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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 104-77
32-12 25-18 21-16 26-31
Position#14
Record43-41
FormWWLWL
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game103.6
vs
Position#7
Record52-32
FormWWWLW
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game102.5
USANBA
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL107
TOR121
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
103-100
103
100
+3
100avg 96
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
101avg 96
H01/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
105-109
105
109
-4
100avg 96
H02/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
79-110
79
110
-31
61avg 96
A05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 96
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
90-82
90
82
+8
80avg 96
A08/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
89-79
89
79
+10
90avg 96
H11/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
94-112
94
112
-18
88avg 96
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
88avg 96
A15/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
100-106
100
106
-6
87avg 96
A18/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
31-25
25-28
23-23
35-22
21-26
15-25
24-22
28-31
25-22
25-22
27-34
20-28
19-35
20-26
20-21
21-25
29-31
23-29
16-19
23-21
19-27
25-12
23-22
18-24
25-22
18-20
28-13
36-25
20-32
22-23
16-32
30-22
16-29
29-19
22-13
25-28
27-27
31-29
17-22
194.4Avg total
95.4Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)103.5103.6207.1-0.151%
Season at home (41)106.0103.5209.6+2.556%
Season away (43)101.1103.6204.7-2.647%
Last 10 (10)95.499.0194.4-3.650%
Last 5 (5)94.092.4186.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)99.0104.0203.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (21)98.9100.4199.3-1.557%
vs Weaker (5)107.6100.8208.4+6.8100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
106-110
106
110
-4
99avg 92
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
111-100
111
100
+11
106avg 92
H31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
113-105
113
105
+8
106avg 92
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
90-108
90
108
-18
77avg 92
A04/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
105-102
105
102
+3
98avg 92
A05/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
96-94
96
94
+2
80avg 92
H07/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
110-97
110
97
+13
105avg 92
A09/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
98-83
98
83
+15
89avg 92
A13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
83-97
83
97
-14
72avg 92
H15/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
106-100
106
100
+6
101avg 92
H18/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
28-28
27-16
32-44
28-25
18-23
34-20
31-32
28-29
31-20
27-27
27-29
26-18
25-22
24-37
15-31
15-33
31-23
22-24
37-22
26-19
27-24
17-22
26-29
23-29
29-26
24-20
34-22
26-21
27-13
22-24
23-25
22-30
29-16
19-29
13-22
28-25
27-27
29-31
22-17
201.4Avg total
101.8Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)106.6102.5209.1+4.062%
Season at home (43)110.1103.0213.1+7.267%
Season away (41)102.8102.1204.9+0.756%
Last 10 (10)101.899.6201.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)98.694.2192.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)100.8100.7201.6+0.156%
vs Weaker (12)103.295.5198.7+7.783%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H01/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H02/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A08/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H11/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A15/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A18/04
NBA
101.8Avg total
49.2Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.651.4103.0+0.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.550.6100.2-1.131%-
Last 30 away (17)53.152.1105.2+1.141%-
Last 10 (10)49.252.6101.8-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)47.851.499.2-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.552.0103.5-0.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)51.152.0103.1-0.833%-
vs Weaker (5)53.448.8102.2+4.660%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A04/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A05/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H07/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A09/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H18/04
NBA
98.6Avg total
51.3Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.849.899.6+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.350.5102.8+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)47.048.995.9-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)51.347.398.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)52.846.098.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)49.150.299.3-1.144%-
vs Weaker (12)50.949.2100.1+1.858%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.726.2
47.9%
50.2%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.6
37.4%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.514.2
76.8%
77.0%14.2
They take 80.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 101.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.428.3
51.1%
50.2%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.2
35.5%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.317.6
75.5%
77.0%17.6
They take 81.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLWWLLLWW
Toronto Raptors
WLWWWWLWWL
#14
League position
#7
-3.8
Net rating
+2.3
100.8
Offensive rating
108.0
104.6
Defensive rating
105.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.4%
Turnover %
12.9%
18.8%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.4%
3-point %
35.5%
63.7%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 108.0Defence104.6 · 105.7Shooting50.5% · 51.8%3-point %37.4% · 35.5%Ball care14.4% · 12.9%Off. rebounds18.8% · 24.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/17AToronto Raptors100-106
15/04/17AToronto Raptors97-83
13/04/17ABoston Celtics94-112
11/04/17HCharlotte Hornets89-79
08/04/17APhiladelphia 76ers90-82
06/04/17AIndiana Pacers89-104
05/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder79-110
02/04/17HDallas Mavericks105-109
01/04/17HDetroit Pistons108-105 OT
29/03/17ABoston Celtics103-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/17HMilwaukee Bucks106-100
15/04/17HMilwaukee Bucks83-97
13/04/17ACleveland Cavaliers98-83
09/04/17ANew York Knicks110-97
07/04/17HMiami Heat96-94
05/04/17ADetroit Pistons105-102
04/04/17AIndiana Pacers90-108
02/04/17HPhiladelphia 76ers113-105
31/03/17HIndiana Pacers111-100
29/03/17HCharlotte Hornets106-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL51%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayLWLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844143
Win %51%56%47%
Points / game103.5106.0101.1
Allowed / game103.6103.5103.6
Point differential-0.1+2.5-2.6
Avg total207.1209.6204.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (24)46% (13)73% (11)
Overtime %5%7%2%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844341
Win %62%67%56%
Points / game106.6110.1102.8
Allowed / game102.5103.0102.1
Point differential+4.0+7.2+0.7
Avg total209.1213.1204.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (25)38% (13)42% (12)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors84691582%115.9104.0+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs84632175%105.397.8+7.5
3 Houston Rockets84572768%115.4109.3+6.0
4 Cleveland Cavaliers85543164%110.5107.3+3.2
5 Boston Celtics84533163%107.8105.5+2.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers84523262%108.4104.1+4.3
7 Toronto Raptors84523262%106.6102.5+4.0
8 Utah Jazz84523262%100.596.8+3.8
9 Washington Wizards84513361%109.2107.3+1.9
10 Oklahoma City Thunder84473756%106.4106.1+0.3
11 Chicago Bulls84434151%103.0102.4+0.6
12 Memphis Grizzlies84434151%100.0100.1-0.0
13 Milwaukee Bucks84434151%103.5103.6-0.1
14 Atlanta Hawks84434151%103.2104.2-1.0
15 Miami Heat82414150%103.2102.1+1.1
16 Indiana Pacers85424349%105.3105.7-0.4
17 Portland Trail Blazers84414349%107.6108.6-1.0
18 Denver Nuggets82404249%111.7111.2+0.5
19 Detroit Pistons82374545%101.3102.5-1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets82364644%104.9104.7+0.2
21 New Orleans Pelicans82344841%104.3106.4-2.1
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%97.9100.8-2.9
23 Sacramento Kings82325039%102.8106.7-3.9
24 Minnesota Timberwolves82315138%105.6106.7-1.1
25 New York Knicks82315138%104.3108.0-3.7
26 Orlando Magic82295335%101.1107.6-6.6
27 Philadelphia 76ers82285434%102.4108.1-5.7
28 Los Angeles Lakers82265632%104.6111.5-6.9
29 Phoenix Suns82245829%107.7113.3-5.6
30 Brooklyn Nets82206224%105.8112.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks32252126104
Toronto Raptors1218163177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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