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Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 104-101
33-26 20-20 22-28 29-27
Position#1
Record42-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game111.4
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
vs
Phoenix Suns
USA
Position#9
Record33-28
FormLWWLW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns
18 Dec 2026
MIL v PHX
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
MIL114
PHX129
01 Apr 2025
MIL133
PHX123
17 Mar 2024
MIL140
PHX129
26 Feb 2023
MIL104
PHX101
06 Mar 2022
MIL132
PHX122
20 Jul 2021
MIL105
PHX98
14 Jul 2021
MIL109
PHX103
11 Jul 2021
MIL120
PHX100
19 Apr 2021
MIL127
PHX128
02 Feb 2020
MIL129
PHX108
23 Nov 2018
MIL114
PHX116
22 Jan 2018
MIL109
PHX105
26 Feb 2017
MIL100
PHX96
30 Mar 2016
MIL105
PHX94
06 Jan 2015
MIL96
PHX102
29 Jan 2014
MIL117
PHX126
08 Jan 2013
MIL108
PHX99
07 Feb 2012
MIL105
PHX107
04 Mar 2011
MIL88
PHX102
03 Apr 2010
MIL107
PHX98
08 Nov 2008
MIL96
PHX104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
135-110
135
110
+25
133avg 107
H30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
124-115
124
115
+9
112avg 107
H01/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
106-105
106
105
+1
93avg 107
H03/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
123-115
123
115
+8
117avg 107
H05/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
127-108
127
108
+19
130avg 107
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
115-106
115
106
+9
104avg 107
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
119-106
119
106
+13
116avg 107
A11/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
131-125 OT
131
125
+6
128avg 107
H15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
112-100
112
100
+12
108avg 107
A17/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
128-99
128
99
+29
124avg 107
H25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-19
25-25
44-44
29-22
34-27
30-37
33-26
27-25
15-24
34-32
29-31
28-18
34-26
28-36
32-30
29-23
30-22
28-26
37-23
32-37
26-31
24-27
38-23
27-25
22-27
32-24
27-25
38-30
27-35
37-28
26-32
26-21
34-24
27-25
24-24
27-27
42-32
31-24
22-18
33-25
230.9Avg total
122.0Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)115.1111.4226.4+3.771%
Season at home (30)119.2111.0230.2+8.183%
Season away (29)110.8111.8222.6-1.059%
Last 10 (10)122.0108.9230.9+13.1100%
Last 5 (5)121.0107.2228.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)114.6111.6226.3+3.068%
vs Weaker (8)125.1121.5246.6+3.675%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
114-106
114
106
+8
109avg 107
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
100-132
100
132
-32
89avg 107
H02/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
106-94
106
94
+12
101avg 107
A04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
116-100
116
100
+16
123avg 107
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
116-112
116
112
+4
112avg 107
A08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
107-116
107
116
-9
94avg 107
A10/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
117-104
117
104
+13
112avg 107
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
120-109
120
109
+11
119avg 107
H15/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
107-116
107
116
-9
100avg 107
H17/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
124-115
124
115
+9
118avg 107
H25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
31-25
20-31
32-22
23-26
24-40
20-36
33-30
24-20
33-24
17-29
32-21
30-27
28-22
30-27
28-24
24-25
33-26
30-30
29-31
22-36
25-20
28-37
32-23
30-24
30-23
35-30
22-27
27-29
35-29
28-28
30-23
23-28
29-26
32-37
23-25
29-30
36-30
29-27
30-28
223.1Avg total
112.7Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)112.9111.4224.2+1.554%
Season at home (31)113.8109.5223.3+4.368%
Season away (30)111.9113.3225.2-1.440%
Last 10 (10)112.7110.4223.1+2.370%
Last 5 (5)115.0112.0227.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.094.0200.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (24)107.8114.4222.2-6.633%
vs Weaker (5)120.2105.2225.4+15.0100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
Milwaukee BucksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H01/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H03/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H05/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A11/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A17/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H25/02
NBA
114.8Avg total
59.7Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.957.0114.9+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.462.3122.7-1.938%-
Last 30 away (17)55.952.9108.9+3.047%-
Last 10 (10)59.755.1114.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)60.455.4115.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.055.0110.0+0.041%-
vs Weaker (8)65.862.5128.2+3.250%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H02/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A10/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H17/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H25/02
NBA
110.5Avg total
56.7Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.353.4107.7+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.754.1108.8+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)53.952.9106.8+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)56.753.8110.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)57.255.0112.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.044.0101.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)53.454.6108.0-1.242%-
vs Weaker (5)58.049.6107.6+8.4100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.429.3
58.1%
54.5%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.715.5
36.3%
35.8%46.5
🏀 Free throws22.916.9
73.8%
78.1%16.9
They take 93.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.532.4
55.4%
54.5%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.6
32.4%
35.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.219.1
78.9%
78.1%19.1
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWWWWWW
Phoenix Suns
WLWWLWWWLW
#1
League position
#9
+12.5
Net rating
+2.3
116.8
Offensive rating
112.8
104.3
Defensive rating
110.5
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
11.1%
Turnover %
12.8%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
32.4%
54.2%
Assist %
66.2%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 112.8Defence104.3 · 110.5Shooting56.4% · 53.1%3-point %36.3% · 32.4%Ball care11.1% · 12.8%Off. rebounds23.7% · 27.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Phoenix Suns wins
DateGameScore
06/03/22Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns132-122
11/02/22Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks131-107
21/07/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns105-98
18/07/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks119-123
15/07/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns109-103
12/07/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns120-100
09/07/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks118-108
07/07/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks118-105
20/04/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns127-128 OT
11/02/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks125-124
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HMiami Heat128-99
17/02/23AChicago Bulls112-100
15/02/23HBoston Celtics131-125 OT
11/02/23ALos Angeles Clippers119-106
10/02/23ALos Angeles Lakers115-106
07/02/23APortland Trail Blazers127-108
05/02/23HMiami Heat123-115
03/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers106-105
01/02/23HCharlotte Hornets124-115
30/01/23HNew Orleans Pelicans135-110
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HOklahoma City Thunder124-115
17/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers107-116
15/02/23HSacramento Kings120-109
11/02/23AIndiana Pacers117-104
10/02/23AAtlanta Hawks107-116
08/02/23ABrooklyn Nets116-112
05/02/23ADetroit Pistons116-100
04/02/23ABoston Celtics106-94
02/02/23HAtlanta Hawks100-132
31/01/23HToronto Raptors114-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %71%83%59%
Points / game115.1119.2110.8
Allowed / game111.4111.0111.8
Point differential+3.7+8.1-1.0
Avg total226.4230.2222.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)50% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %7%3%10%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW54%
HomeWLWLW68%
AwayWWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613130
Win %54%68%40%
Points / game112.9113.8111.9
Allowed / game111.4109.5113.3
Point differential+1.5+4.3-1.4
Avg total224.2223.3225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%35%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)60% (10)22% (9)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics61441772%118.1112.1+6.0
2 Milwaukee Bucks59421771%115.1111.4+3.7
3 Denver Nuggets61421969%116.7112.7+4.0
4 Philadelphia 76ers59392066%114.2110.4+3.8
5 Memphis Grizzlies59362361%115.9111.9+4.0
6 Cleveland Cavaliers63382560%111.8106.7+5.1
7 Sacramento Kings59342558%120.6118.1+2.5
8 Brooklyn Nets59342558%113.6112.6+0.9
9 New York Knicks62352756%114.8112.2+2.6
10 Phoenix Suns61332854%112.9111.4+1.5
11 Los Angeles Clippers62332953%112.5112.2+0.3
12 Dallas Mavericks61322952%113.5112.6+0.9
13 Miami Heat61322952%108.1108.6-0.5
14 Utah Jazz62313150%117.6117.0+0.6
15 Golden State Warriors60303050%118.5118.3+0.1
16 Atlanta Hawks60303050%116.7116.8-0.1
17 Minnesota Timberwolves62313150%115.7115.9-0.2
18 Toronto Raptors61303149%113.0112.1+1.0
19 New Orleans Pelicans61303149%114.7113.8+0.9
20 Oklahoma City Thunder59283147%117.9116.4+1.4
21 Washington Wizards59283147%113.6113.4+0.2
22 Portland Trail Blazers59283147%114.9115.3-0.4
23 Los Angeles Lakers60283247%117.1118.0-0.9
24 Chicago Bulls60273345%113.4112.9+0.5
25 Indiana Pacers62273544%115.0117.4-2.4
26 Orlando Magic61253641%110.8113.7-2.9
27 Charlotte Hornets62194331%112.6118.6-6.0
28 Detroit Pistons61154625%111.8119.3-7.4
29 San Antonio Spurs61144723%112.3122.9-10.5
30 Houston Rockets59134622%109.6118.1-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks33202229104
Phoenix Suns26202827101
← all games of the day
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