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Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record7-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game110.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#19
Record4-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game118.1
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Phoenix Suns
08 Jan 2027
DAL v PHX
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
DAL v PHX
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
DAL114
PHX123
09 Mar 2025
DAL116
PHX125
08 Nov 2024
DAL113
PHX114
22 Feb 2024
DAL123
PHX113
24 Jan 2024
DAL109
PHX132
05 Mar 2023
DAL126
PHX130
05 Dec 2022
DAL130
PHX111
12 May 2022
DAL113
PHX86
08 May 2022
DAL111
PHX101
06 May 2022
DAL103
PHX94
20 Jan 2022
DAL101
PHX109
01 Feb 2021
DAL108
PHX109
30 Jan 2021
DAL105
PHX111
28 Jan 2020
DAL104
PHX133
09 Apr 2019
DAL120
PHX109
09 Jan 2019
DAL104
PHX94
10 Apr 2018
DAL97
PHX124
18 Dec 2017
DAL91
PHX97
11 Mar 2017
DAL98
PHX100
05 Jan 2017
DAL95
PHX102
31 Jan 2016
DAL91
PHX78
14 Dec 2015
DAL104
PHX94
08 Apr 2015
DAL107
PHX104
05 Dec 2014
DAL106
PHX118
12 Apr 2014
DAL101
PHX98
10 Apr 2013
DAL91
PHX102
27 Jan 2013
DAL110
PHX95
23 Jan 2012
DAL93
PHX87
04 Jan 2012
DAL98
PHX89
10 Apr 2011
DAL115
PHX90
17 Dec 2010
DAL106
PHX91
17 Feb 2010
DAL107
PHX97
08 Dec 2009
DAL102
PHX101
05 Apr 2009
DAL140
PHX116
04 Dec 2008
DAL112
PHX97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
121-105
121
105
+16
119avg 103
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
79avg 103
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 103
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
120-96
120
96
+24
114avg 103
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 103
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 103
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-112
111
112
-1
98avg 103
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 103
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
130-93
130
93
+37
134avg 103
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
125-122
125
122
+3
120avg 103
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-27
33-16
21-33
23-29
31-32
29-36
29-24
17-30
23-27
30-25
30-32
30-25
33-30
32-29
29-22
26-15
27-20
17-31
32-33
40-27
18-19
35-35
21-27
26-34
26-32
25-36
29-22
31-22
26-28
31-29
32-19
23-24
33-26
33-20
34-25
30-22
26-31
30-35
34-27
35-29
223.9Avg total
115.4Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.9110.3225.2+4.664%
Season at home (7)115.6108.4224.0+7.171%
Season away (4)113.8113.5227.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)115.4108.5223.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)115.6108.4224.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)114.9125.2240.2-10.321%
vs Similar (5)119.8117.6237.4+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)116.8107.3224.2+9.583%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
83-124
83
124
-41
61avg 100
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 100
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 100
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 100
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
113-116
113
116
-3
104avg 100
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
119-132
119
132
-13
105avg 100
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-104
117
104
+13
110avg 100
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 100
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
96-122
96
122
-26
76avg 100
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
133-110
133
110
+23
131avg 100
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
31-19
26-32
36-42
20-23
34-29
25-43
26-32
34-28
33-26
30-25
33-22
21-31
35-23
12-24
29-28
26-24
25-31
21-30
22-32
28-29
29-18
35-29
35-25
34-38
230.9Avg total
112.8Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)112.8118.1230.9-5.340%
Season at home (7)116.9116.6233.4+0.357%
Season away (3)103.3121.7225.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)112.8118.1230.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)113.4113.4226.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)109.6118.7228.4-9.121%
vs Similar (11)110.4111.4221.7-1.036%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
Dallas MavericksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
77-43
77
43
+34
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H10/11
NBA
114.6Avg total
58.2Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.960.6118.5-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.260.3120.5-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)55.660.8116.4-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)58.256.4114.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.2114.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)55.863.1118.8-7.326%-
vs Similar (5)63.060.2123.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)60.353.0113.3+7.350%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H11/11
NBA
114.5Avg total
55.2Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.859.1116.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.957.3116.2+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)56.561.4117.8-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)55.259.3114.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.6111.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)55.461.9117.2-6.529%-
vs Similar (11)58.757.6116.4+1.145%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.530.1
57.3%
54.0%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.5
37.1%
35.1%40.5
🏀 Free throws23.818.6
78.2%
77.1%18.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.8
56.4%
54.0%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.9
36.7%
35.1%41.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
77.1%15.4
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLLWWWLW
Phoenix Suns
WLWWLLLLWL
#12
League position
#19
+6.0
Net rating
-4.4
112.7
Offensive rating
110.8
106.8
Defensive rating
115.2
56.6%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.1%
3-point %
36.7%
63.1%
Assist %
61.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 110.8Defence106.8 · 115.2Shooting56.6% · 55.8%3-point %37.1% · 36.7%Ball care15.4% · 14.5%Off. rebounds31.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
7
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HIndiana Pacers125-122
09/11/26HBrooklyn Nets130-93
07/11/26HUtah Jazz112-100
05/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-112
03/11/26HSacramento Kings100-115
31/10/26HHouston Rockets116-111
29/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder120-96
26/10/26AMiami Heat113-109
25/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs106-122
23/10/26AIndiana Pacers121-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers133-110
10/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs96-122
08/11/26HHouston Rockets102-99
06/11/26HOrlando Magic117-104
05/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-132
03/11/26AGolden State Warriors113-116
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%71%50%
Points / game114.9115.6113.8
Allowed / game110.3108.4113.5
Point differential+4.6+7.1+0.2
Avg total225.2224.0227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %40%57%0%
Points / game112.8116.9103.3
Allowed / game118.1116.6121.7
Point differential-5.3+0.3-18.3
Avg total230.9233.4225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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