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Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 106-100
28-25 27-27 29-31 22-17
Position#7
Record51-32
FormWWWWL
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game102.6
vs
Position#14
Record43-40
FormLWWLW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game103.6
USANBA
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
131-112
131
112
+19
126avg 92
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
106-110
106
110
-4
99avg 92
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
111-100
111
100
+11
106avg 92
H31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
113-105
113
105
+8
106avg 92
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
90-108
90
108
-18
77avg 92
A04/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
105-102
105
102
+3
98avg 92
A05/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
96-94
96
94
+2
80avg 92
H07/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
110-97
110
97
+13
105avg 92
A09/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
98-83
98
83
+15
89avg 92
A13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
83-97
83
97
-14
72avg 92
H15/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-34
38-23
26-32
32-23
19-22
28-28
27-16
32-44
28-25
18-23
34-20
31-32
28-29
31-20
27-27
27-29
26-18
25-22
24-37
15-31
15-33
31-23
22-24
37-22
26-19
27-24
17-22
26-29
23-29
29-26
24-20
34-22
26-21
27-13
22-24
23-25
22-30
29-16
19-29
13-22
205.1Avg total
104.3Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)106.6102.6209.1+4.061%
Season at home (42)110.2103.0213.3+7.267%
Season away (41)102.8102.1204.9+0.756%
Last 10 (10)104.3100.8205.1+3.570%
Last 5 (5)98.494.6193.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)100.5100.8201.3-0.253%
vs Weaker (13)103.696.8200.4+6.877%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
118-108
118
108
+10
125avg 96
A28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
103-100
103
100
+3
100avg 96
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
101avg 96
H01/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
105-109
105
109
-4
100avg 96
H02/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
79-110
79
110
-31
61avg 96
A05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 96
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
90-82
90
82
+8
80avg 96
A08/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
89-79
89
79
+10
90avg 96
H11/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
94-112
94
112
-18
88avg 96
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
88avg 96
A15/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-24
37-26
22-26
24-32
24-24
31-25
25-28
23-23
35-22
21-26
15-25
24-22
28-31
25-22
25-22
27-34
20-28
19-35
20-26
20-21
21-25
29-31
23-29
16-19
23-21
19-27
25-12
23-22
18-24
25-22
18-20
28-13
36-25
20-32
22-23
16-32
30-22
16-29
29-19
22-13
196.4Avg total
97.2Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)103.5103.6207.1-0.052%
Season at home (41)106.0103.5209.6+2.556%
Season away (42)101.1103.6204.7-2.548%
Last 10 (10)97.299.2196.4-2.060%
Last 5 (5)91.892.0183.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)99.0104.0203.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (21)99.099.6198.6-0.662%
vs Weaker (5)107.6100.8208.4+6.8100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A04/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A05/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H07/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A09/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/04
NBA
100.9Avg total
53.1Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.149.899.9+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.150.4102.5+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)48.149.297.3-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)53.147.8100.9+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)51.046.897.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)48.850.198.8-1.341%-
vs Weaker (13)51.849.5101.3+2.462%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
72-50
72
50
+22
A28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H01/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H02/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A08/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H11/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A15/04
NBA
103.3Avg total
51.2Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.550.7102.3+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.649.499.1+0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)53.251.9105.1+1.344%-
Last 10 (10)51.252.1103.3-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)47.451.699.0-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.552.0103.5-0.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)51.151.0102.0+0.138%-
vs Weaker (5)53.448.8102.2+4.660%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.429.9
52.1%
50.2%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.8
35.9%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.318.1
74.5%
77.0%18.1
They take 81.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 97.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.726.9
51.0%
50.2%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.9
37.5%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
77.0%13.7
They take 79.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWWWWLWWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLLLWWW
#7
League position
#14
+3.7
Net rating
-2.1
109.6
Offensive rating
103.0
105.9
Defensive rating
105.1
52.6%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.7%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
17.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.9%
3-point %
37.5%
52.7%
Assist %
64.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 103.0Defence105.9 · 105.1Shooting52.6% · 52.8%3-point %35.9% · 37.5%Ball care13.0% · 14.7%Off. rebounds24.7% · 17.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/17HMilwaukee Bucks83-97
13/04/17ACleveland Cavaliers98-83
09/04/17ANew York Knicks110-97
07/04/17HMiami Heat96-94
05/04/17ADetroit Pistons105-102
04/04/17AIndiana Pacers90-108
02/04/17HPhiladelphia 76ers113-105
31/03/17HIndiana Pacers111-100
29/03/17HCharlotte Hornets106-110
27/03/17HOrlando Magic131-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/17AToronto Raptors97-83
13/04/17ABoston Celtics94-112
11/04/17HCharlotte Hornets89-79
08/04/17APhiladelphia 76ers90-82
06/04/17AIndiana Pacers89-104
05/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder79-110
02/04/17HDallas Mavericks105-109
01/04/17HDetroit Pistons108-105 OT
29/03/17ABoston Celtics103-100
28/03/17ACharlotte Hornets118-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834241
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game106.6110.2102.8
Allowed / game102.6103.0102.1
Point differential+4.0+7.2+0.7
Avg total209.1213.3204.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (25)38% (13)42% (12)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayLLWLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834142
Win %52%56%48%
Points / game103.5106.0101.1
Allowed / game103.6103.5103.6
Point differential-0.0+2.5-2.5
Avg total207.1209.6204.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (24)46% (13)73% (11)
Overtime %5%7%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors83681582%116.0104.3+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs84632175%105.397.8+7.5
3 Houston Rockets83562767%115.4109.3+6.1
4 Boston Celtics83533064%107.9105.4+2.6
5 Cleveland Cavaliers84533163%110.4107.2+3.2
6 Utah Jazz83523163%100.796.7+3.9
7 Los Angeles Clippers83513261%108.5104.3+4.2
8 Toronto Raptors83513261%106.6102.6+4.0
9 Washington Wizards83503360%109.2107.4+1.9
10 Oklahoma City Thunder83473657%106.4106.0+0.4
11 Milwaukee Bucks83434052%103.5103.6-0.0
12 Atlanta Hawks83434052%103.2104.1-0.9
13 Memphis Grizzlies84434151%100.0100.1-0.0
14 Chicago Bulls83424151%102.9102.4+0.5
15 Miami Heat82414150%103.2102.1+1.1
16 Indiana Pacers84424250%105.2105.5-0.3
17 Portland Trail Blazers83414249%108.0108.6-0.7
18 Denver Nuggets82404249%111.7111.2+0.5
19 Detroit Pistons82374545%101.3102.5-1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets82364644%104.9104.7+0.2
21 New Orleans Pelicans82344841%104.3106.4-2.1
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%97.9100.8-2.9
23 Sacramento Kings82325039%102.8106.7-3.9
24 Minnesota Timberwolves82315138%105.6106.7-1.1
25 New York Knicks82315138%104.3108.0-3.7
26 Orlando Magic82295335%101.1107.6-6.6
27 Philadelphia 76ers82285434%102.4108.1-5.7
28 Los Angeles Lakers82265632%104.6111.5-6.9
29 Phoenix Suns82245829%107.7113.3-5.6
30 Brooklyn Nets82206224%105.8112.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors28272922106
Milwaukee Bucks25273117100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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