %39%53%25%
Points / game97.799.695.8
Allowed / game101.097.8104.1
Point differential-3.3+1.8-8.3
Avg total198.7197.4199.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%28%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)43% (7)53% (15)
Overtime %5%7%2%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLWLWL53%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games884345
Win %48%53%42%
Points / game111.1113.9108.4
Allowed / game110.8110.3111.3
Point differential+0.2+3.6-3.0
Avg total221.9224.2219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (24)27% (11)54% (13)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors88721682%115.7104.2+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs87652275%104.997.8+7.1
3 Houston Rockets87582967%115.3109.5+5.8
4 Boston Celtics88573165%107.7105.0+2.7
5 Utah Jazz87533461%100.596.6+3.9
6 Toronto Raptors87533461%106.5102.8+3.7
7 Los Angeles Clippers87533461%107.4104.4+3.1
8 Cleveland Cavaliers87533461%110.1107.2+2.9
9 Washington Wizards88533560%109.0106.7+2.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder85493658%106.4105.6+0.9
11 Atlanta Hawks88484055%102.9103.1-0.1
12 Memphis Grizzlies87474054%101.0100.1+0.9
13 Milwaukee Bucks87454252%102.8103.2-0.4
14 Portland Trail Blazers88454351%107.5108.0-0.5
15 Indiana Pacers87444351%105.3105.6-0.3
16 Miami Heat89444549%103.2101.8+1.4
17 Chicago Bulls88434549%102.9102.7+0.2
18 Denver Nuggets88424648%111.1110.8+0.2
19 Detroit Pistons87404746%100.7101.4-0.7
20 Charlotte Hornets89395044%103.9104.2-0.4
21 Minnesota Timberwolves88365241%105.0105.5-0.5
22 New Orleans Pelicans86345240%104.5106.8-2.3
23 Dallas Mavericks87345339%97.7101.0-3.3
24 New York Knicks87345339%104.5107.9-3.3
25 Sacramento Kings85335239%102.5106.5-4.0
26 Philadelphia 76ers88305834%101.8108.0-6.1
27 Orlando Magic88305834%100.8107.5-6.8
28 Phoenix Suns87285932%107.4112.4-5.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers88276131%104.8111.3-6.5
30 Brooklyn Nets87216624%105.8112.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2618311691
Denver Nuggets23342626109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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