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Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 126-130
25-31 37-28 33-37 31-34
Position#21
Record33-31
FormLWLLW
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game112.9
vs
Position#9
Record35-29
FormLWLWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Phoenix Suns
08 Jan 2027
DAL v PHX
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
DAL v PHX
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
DAL114
PHX123
09 Mar 2025
DAL116
PHX125
08 Nov 2024
DAL113
PHX114
22 Feb 2024
DAL123
PHX113
24 Jan 2024
DAL109
PHX132
05 Mar 2023
DAL126
PHX130
05 Dec 2022
DAL130
PHX111
12 May 2022
DAL113
PHX86
08 May 2022
DAL111
PHX101
06 May 2022
DAL103
PHX94
20 Jan 2022
DAL101
PHX109
01 Feb 2021
DAL108
PHX109
30 Jan 2021
DAL105
PHX111
28 Jan 2020
DAL104
PHX133
09 Apr 2019
DAL120
PHX109
09 Jan 2019
DAL104
PHX94
10 Apr 2018
DAL97
PHX124
18 Dec 2017
DAL91
PHX97
11 Mar 2017
DAL98
PHX100
05 Jan 2017
DAL95
PHX102
31 Jan 2016
DAL91
PHX78
14 Dec 2015
DAL104
PHX94
08 Apr 2015
DAL107
PHX104
05 Dec 2014
DAL106
PHX118
12 Apr 2014
DAL101
PHX98
10 Apr 2013
DAL91
PHX102
27 Jan 2013
DAL110
PHX95
23 Jan 2012
DAL93
PHX87
04 Jan 2012
DAL98
PHX89
10 Apr 2011
DAL115
PHX90
17 Dec 2010
DAL106
PHX91
17 Feb 2010
DAL107
PHX97
08 Dec 2009
DAL102
PHX101
05 Apr 2009
DAL140
PHX116
04 Dec 2008
DAL112
PHX97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
W
124-111
124
111
+13
120avg 102
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
110avg 102
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
122-114
122
114
+8
120avg 102
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
128-133 OT
128
133
-5
122avg 102
A12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
121-124
121
124
-3
108avg 102
H14/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
109-118
109
118
-9
98avg 102
A16/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
142-116
142
116
+26
137avg 102
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
108-111
108
111
-3
96avg 102
H26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
122-124
122
124
-2
111avg 102
H01/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
133-126
133
126
+7
124avg 102
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
35-25
29-23
35-26
41-25
19-27
21-26
29-26
45-25
29-31
27-31
21-27
32-34
32-28
24-24
26-28
23-33
31-32
28-35
39-24
25-26
19-35
30-31
35-26
34-26
40-37
25-27
43-26
28-16
33-31
20-31
27-33
33-31
26-38
39-37
24-18
38-37
33-30
39-24
23-35
240.0Avg total
121.9Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)113.8112.9226.8+0.952%
Season at home (33)115.5110.7226.2+4.764%
Season away (31)112.1115.3227.4-3.239%
Last 10 (10)121.9118.1240.0+3.850%
Last 5 (5)122.8119.0241.8+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.0121.0223.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)115.9115.2231.1+0.748%
vs Weaker (7)123.0120.3243.3+2.771%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
116-100
116
100
+16
123avg 107
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
116-112
116
112
+4
112avg 107
A08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
107-116
107
116
-9
94avg 107
A10/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
117-104
117
104
+13
112avg 107
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
120-109
120
109
+11
119avg 107
H15/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
107-116
107
116
-9
100avg 107
H17/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
124-115
124
115
+9
118avg 107
H25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
101-104
101
104
-3
89avg 107
A26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
105-91
105
91
+14
103avg 107
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
125-104
125
104
+21
122avg 107
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
28-22
30-27
28-24
24-25
33-26
30-30
29-31
22-36
25-20
28-37
32-23
30-24
30-23
35-30
22-27
27-29
35-29
28-28
30-23
23-28
29-26
32-37
23-25
29-30
36-30
29-27
30-28
26-33
20-20
28-22
27-29
27-22
30-19
22-32
26-18
40-29
20-35
34-21
31-19
220.9Avg total
113.8Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)112.8110.8223.6+1.955%
Season at home (31)113.8109.5223.3+4.368%
Season away (33)111.8112.1223.8-0.342%
Last 10 (10)113.8107.1220.9+6.770%
Last 5 (5)112.4106.0218.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.094.0200.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (23)107.7112.5220.2-4.739%
vs Weaker (6)117.7102.8220.5+14.8100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
Dallas MavericksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H14/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A16/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H01/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/03
NBA
122.5Avg total
62.1Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.459.4117.8-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.557.7118.1+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)56.361.1117.5-4.840%-
Last 10 (10)62.160.4122.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)61.861.4123.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.062.5107.5-17.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)59.458.8118.2+0.652%-
vs Weaker (7)59.160.3119.4-1.143%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A10/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H17/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A04/03
NBA
109.7Avg total
56.4Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.053.3108.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.753.8110.4+2.958%-
Last 30 away (18)53.852.9106.8+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)56.453.3109.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)56.054.4110.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.044.0101.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)54.155.0109.1-0.939%-
vs Weaker (6)57.848.2106.0+9.7100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 121.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.925.4
57.9%
54.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.217.6
41.7%
35.8%52.8
🏀 Free throws24.018.3
76.2%
78.1%18.3
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.731.9
55.3%
54.5%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.6
34.9%
35.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.818.2
76.5%
78.1%18.2
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWLLLWWW
Phoenix Suns
WWLWLWWLWW
#21
League position
#9
+3.8
Net rating
+6.7
122.1
Offensive rating
114.6
118.3
Defensive rating
107.9
60.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
11.7%
Turnover %
12.6%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.7%
3-point %
34.9%
60.7%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence122.1 · 114.6Defence118.3 · 107.9Shooting60.2% · 54.3%3-point %41.7% · 34.9%Ball care11.7% · 12.6%Off. rebounds20.3% · 28.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
4
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers133-126
01/03/23HIndiana Pacers122-124
26/02/23HLos Angeles Lakers108-111
24/02/23HSan Antonio Spurs142-116
16/02/23ADenver Nuggets109-118
14/02/23HMinnesota Timberwolves121-124
12/02/23ASacramento Kings128-133 OT
11/02/23ASacramento Kings122-114
09/02/23ALos Angeles Clippers110-104
07/02/23AUtah Jazz124-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23AChicago Bulls125-104
02/03/23ACharlotte Hornets105-91
26/02/23AMilwaukee Bucks101-104
25/02/23HOklahoma City Thunder124-115
17/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers107-116
15/02/23HSacramento Kings120-109
11/02/23AIndiana Pacers117-104
10/02/23AAtlanta Hawks107-116
08/02/23ABrooklyn Nets116-112
05/02/23ADetroit Pistons116-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeLWLLW64%
AwayWWWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %52%64%39%
Points / game113.8115.5112.1
Allowed / game112.9110.7115.3
Point differential+0.9+4.7-3.2
Avg total226.8226.2227.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (26)57% (14)58% (12)
Overtime %11%6%16%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWLWLW68%
AwayLWLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643133
Win %55%68%42%
Points / game112.8113.8111.8
Allowed / game110.8109.5112.1
Point differential+1.9+4.3-0.3
Avg total223.6223.3223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%35%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (20)60% (10)20% (10)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks63451871%115.5111.5+4.0
2 Boston Celtics64451970%117.5112.1+5.4
3 Denver Nuggets64451970%117.1112.6+4.6
4 Philadelphia 76ers63412265%114.5110.7+3.8
5 Memphis Grizzlies62382461%115.6111.6+4.0
6 Cleveland Cavaliers66402661%112.0106.4+5.5
7 Sacramento Kings63372659%121.1118.5+2.5
8 New York Knicks65382758%115.2112.1+3.1
9 Brooklyn Nets63352856%113.7113.3+0.4
10 Phoenix Suns64352955%112.8110.8+1.9
11 Golden State Warriors64343053%118.2117.2+1.0
12 Miami Heat65343152%108.1108.8-0.7
13 Dallas Mavericks64333152%113.8112.9+0.9
14 Minnesota Timberwolves66343252%115.6115.6+0.0
15 Atlanta Hawks64323250%117.0116.9+0.1
16 Los Angeles Clippers66333350%112.4112.7-0.4
17 Toronto Raptors65323349%112.6112.0+0.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans64313348%114.2113.4+0.8
19 Utah Jazz64313348%117.0117.0+0.0
20 Washington Wizards63303348%113.2113.2-0.0
21 Los Angeles Lakers64303447%116.8117.8-1.0
22 Oklahoma City Thunder63293446%118.0116.6+1.4
23 Portland Trail Blazers63293446%114.9115.7-0.9
24 Chicago Bulls64293545%112.9112.5+0.3
25 Indiana Pacers64283644%114.9117.3-2.5
26 Orlando Magic64273742%110.8113.6-2.8
27 Charlotte Hornets65204531%112.2118.1-5.9
28 San Antonio Spurs64164825%112.1122.0-9.9
29 Detroit Pistons64154923%111.4119.1-7.7
30 Houston Rockets63144922%109.7118.3-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks25373331126
Phoenix Suns31283734130
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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